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NVIDIA Corporation Stock Price

NasdaqGS:NVDA Community·US$5.3t Market Cap
  • 40 Narratives written by author
  • 111 Comments on narratives written by author
  • 7196 Fair Values set on narratives written by author

NVDA Share Price Performance

US$219.22
39.80 (22.18%)
US$280.00
Fair Value
US$219.22
39.80 (22.18%)
21.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
US$280.00
Fair Value
Price US$219.22
oscargarcia US$280.00
AnalystConsensusTarget US$302.83
KiwiInvest US$339.90

NVDA Community Narratives

Fair Value
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Fair Value US$280 21.7% undervalued intrinsic discount

The company that went from selling GPUs to gamers to becoming the AI arms dealer of the 21st century.

16users have liked this narrative
9users have commented on this narrative
257users have followed this narrative
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Fair Value US$302.83 27.6% undervalued intrinsic discount

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

35users have liked this narrative
8users have commented on this narrative
1272users have followed this narrative
Fair Value
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Fair Value US$339.9 35.5% undervalued intrinsic discount

NVIDIA's future hinges on $400b revenue and AI software dominance

37users have liked this narrative
11users have commented on this narrative
240users have followed this narrative
US$280
21.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
Fair Value
Revenue
7.45% p.a.
Profit Margin
51.69%
Future PE
54.47x
Price in 2031
US$440.18
US$339.9
35.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
Fair Value
Revenue
30% p.a.
Profit Margin
50%
Future PE
30x
Price in 2031
US$505.18
US$167
31.3% overvalued intrinsic discount
Fair Value
Revenue
5.74% p.a.
Profit Margin
55.6%
Future PE
42.06x
Price in 2031
US$280.38
US$270
18.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
Fair Value
Revenue
27.02% p.a.
Profit Margin
52%
Future PE
28.5x
Price in 2031
US$444.48
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NVIDIA

NVIDIA will see a profit margin surge of 55% in the next 5 years

1. The Undisputed King of AI Infrastructure NVIDIA’s dominance in the AI chip market is not merely a transient trend but a structural, long-term leadership position.Read more

View narrative
US$305.2
28.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
Fair Value
Revenue
22.67% p.a.
Profit Margin
55.6%
Future PE
35.95x
Price in 2031
US$503.53
US$313.75
30.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
Fair Value
Revenue
23.23% p.a.
Profit Margin
55.6%
Future PE
35.86x
Price in 2031
US$513.89
US$271.52
19.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
25% p.a.
Profit Margin
55.6%
Future PE
37.42x
Price in 2029
US$365.57
US$354.95
38.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
Fair Value
Revenue
23.9% p.a.
Profit Margin
53.01%
Future PE
47.9x
Price in 2031
US$582.72

Trending Discussion

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Confuse

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A lot of people are circulating this NVIDIA analysis, but there are several major issues in the assumptions and math that make the conclusions unreliable. Here are the key problems anyone should understand before taking it seriously: 1. The Share Count Used Is Off by ~10× — This Breaks the Entire Valuation The write‑up uses 24.4 billion diluted shares to calculate EPS. But NVIDIA’s actual diluted share count (from SEC filings) is ~2.4–2.6 billion. 2. The Revenue and Margin Assumptions Are Extremely Aggressive The bull/base/bear cases assume: $138B–$215B revenue by FY2027 43%–56% net margins These margins are higher than almost any megacap company in history at that scale. 3. “Every Major AI Model Runs on NVIDIA” Is Not True This is factually incorrect. Google trains on TPUs Amazon uses Trainium/Inferentia Meta is developing custom silicon Many inference workloads run on ASICs NVIDIA is dominant, not exclusive. 4. “Competitors Cannot Replicate CUDA in Less Than a Decade” Is Opinion, Not Fact 5. Insider Selling Is Misrepresented-The write‑up frames insider selling as the “single biggest red flag.” Missing context: Many sales are pre‑scheduled 10b5‑1 plans Jensen still holds a massive stake After a parabolic move, diversification is normal Insider selling ≠ insider pessimism It’s a data point, not a smoking gun. 6. The “Non‑Cash Earnings” Argument Is Misleading Yes, NVIDIA uses stock‑based compensation — like every major tech company. But cash flow from operations is enormous free cash flow is real Write‑up implies earnings quality is questionable without showing any actual cash flow metrics. The analysis looks polished, but it relies on: a 10× inflated share count aggressive margin assumptions speculative claims stated as facts one‑sided risk framing misleading interpretations of insider selling and earnings quality It’s not that NVIDIA is risk‑free — it isn’t. But the methodology in this write‑up is flawed enough that the conclusions, in my opinion, don’t hold up.

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Updated Narratives

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The company that went from selling GPUs to gamers to becoming the AI arms dealer of the 21st century.

Fair Value: US$280 21.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
257 users have set this as their fair value
9 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
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NVIDIA's AI Vision Will Continue To Propel Its Market Dominance

Fair Value: US$339.9 35.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
240 users have set this as their fair value
11 users have commented on this narrative
3 users have liked this narrative
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NVIDIA: The Indispensable Backbone of the AI Revolution

Fair Value: US$167 31.3% overvalued intrinsic discount
20 users have set this as their fair value
4 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Snowflake Analysis

Exceptional growth potential with flawless balance sheet.

2 Risks
4 Rewards

NVIDIA Corporation Key Details

US$253.5b

Revenue

US$65.5b

Cost of Revenue

US$188.0b

Gross Profit

US$28.3b

Other Expenses

US$159.6b

Earnings

Last Reported Earnings
Apr 26, 2026
Next Reporting Earnings
Aug 26, 2026
6.59
74.15%
62.97%
4.3%
View Full Analysis

About NVDA

Founded
1993
Employees
42000
CEO
Jen-Hsun Huang
WebsiteView website
www.nvidia.com

NVIDIA Corporation operates as a data center scale AI infrastructure company in the United States, Taiwan, China, Hong Kong, Europe, and internationally. It operates through Compute & Networking, and Graphics segments. The Compute & Networking segment provides data center accelerated computing and networking platforms and artificial intelligence solutions and software, and automotive platforms and autonomous and electric vehicle solutions, including software. The Graphics segment offers GeForce GPUs for gaming and PCs; Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation graphics. The company’s products are used in gaming, professional visualization, data center, and automotive markets. It sells its products to original equipment manufacturers, original device manufacturers, system integrators and distributors, independent software vendors, cloud service providers, add-in board manufacturers, distributors, automotive manufacturers and tier-1 automotive suppliers, and other ecosystem participants. NVIDIA Corporation was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.

Recent NVDA News & Updates

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