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Black Knight, Inc.NYSE:BKI Voorraadrapport

Marktkapitalisatie US$11.7b
Prijs aandeel
n/a
Mijn reële waarde
n.v.t.
1Y14.8%
7D-0.03%
1D
Portefeuillewaarde
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Black Knight, Inc.

NYSE:BKI Voorraadrapport

Marktkapitalisatie: US$11.7b

This company has been acquired

The company may no longer be operating, as it has been acquired. Find out why through their latest events.

Black Knight (BKI) Aandelenoverzicht

Black Knight, Inc. provides integrated software, data, and analytics solutions in North America and Internationally. Meer informatie

Risicoanalyse

Rentebetalingen worden niet goed gedekt door de winsten

De winst zal naar verwachting de komende drie jaar met gemiddeld 15% per jaar dalen.

Grote eenmalige posten die de financiële resultaten beïnvloeden

Winstmarges (16.1%) zijn lager dan vorig jaar (33.6%)


BKI Community Fair Values

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Black Knight, Inc. Concurrenten

Prijsgeschiedenis en prestaties

Overzicht van hoogtepunten, dieptepunten en veranderingen in de aandelenkoersen voor Black Knight
Historische aandelenkoersen
Huidige aandelenkoersUS$75.76
52 Week HoogtepuntUS$75.99
52 Week LaagUS$53.15
Bèta0.50
1 maand verandering1.88%
3 maanden verandering35.19%
1 Jaar Verandering14.81%
3 jaar verandering-7.90%
5 jaar verandering40.17%
Verandering sinds IPO80.38%

Recent nieuws en updates

Seeking Alpha • Aug 18

Black Knight: FTC Drops Lawsuit, A 30% Return Arbitrage Investment

Summary The Federal Trade Commission (FTC) has withdrawn its lawsuit against Black Knight and Intercontinental Exchange, increasing the chances of their merger being finalized. BKI shareholders may receive a premium and ICE shares if the deal goes through, but there is still uncertainty priced into the market. BKI's intrinsic value remains intact regardless of the deal outcome, and it has a solid track record of growth and shareholder emphasis. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Aug 18

Black Knight: FTC Drops Lawsuit, A 30% Return Arbitrage Investment

Summary The Federal Trade Commission (FTC) has withdrawn its lawsuit against Black Knight and Intercontinental Exchange, increasing the chances of their merger being finalized. BKI shareholders may receive a premium and ICE shares if the deal goes through, but there is still uncertainty priced into the market. BKI's intrinsic value remains intact regardless of the deal outcome, and it has a solid track record of growth and shareholder emphasis. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • May 30

An Update On How To Profit From The Black Knight-Intercontinental Exchange Merger With A Simple Arbitrage Strategy

Summary The FTC filed a complaint to block the BKI-ICE merger, alleging it would harm competition and innovation in the mortgage loan technology market. ICE pledged to strongly oppose the FTC's complaint and plans to take it to court, arguing that the merger would benefit customers and consumers. The BKI-ICE merger arbitrage opportunity is still alive but has become more complicated due to the FTC's intervention, and investors should adjust their strategies accordingly. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 10

Black Knight: Why The Market Isn't More Excited About Divestiture News

Summary Black Knight is being acquired by Intercontinental Exchange for $68 + 0.144 share. The market is very skeptical about whether the deal will pass muster with regulators. Black Knight has announced a key divestiture that makes a closing much more likely. If the deal doesn't work, I'm not convinced the downside is disastrous. May 4, 2022, Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) announced the acquisition of Black Knight, Inc. (BKI). Initially, BKI traded up on the deal, but it has given up on all those gains. The deal spread is very wide at $68 and 0.144 ICE shares. The consideration adds up to $83.48. Which leaves ~34% upside if the deal were to close. That's the catch, though. To realize the upside, the deal needs to close. Black Knight creates software, data, and analytics for the mortgage, home equity loans, and credit market. Market participants are skeptical this deal will ultimately close or at least believe it will take a very long time. There is essential news that Black Knight is looking to sell its Empower segment. Per Seeking Alpha: Black Knight (BKI) hired Truist to help explore a potential sale of Empower and has been soliciting interest from possible buyers, including private equity firms, according to a Reuters report, which cited people familiar. Empower may be valued at about $400 million. Seeking Alpha also said that a CTFN report said last month that bankers have been engaged about possible divestitures to try and get regulator approval for the acquisition. Also, per Seeking Alpha: Bank of America in a November upgrade of ICE said that the company would likely capitulate on divesting Empower to appease potential antitrust concerns. The original Reuters item (linked above) that set off the 2% surge included what I view as a key paragraph limiting the amount BKI appreciated (emphasis added): It is unclear whether a divestment of Empower would be sufficient to allay any FTC antitrust concerns. Holly Vedova, director of the FTC's Bureau of Competition, said in a speech last week, without addressing the Black Knight deal specifically, that the agency was not inclined to approve mergers on the basis of divestitures. "A review of academic research on the adequacy of proposed remedies reveals concern and skepticism over efforts to fix - rather than block - anticompetitive mergers," Vedova said.
Seeking Alpha • Jan 20

