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Alignment Healthcare, Inc. Stock Price

NasdaqGS:ALHC Community·US$2.9b Market Cap
  • 3 Narratives written by author
  • 1 Comments on narratives written by author
  • 24 Fair Values set on narratives written by author

ALHC Share Price Performance

US$13.96
-1.33 (-8.70%)
US$24.92
Fair Value
US$13.96
-1.33 (-8.70%)
44.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
US$24.92
Fair Value
Price US$13.96
AnalystConsensusTarget US$24.92
AnalystLowTarget US$16.80
AnalystHighTarget US$30.00

ALHC Community Narratives

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Fair Value US$24.92 44.0% undervalued intrinsic discount

ALHC: Margin Recovery Will Drive Medicare Advantage Market Share Gains

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Fair Value US$16.8 16.9% undervalued intrinsic discount

Rising CMS Pressures And Margin Risks Will Drag Performance

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Fair Value US$30 53.5% undervalued intrinsic discount

Digital Health And Aging Population Will Advance Coordinated Care

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US$16.8
16.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
22.56% p.a.
Profit Margin
1.73%
Future PE
33.67x
Price in 2029
US$20.6
US$24.92
44.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
27.01% p.a.
Profit Margin
2.26%
Future PE
36.5x
Price in 2029
US$30.6

Trending Discussion

ALHC logo

high medical loss ratios, and negative free cash flow signal that scaling profitably remains elusive; further failures to contain medical costs as it expands geographically could force reliance on additional debt or equity financing, diluting future earnings per share. First ALHC has positive FCF Metric FY2023 FY2024 FY2025 Q1 2026 CapEx / revenue 2.0% 1.5% 0.7% 0.6% SEC FCF margin -5.2% -0.2% 2.9% 9.8% SBC / revenue 3.7% 2.6% 1.6% 1.1% Second it has AVA ALHC’s own filing describes AVA as the backbone of care delivery. It says AVA ingests longitudinal data from 200+ sources, provides real-time member assessments, delivers prescriptive insights, and guides workflows such as prescriptions, caregiver alerts, lab-to-doctor information transfer, and treatment planning. It also says AVA uses machine learning and AI to predict hospital admission / readmission risk, member satisfaction, disenrollment risk, and disease propensity scores. The “gets better with more data” argument is also supported. ALHC says AVA’s models are based on hundreds of thousands of historical outcomes and are constantly updated with new data sets, enabling them to get smarter and more effective. So yes, AVA has a potential data flywheel: More members → more claims / pharmacy / lab / care data → better risk prediction and care workflows → earlier interventions → lower avoidable utilization → better Stars / retention / MBR → stronger plan benefits and growth → more members That is why ALHC itself calls AVA a “significant competitive advantage” and says it helps deliver information-enabled healthcare at scale. ________________________________________ What AVA helps ALHC do better Business lever How AVA helps Why it matters Care management Finds high-risk members earlier and pushes action lists to care teams Can reduce admissions, readmissions, ER visits, and avoidable cost Provider workflows Gives providers utilization, care-gap, risk-assessment, and member-priority data

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Updated Narratives

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ALHC: Future Multiple Reset Will Hinge On Whistleblower Resolution

Fair Value: US$16.8 16.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
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ALHC: Managed Care Positioning And Membership Trends Will Support Margin Recovery

Fair Value: US$24.92 44.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
11 users have set this as their fair value
0 users have commented on this narrative
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ALHC: Higher Revenue And Margin Assumptions Will Support Earnings Visibility

Fair Value: US$30 53.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
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Snowflake Analysis

Exceptional growth potential with excellent balance sheet.

1 Risk
3 Rewards

Alignment Healthcare, Inc. Key Details

US$4.6b

Revenue

US$4.0b

Cost of Revenue

US$574.4m

Gross Profit

US$533.7m

Other Expenses

US$40.7m

Earnings

Last Reported Earnings
Jun 30, 2026
Next Reporting Earnings
n/a
0.20
12.55%
0.89%
122.2%
View Full Analysis

About ALHC

Founded
2013
Employees
1849
CEO
John Kao
WebsiteView website
www.alignmenthealth.com

Alignment Healthcare, Inc. operates a consumer-centric healthcare platform for seniors in the United States. It delivers customized healthcare experience to meet the needs of seniors through its Medicare Advantage plans. Alignment Healthcare, Inc. was founded in 2013 and is based in Orange, California.

Recent ALHC News & Updates

Seeking Alpha Aug 11

Alignment Healthcare: The Drawdown I Told You To Wait For Has Arrived (Rating Upgrade)

Summary Alignment Healthcare is upgraded from Hold to Buy after a 38% valuation-driven drawdown, despite continued operational outperformance. Q2 results delivered record-low medical benefits ratio, 31% membership growth, 48% adjusted EBITDA growth, and raised full-year guidance. ALHC now trades at 29x 2026 EPS and 0.5x forward sales, with a fair value in the low-to-mid $20s, implying 40%+ upside. I recommend building positions on weakness, as a soft Q3 guide and persistent skepticism suggest continued volatility despite improved risk-reward. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Aug 04

ALHC: Future Multiple Reset Will Hinge On Whistleblower Resolution

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Alignment Healthcare, with the fair value estimate moving lower by about $1.36 per share as they factor in slower revenue growth assumptions, a lower future P/E multiple, and added earnings visibility risks tied to higher investment needs and recent accounting and guidance concerns. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Alignment Healthcare points to a more cautious stance from several bearish analysts.

Recent updates

No updates