Great Wall Motor Company Limited

WBAG:GRV Stock Report

Market Cap: €25.7b

Great Wall Motor Valuation

Is GRV undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GRV when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GRV (€1.71) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€3.43)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GRV is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GRV?

Key metric: As GRV is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GRV. This is calculated by dividing GRV's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GRV's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.9x
EarningsCN¥12.45b
Market CapCN¥195.71b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GRV's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GRV vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.8x
4.1x3.6%₩39.4t
7269 Suzuki Motor
9.4x1.4%JP¥3.4t
500570 Tata Motors
8x0.6%₹2.7t
7267 Honda Motor
5.8x4.4%JP¥5.7t
GRV Great Wall Motor
8.9x8.1%€208.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GRV is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.9x) compared to the peer average (6.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GRV's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GRV 8.9xIndustry Avg. 15.2xNo. of Companies15PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GRV is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.9x) compared to the Global Auto industry average (15.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GRV's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GRV PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GRV's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GRV forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.71
€2.08
+21.6%
17.7%€2.79€1.25n/a22
Dec ’25€1.53
€2.03
+32.6%
17.8%€2.75€1.29n/a23
Nov ’25€1.51
€1.96
+29.7%
20.6%€2.73€1.05n/a24
Oct ’25€1.65
€1.76
+6.4%
19.3%€2.33€1.04n/a24
Sep ’25€1.30
€1.74
+34.3%
18.7%€2.32€1.04n/a24
Aug ’25€1.27
€1.81
+41.9%
18.9%€2.38€1.04n/a24
Jul ’25€1.42
€1.68
+17.9%
17.9%€2.38€1.04n/a25
Jun ’25€1.59
€1.62
+2.0%
16.0%€2.01€1.04n/a25
May ’25€1.41
€1.61
+13.6%
14.9%€2.03€1.05n/a24
Apr ’25€1.02
€1.45
+42.1%
16.2%€1.77€1.00n/a24
Mar ’25€1.06
€1.46
+38.1%
16.5%€1.77€0.99n/a24
Feb ’25€0.91
€1.48
+62.1%
17.3%€1.93€1.00n/a24
Jan ’25€1.16
€1.56
+34.4%
13.3%€1.90€1.16n/a23
Dec ’24€1.29
€1.60
+24.2%
15.7%€2.05€1.00€1.5322
Nov ’24€1.38
€1.60
+16.1%
15.8%€2.06€0.98€1.5122
Oct ’24€1.12
€1.28
+13.5%
17.8%€1.56€0.62€1.6522
Sep ’24€1.10
€1.26
+14.5%
18.1%€1.55€0.58€1.3023
Aug ’24€1.23
€1.25
+1.6%
21.3%€1.59€0.58€1.2725
Jul ’24€1.05
€1.22
+16.4%
21.9%€1.60€0.58€1.4226
Jun ’24€0.95
€1.28
+34.1%
22.7%€1.86€0.60€1.5926
May ’24€1.09
€1.30
+18.8%
21.0%€1.86€0.60€1.4125
Apr ’24€1.15
€1.49
+30.2%
21.8%€2.12€0.98€1.0225
Mar ’24€1.30
€1.59
+22.4%
21.2%€2.17€1.06€1.0625
Feb ’24€1.34
€1.62
+20.8%
21.2%€2.16€1.01€0.9126
Jan ’24€1.22
€1.72
+41.0%
27.3%€3.37€1.00€1.1626
Dec ’23€1.38
€1.75
+26.3%
30.5%€3.34€0.99€1.2926

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 12:33
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Great Wall Motor Company Limited is covered by 81 analysts. 32 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Yang SongBarclays
Y. YeungBNP Paribas Securities (Asia)
Jia LouBOCI Research Ltd.