Stock Analysis

R.A.K. Ceramics P.J.S.C (ADX:RAKCEC) Has Returned Negative 24% To Its Shareholders In The Past Five Years

ADX:RAKCEC
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Ideally, your overall portfolio should beat the market average. But every investor is virtually certain to have both over-performing and under-performing stocks. So we wouldn't blame long term R.A.K. Ceramics P.J.S.C. (ADX:RAKCEC) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 50% over a half decade. The silver lining is that the stock is up 4.8% in about a week.

View our latest analysis for R.A.K. Ceramics P.J.S.C

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

During the five years over which the share price declined, R.A.K. Ceramics P.J.S.C's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 22% each year. This fall in the EPS is worse than the 13% compound annual share price fall. So investors might expect EPS to bounce back -- or they may have previously foreseen the EPS decline.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
ADX:RAKCEC Earnings Per Share Growth August 19th 2020

We know that R.A.K. Ceramics P.J.S.C has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? Take a more thorough look at R.A.K. Ceramics P.J.S.C's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for R.A.K. Ceramics P.J.S.C the TSR over the last 5 years was -24%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

While the broader market lost about 2.7% in the twelve months, R.A.K. Ceramics P.J.S.C shareholders did even worse, losing 3.3% (even including dividends). Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Unfortunately, longer term shareholders are suffering worse, given the loss of 4.5% doled out over the last five years. We'd need to see some sustained improvements in the key metrics before we could muster much enthusiasm. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for R.A.K. Ceramics P.J.S.C (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on AE exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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