Black Knight gains amid report about potential divestures in ICE sale

Black Knight (NYSE:BKI) rose 2.8% on a report that bankers have been engaged about possible divestitures as InterContinental Exchange (NYSE:ICE) tries to get regulator approval for acquisition. ICE rose 1.3%. The parties are said to be engaging with bankers on possible divestures, according to traders, who cited a CTFN report that's circulating. The item also reportedly says the asset divestiture wouldn't solve the antitrust concerns. The share climb comes after a Federal Trade Commission closed door meeting on Thursday, which some investors speculated might have been a vote on the ICE transaction.  Analysts and investors have been skeptical if the deal would pass antitrust regulators since the $13 billion planned acquisition of Black Knight was announced in early May. ICE in November said it certified its compliance with the FTC in regards to Black Knight. Bank of America in a November upgrade of ICE  and said that the company would likely capitulate on divesting Empower to appease potential antitrust concerns.
Seeking Alpha • Oct 29

Black Knight: Merger Or No Merger, Buy

Summary A pivotal consideration is that once BKI's software is put into action, the software is indispensable to the operation of mortgage lenders. BKI has shown exemplary strength through COVID but has fallen victim to much of the restrictive inefficiencies that are the product of inflation. Relative to where BKI has historically traded over the last 5 years, it currently exhibits the characteristics of an underpriced stock. Much has been written about the merger (great article here: Black Knight: Merger Arbitrage With An Asymmetric Risk/Reward); however, this article will work on analysing the merits of Black Knight (BKI) as an individual business. Business Overview Residential real estate is the primary focus of BKI's business in the United States. Black Knight's ecosystem provides customers with different digital channels tailored to certain market niches via which they may have access to through a full suite of integrated software and workflow management solutions. The ecosystem, which is bolstered by large mortgage-specific datasets and powerful proprietary analytics, allows BKI to be a reliable partner to their customers by delivering cutting-edge solutions on a consistent basis. Mortgage servicers, mortgage banks, and home equity loan providers can all reap the benefits of the company's suite of eleven integrated software solutions for the mortgage industry. These systems provide the core data processing infrastructure that is required to handle all elements of a loan's life, including its origination, pricing, servicing, trading, and defaulting, among other things. Data and Analysis, sometimes known as a Business Intelligence ((BI)) department in its most basic form. BKI provides its customers with residential real estate data and analytics solutions, with the goal of assisting those customers in making informed business decisions. These solutions allow customers to obtain insight into their customers, their portfolios, and the market. BKI has competition mostly from a small number of other businesses in the market for software solutions. Mortgage Technology by Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), and the systems that lenders and servicers have developed on their own are some of its competitors. The Integration A pivotal consideration is that once BKI's software is put into action, the software is indispensable to the operation of mortgage lenders. The process of transitioning to a new system is typically extremely involved and might take anywhere from 12 to 18 months to complete. This provides BKI with a competitive advantage and helps to assure that its consumers will not leave the company unless there is an extremely compelling reason to do so. Due to the fact that BKI's software is mission-critical, mortgage lenders and servicers are not likely to switch to a solution that is less well-known and has not been tested. This is mostly because of the substantial switching expenses that are associated with making such a changeover. The mortgage lender or servicer that poses the most conceivable threat is one that has developed high-quality software in-house and is considering licensing it to other businesses in the industry. Even if we make this assumption, there would still be significant expenses associated with switching. Company Presentation Due to the SaaS nature of the software, there is a recurring nature to the revenue and therefore indicates that the income is consistent and not as susceptible to changes in market conditions. As a result of the fact that the Data business at BKI is based on licensing and subscriptions, it is able to bring in a consistent cash flow for the company. Author There is a clear distinction between the software market and the data market; each of these marketplaces has its own distinct set of competitors and a distinct set of products or services to offer customers. Company Presentation When it comes to data, BKI goes up against a variety of competitors, the likes of which include CoreLogic, First American Financial Corporation (FAF), and even BKI's very own in-house databases of mortgage loan market participants. BKI has a strong competitive advantage over its clients in the software business, which is one of the industries in which it operates. The market knowledge and statistics provided by BKI are beneficial, but they are not mission-critical for the majority of businesses. In addition, the cost of switching to a different service provider might range from being modest to inexpensive, depending on how important the service is and how well it connects with the various tools that are available. Creating a new database does take an investment of some time and money, but it is not a hurdle that cannot be overcome. This means that the entry barriers are not overly difficult to overcome. When compared to software, the reduced complexity and risk associated with such a project makes it more probable that people will convert, given that the pricing is comparable and the quality is equivalent. Financial State Of the Company BKI has shown exemplary strength through COVID but has fallen victim to much of the restrictive inefficiencies that are the product of inflation. This is evident in the 17% and 30% decline in Operating and FCF margin at the onset of inflation in 2021. FactSet Due to the nature of the software operating model, BKI's operating margin has enjoyed relatively high levels compared with different financial technology companies. This is effectively the reason that I have decided to source more 'software heavy' companies for the relative valuation.
Seeking Alpha • Aug 02

