Great Wall Motor Company Limited

WBAG:GRV Stock Report

Market Cap: €28.3b

Great Wall Motor Valuation

Is GRV undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GRV when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GRV (€1.78) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€2.99)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GRV is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GRV?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

GRV key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10.9x
PEG Ratio1.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GRV's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GRV vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.8x
4x3.0%₩38.7t
7269 Suzuki Motor
9.8x3.4%JP¥3.1t
F Ford Motor
10.8x16.9%US$41.7b
STLAM Stellantis
2.6x1.1%€34.3b
GRV Great Wall Motor
9.3x4.8%€242.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GRV is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.3x) compared to the peer average (6.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GRV's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a5.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a5.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GRV is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.3x) compared to the Global Auto industry average (14.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GRV's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GRV PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.3x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GRV's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GRV forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.78
€1.78
+0.1%
19.3%€2.35€1.05n/a24
Sep ’25€1.30
€1.75
+34.4%
18.7%€2.32€1.04n/a24
Aug ’25€1.27
€1.81
+41.9%
18.9%€2.38€1.04n/a24
Jul ’25€1.42
€1.68
+17.9%
17.9%€2.38€1.04n/a25
Jun ’25€1.59
€1.62
+2.0%
16.0%€2.01€1.04n/a25
May ’25€1.41
€1.61
+13.6%
14.9%€2.03€1.05n/a24
Apr ’25€1.02
€1.45
+42.1%
16.2%€1.77€1.00n/a24
Mar ’25€1.06
€1.46
+38.1%
16.5%€1.77€0.99n/a24
Feb ’25€0.91
€1.48
+62.1%
17.3%€1.93€1.00n/a24
Jan ’25€1.16
€1.56
+34.4%
13.3%€1.90€1.16n/a23
Dec ’24€1.29
€1.60
+24.2%
15.7%€2.05€1.00n/a22
Nov ’24€1.38
€1.60
+16.1%
15.8%€2.06€0.98n/a22
Oct ’24€1.12
€1.28
+13.5%
17.8%€1.56€0.62€1.6522
Sep ’24€1.10
€1.26
+14.5%
18.1%€1.55€0.58€1.3023
Aug ’24€1.23
€1.25
+1.6%
21.3%€1.59€0.58€1.2725
Jul ’24€1.05
€1.22
+16.4%
21.9%€1.60€0.58€1.4226
Jun ’24€0.95
€1.28
+34.1%
22.7%€1.86€0.60€1.5926
May ’24€1.09
€1.30
+18.8%
21.0%€1.86€0.60€1.4125
Apr ’24€1.15
€1.49
+30.2%
21.8%€2.12€0.98€1.0225
Mar ’24€1.30
€1.59
+22.4%
21.2%€2.17€1.06€1.0625
Feb ’24€1.34
€1.62
+20.8%
21.2%€2.16€1.01€0.9126
Jan ’24€1.22
€1.72
+41.0%
27.3%€3.37€1.00€1.1626
Dec ’23€1.38
€1.75
+26.3%
30.5%€3.34€0.99€1.2926
Nov ’23€1.12
€1.89
+68.6%
29.1%€3.47€1.03€1.3827
Oct ’23€1.18
€2.26
+91.2%
20.0%€3.40€1.32€1.1227

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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