AAON logo

AAON, Inc. Stock Price

NasdaqGS:AAON Community·US$10.8b Market Cap
  • 3 Narratives written by author
  • 0 Comments on narratives written by author
  • 10 Fair Values set on narratives written by author

AAON Share Price Performance

US$133.26
60.80 (83.91%)
US$122.75
Fair Value
US$133.26
60.80 (83.91%)
8.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
US$122.75
Fair Value
Price US$133.26
AnalystConsensusTarget US$122.75
AnalystLowTarget US$120.00
AnalystHighTarget US$154.00

AAON Community Narratives

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Fair Value US$122.75 8.6% overvalued intrinsic discount

Data Center Demand And Industrial Efficiency Will Shape Performance Through 2027

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·
Fair Value US$120 11.1% overvalued intrinsic discount

HVAC Regulatory Woes Will Squeeze Margins Yet Spark Recovery

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·
Fair Value US$154 13.5% undervalued intrinsic discount

Urbanization And Decarbonization Will Fuel Efficient HVAC Solutions

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US$120
11.1% overvalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
12.39% p.a.
Profit Margin
15.44%
Future PE
35.91x
Price in 2029
US$153.2
US$154
13.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
22.04% p.a.
Profit Margin
11.8%
Future PE
47.19x
Price in 2029
US$195.83
US$122.75
8.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
14.77% p.a.
Profit Margin
14.63%
Future PE
39.71x
Price in 2029
US$154.65

Trending Discussion

Updated Narratives

AAON logo

AAON: Record Backlog And Insider Selling Will Shape Stock Outlook

Fair Value: US$120 11.1% overvalued intrinsic discount
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AAON logo

AAON: Raised FY26 Guidance And Backlog Support Higher Long Term Earnings Power

Fair Value: US$154 13.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
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AAON logo

AAON: Data Center Cooling Strength Will Support Margins Despite Rubin Chip Concerns

Fair Value: US$122.75 8.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
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Snowflake Analysis

Moderate risk with reasonable growth potential.

5 Risks
1 Reward

AAON, Inc. Key Details

US$1.6b

Revenue

US$1.2b

Cost of Revenue

US$424.3m

Gross Profit

US$306.2m

Other Expenses

US$118.1m

Earnings

Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Reporting Earnings
n/a
1.44
26.24%
7.30%
45.5%
View Full Analysis

About AAON

Founded
1987
Employees
5897
CEO
Matthew Tobolski
WebsiteView website
www.aaon.com

AAON, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in engineering, manufacturing, marketing, and selling air conditioning and heating equipment in the United States and Canada. The company operates through three segments: AAON Oklahoma, AAON Coil Products, and BASX. It offers rooftop units, data center cooling solutions, cleanroom systems, packaged outdoor mechanical rooms, air handling units, makeup air units, energy recovery units, condensing units, geothermal/water-source heat pumps, coils, and controls. The company markets and sells its products to retail, manufacturing, educational, lodging, supermarket, data centers, medical and pharmaceutical, and other commercial industries. It sells its products through a network of independent manufacturer representative organizations and internal sales force, as well as online. AAON, Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma.

Recent AAON News & Updates

Seeking Alpha Jun 19

AAON: The AI Cooling Compounder Is Still Early

Summary AAON is transitioning from a niche HVAC manufacturer to a critical AI data center thermal infrastructure supplier, driven by its BASX acquisition. BASX-branded backlog surged 160% year-over-year to $1.62B, positioning AAON for rapid revenue growth and a new long-term earnings base. Management raised 2026 revenue growth guidance to 40%-45% and gross margin to 27%-28%, despite near-term margin pressure from capacity expansion. I assign AAON a strong buy rating, citing robust demand visibility, a capacity-driven moat, and a compelling AI infrastructure growth thesis. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article Jun 17

AAON (AAON) Stock Could Be 8.6% Overvalued After 2026 Growth Outlook Lift

AAON (AAON) raised its 2026 revenue growth outlook to 40% to 45%, citing record backlog, expanding capacity, and improving production execution, particularly at BASX, as key supports for the stock's recent move. See our latest analysis for AAON. The latest guidance upgrade lands on top of strong momentum in AAON stock, with a 90 day share price return of 66.6% and a 1 year total shareholder return of 86.58%. However, the 30 day share price move has been roughly flat, which may hint that...

Recent updates

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