Black Knight: Merger Arbitrage With An Asymmetric Risk/Reward

Stock exchange giant, Intercontinental Exchange, buying Black Knight is an interesting merger arbitrage setup. The spread has widened to 28% amid a broader market sell-off. Antitrust concerns over vertical integration are the main risk, however, I believe the probability of the deal passing through the regulators is higher than the market is pricing in. The downside seems to be protected by fundamentals. Moreover, BKI has reportedly received buyout interest from both PE and strategic buyers. This is a large merger between two leading mortgage software providers. The spread used to fluctuate in the 15%-20% range but widened to 30% during the general market sell-off. At the current spread of 28%, this appears to be an asymmetric risk/return opportunity. If the market continues its bounce back from June lows, I expect the spread to narrow to previous levels. Yahoo Finance. Note: Red dots represent June 17 - FTC's second request date Mortgage tech provider Black Knight (BKI) is getting acquired by financial exchange and clearing house giant, Intercontinental Exchange (ICE). The consideration is ~80% cash ($68/share) and ~20% stock (0.144 ICE shares for each one of BKI) - at current prices this equates to $82/share. The merger has attracted antitrust regulators’ attention - in June, the FTC issued a second request for the companies. Regulator’s inquiry followed a public letter sent by the Community Home Lenders Association (CHLA) who argued that the merger could lead to higher service prices for mid- and small-sized mortgage providers, including independent mortgage banks (IMBs) who are generally unable to build their own in-house software. FTC’s investigation is ongoing and the agency will have 30 days to decide once the companies submit required information. Merger is expected to close in H1’23. Overall, the transaction seems highly synergistic as mortgage software services provided by both companies align nicely. BKI's primary focus is on mortgage servicing software while ICE operates mortgage origination software (origination includes lead generation, application and loan underwriting processes). The combined company will be able to more efficiently onboard loans from origination to servicing systems - a benefit for both the software provider and its customers, i.e. lenders. Moreover, both ICE and BKI own other businesses involved in other steps of a mortgage process - for instance, ICE runs electronic signing software Simplifile. Given this, the combined company will be able to integrate numerous platforms that will cover the entire mortgage process (which includes mortgage origination, servicing, settlement and default). Another benefit for the buyer - the merger is expected to raise the recurring revenue share of ICE’s mortgage technology segment from ~50% to ~70%. ICE and Black Knight Investor Presentation, May 5, 2022 The transaction will require shareholder approval. This seems likely given the offer premium to current share price and the low-cost basis of several major institutional shareholders (a combined 35% stake) who by my estimation are already sitting on 50%+ returns. Shareholders have not voiced any opposition so far. Meeting date has not been set yet. From an antitrust perspective, horizontal overlap across the two segments (loan origination and servicing) between the companies is rather limited: In the mortgage origination software market, BKI is the third largest player in the segment with a 10% market share but is significantly behind ICE who controls ~50% of the market. In the mortgage servicing segment, BKI had a 56% market share as of 2021 while ICE does not offer any competing platform. For these reasons, the main risk here is how antitrust regulators will evaluate the degree of vertical integration and its impact on small- and mid-sized lenders. In my view, there are some arguments which suggest the currently priced-in regulatory risk is too high: BKI serves mostly large mortgage providers - reportedly, the company services loans for 23 out of 25 largest industry players. As of 2020, 25 largest lenders have originated ~40% of total home loans (in units). Taking into account BKI’s mortgage servicing software market share (56%) and the fact that the company’s large client base extends beyond the 25 largest companies, exposure to smaller IMBs does not appear to be significant. This suggests that acquiring BKI will not provide ICE a significant market power in the small/mid-mortgage servicing segment - one of the main concerns of CHLA. Likewise, BKI’s presence in the origination software market, despite the seemingly significant market share (10%), suggests the acquisition could have little impact on independent mortgage banks. Apparently, BKI’s origination service client base is limited to less than 2% of ~6500 lenders in the US. The reason for this is that the company’s offerings are very distinct from ICE’s - BKI’s software is customized for each client while ICE focuses on standardized products. Analysis of merger cases reviewed by the FTC since Jan’21 suggest that mergers were mostly blocked due to significant horizontal overlap. Only two transactions involving vertical integration were blocked - Lockheed Martin-Aerojet Rocketdyne and Illumina-Grail. However, both cases involved companies operating in monopolistic markets - this is hardly the case with BKI who has competitors in the mortgage servicing software space. Here it is important to note that the FTC recently withdrew previous vertical merger guidelines. New guidelines are in the making and are expected to be published before the end of 2022 which implies some uncertainty. Fundamentally, the merger will eliminate the so-called double marginalization, i.e. markups that separate entities would impose in the different stages of a mortgage process. Moreover, the transaction is focused on digitalization and process automation which could reduce software product prices. Cost synergies are estimated at $200m over 5 years compared to ~$2.6bn in 2021 pro-forma combined revenue from the mortgage technology segment. CHLA has also argued that the deal will hinder innovation, however, ICE actually operates open networks and gives access to its APIs. Moreover, the buyer has said that it is willing to expand this approach to Black Knight’s products. Given that ICE already runs non-exclusive marketing/distribution partnerships with numerous start-ups, I believe the merger could actually spur innovation in the mortgage tech space.
Seeking Alpha • May 09

Merger Arbitrage Mondays: Black Knight To Be Acquired By Intercontinental

Two of the three new deals announced last week were potential deals in the works. Black Knight entered into a definitive agreement to be acquired by Intercontinental Exchange in a deal valued at $13.1 billion. Welltower made a nearly $5 billion all-cash bid for Healthcare Realty Trust.
Seeking Alpha • Feb 14

Black Knight: Wide-Moat Software And Data Specialist On Sale

Black Knight is a software and data provider to residential real estate industry. The Company has built a wide moat around most of its business thanks to limited competition and critical nature of its products to clients' operations. Black Knight sports high margins and reinvests free cash flows to continue growing revenues (long-term target of 7-9%). At $67 per share, the Company is 9% undervalued, implying a 12% annual return prospect in the long-term.
Seeking Alpha • Oct 27

Black Knight: Examining Recent Insider Buying

Today, we take a look at Black Knight, a solution provider to the mortgage and financial industry which recently picked up some insider buying. The company is also seeing revenue growth north of 20%, thanks both to organic sales gains and recent acquisitions. A full investment analysis follows in the paragraphs below.

Rendement voor aandeelhouders

BKIUS SoftwareUS Markt
7D-0.03%0.7%1.1%
1Y14.8%-6.6%28.7%

Rendement versus industrie: BKI presteerde slechter dan de US Software -sector, die het afgelopen jaar een rendement van -6.6 % opleverde.

Rendement versus markt: BKI overtrof de US markt, die het afgelopen jaar een rendement opleverde van 28.7 %.

Prijsvolatiliteit

Is BKI's price volatile compared to industry and market?
BKI volatility
BKI Average Weekly Movement5.0%
Software Industry Average Movement9.4%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.5%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.1%

Stabiele aandelenkoers: De aandelenkoers van BKI is de afgelopen 3 maanden volatiel geweest in vergelijking met de US markt.

Volatiliteit in de loop van de tijd: De wekelijkse volatiliteit ( 5% ) van BKI is het afgelopen jaar stabiel geweest.

Over het bedrijf

OpgerichtWerknemersCEOWebsite
20136,100Joe Nackashiwww.blackknightinc.com

Black Knight, Inc. Samenvatting

Hoe verhouden de winst en inkomsten van Black Knight zich tot de beurswaarde?
BKI fundamentele statistieken
MarktkapitalisatieUS$11.74b
Inkomsten(TTM)US$244.70m
Inkomsten(TTM)US$1.52b
48.0x
Koers/Winstverhouding
7.7x
P/S-verhouding

Is BKI overgewaardeerd?

Zie Reële waarde en waarderingsanalyse

Inkomsten en omzet

Belangrijkste winstgevendheidsstatistieken uit het laatste winstverslag (TTM)
BKI resultatenrekening (TTM)
InkomstenUS$1.52b
Kosten van inkomstenUS$881.00m
BrutowinstUS$639.60m
Overige uitgavenUS$394.90m
InkomstenUS$244.70m

Laatst gerapporteerde inkomsten

Jun 30, 2023

Volgende inkomensdatum

n.v.t.

Winst per aandeel (EPS)1.58
Brutomarge42.06%
Nettowinstmarge16.09%
Schuld/Eigen Vermogen Verhouding86.5%

Hoe presteerde BKI op de lange termijn?

Bekijk historische prestaties en vergelijking

Bedrijfsanalyse en status van financiële gegevens

GegevensLaatst bijgewerkt (UTC-tijd)
Bedrijfsanalyse2023/09/06 18:48
Aandelenkoers aan het einde van de dag2023/09/01 00:00
Inkomsten2023/06/30
Jaarlijkse inkomsten2022/12/31

Gegevensbronnen

De gegevens die gebruikt zijn in onze bedrijfsanalyse zijn afkomstig van S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. De volgende gegevens worden gebruikt in ons analysemodel om dit rapport te genereren. De gegevens zijn genormaliseerd, waardoor er een vertraging kan optreden voordat de bron beschikbaar is.

PakketGegevensTijdframeVoorbeeld Amerikaanse bron *
Financiële gegevens bedrijf10 jaar
  • Resultatenrekening
  • Kasstroomoverzicht
  • Balans
Consensus schattingen analisten+3 jaar
  • Financiële prognoses
  • Koersdoelen analisten
Marktprijzen30 jaar
  • Aandelenprijzen
  • Dividenden, splitsingen en acties
Eigendom10 jaar
  • Top aandeelhouders
  • Handel met voorkennis
Beheer10 jaar
  • Leiderschapsteam
  • Raad van bestuur
Belangrijkste ontwikkelingen10 jaar
  • Bedrijfsaankondigingen

* Voorbeeld voor effecten uit de VS, voor niet-Amerikaanse effecten worden gelijkwaardige formulieren en bronnen gebruikt.

Tenzij anders vermeld zijn alle financiële gegevens gebaseerd op een jaarperiode, maar worden ze elk kwartaal bijgewerkt. Dit staat bekend als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) of Last Twelve Month (LTM) gegevens. Meer informatie.

Analysemodel en Snowflake

Details van het analysemodel dat is gebruikt om dit rapport te genereren zijn beschikbaar op onze Github-pagina. We hebben ook handleidingen over hoe je onze rapporten kunt gebruiken en tutorials op YouTube.

Leer meer over het team van wereldklasse dat het Simply Wall St-analysemodel heeft ontworpen en gebouwd.

Industrie en sector

Onze industrie- en sectormetrics worden elke 6 uur berekend door Simply Wall St, details van ons proces zijn beschikbaar op Github.

Bronnen van analisten

Black Knight, Inc. wordt gevolgd door 18 analisten. 5 van deze analisten hebben de schattingen van de omzet of winst ingediend die zijn gebruikt als input voor ons rapport. Inzendingen van analisten worden de hele dag door bijgewerkt.

AnalistInstelling
Manav PatnaikBarclays
Mihir BhatiaBofA Global Research
Matthew GaudiosoCompass Point Research & Trading, LLC