JD.com Toekomstige groei
Future criteriumcontroles 3/6
JD.com zal naar verwachting groeien in winst en omzet met respectievelijk 21.6% en 5% per jaar. De winst per aandeel zal naar verwachting groeien met 23.9% per jaar. Het rendement op het eigen vermogen zal over 3 jaar naar verwachting 15.3% zijn.
Belangrijke informatie
21.6%
Groei van de winst
23.90%
Groei van de winst per aandeel
| Multiline Retail winstgroei | 15.7% |
| Inkomstengroei | 5.0% |
| Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen | 15.32% |
| Dekking van analisten | Good |
| Laatst bijgewerkt | 30 Apr 2026 |
Recente toekomstige groei-updates
Recent updates
JD: Ongoing Delivery Investments Will Continue To Pressure Margins And Returns
Analysts have lifted the JD.com fair value estimate from $23.65 to $26.57. This reflects updated assumptions around slightly higher revenue growth, modestly improved profit margins, a reduced discount rate, and a higher future P/E multiple, supported by a recent wave of price target increases and upgrades tied to lower food delivery spending and refreshed models after the latest results.JD.com: European Expansion Strengthens This Deeply Undervalued Chinese Giant
Apr 13
JD.com, Inc. (JD): The "Supply Chain Sovereign" Engineering a Global AI Retail Reset
JD.com, Inc. (JD) , China’s largest retailer by revenue and its premier vertically integrated e-commerce giant, closed the April 8, 2026, session at $29.05 USD on the NASDAQ.JD: Ongoing Delivery And Advertising Spend Will Pressure Margins For Longer
Analysts have trimmed JD.com's fair value estimate from $26.40 to $23.65, citing recent price target cuts that reflect ongoing pressure on profitability from investments in food delivery and advertising. Updated models incorporate revised assumptions for revenue growth, margins, and future P/E levels.
JD: Europe Expansion And Ongoing Investments Will Reshape Profitability Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for JD.com from about $60.47 to $53.57 as price targets across the Street move lower. The change reflects updated models that factor in a slightly higher discount rate, modestly softer margin expectations, and ongoing investment spending that is weighing on near term profitability.JD: Slower Revenue And Higher Marketing Spend Will Test Margin Resilience
Analysts have reduced their average fair value estimate for JD.com from about $28.36 to $26.40. This change reflects updated models after recent Q4 results and concerns about slower revenue growth, slightly lower profit margins, a higher discount rate, and ongoing pressure from advertising spend on profitability.An Intrinsic Calculation For JD.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:JD) Suggests It's 47% Undervalued
Jan 05
JD: Delivery Order Momentum Will Drive Further Business Expansion Ahead
JD.com's analyst price target has been raised slightly, reflecting a modest increase of $0.14 to $45.26. Analysts point to recent order growth and ongoing strategic investments supporting a positive outlook.Chinese Digital Retail And Logistics Will Open Markets Despite Risks
JD.com's analyst-derived fair value price target was nudged up by $0.13 to $45.12, as analysts cite slightly higher expected revenue growth. However, this is tempered by ongoing margin pressures and continued strategic investment priorities.Chinese Digital Retail And Logistics Will Open Markets Despite Risks
Analysts have modestly raised their fair value price target for JD.com from $44.52 to $44.99. They cite balanced expectations for the company's growth outlook, ongoing strategic investments, and profitability considerations.Chinese Digital Retail And Logistics Will Open Markets Despite Risks
Analysts have tempered their long-term outlook on JD.com due to ongoing margin pressures and uncertainty over profitability from new business investments, leading to a consensus price target that remains at $44.48 despite strong near-term revenue growth. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts remain positive on JD.com's near-term growth outlook, citing strong Q2 topline performance and expectations for above-consensus revenue growth.We Think That There Are Issues Underlying JD.com's (NASDAQ:JD) Earnings
Aug 21
Earnings Beat: JD.com, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models
Aug 18There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For JD.com's (NASDAQ:JD) Returns On Capital
Jul 15JD.com (NASDAQ:JD) Could Easily Take On More Debt
Jun 30JD.com, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:JD) Earnings Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors
Jun 15With EPS Growth And More, JD.com (NASDAQ:JD) Makes An Interesting Case
May 30JD.com: Enduring Growth Amid A Trade War, Hiking My Target Price
Apr 19JD.com: Why I See Significant Upside Potential
Mar 20JD.com: Upgrading To Buy On Government Subsidy Tailwinds Driving Growth
Mar 11JD: Earnings To Reflect Q4 Stimulus
Feb 24JD.com: Is Instant Retail A Recipe For Success Or A Misstep In A Crowded Market?
Feb 13JD.com: Consumption Subsidies A Short-Term Catalyst, But Value Trap Remains
Jan 13JD.Com: A Capital Return Play For 2025
Jan 05JD.Com Stock Should Surge Anew Despite Trump Tariffs
Dec 26
Enhanced Supply Chain And Strategic Programs Set The Stage For A Retail Growth Revolution
Enhanced supply chain and logistics are expected to lower costs and improve margins, positively impacting revenue and net margins.JD.com: Excellent Q3 Results, Cheap Again
Nov 14JD.com Could Thrive In A Trump Presidency
Nov 08JD.com: Valuation And Fundamentals At An Inflection Point
Oct 21JD.com: This Is Probably Just The Beginning
Oct 04Can JD Maintain Its Momentum
Sep 21JD.com: Top Chinese Stock To Buy Now
Aug 30JD.com's Q2 Earnings: Profit Margins Are Well Set To Soar 2x
Aug 19JD.com: A Depressed Multiple With Real EPS Growth And Impressive FCF
Aug 12JD.com: Great Bang For The Buck
Jul 18JD.com: Big Buyback Could Ramp Up Growth
Jul 10JD.com: A Cautious Buy On The Back Of Sentiment Recovery And The Economy
Jun 26JD.com: The Sell-Off Created An Opportunity
Jun 06JD.com: What Can We Expect From Q1 Results? (Rating Downgrade)
May 14Winst- en omzetgroeiprognoses
| Datum | Inkomsten | Inkomsten | Vrije kasstroom | Geldmiddelen uit operationele activiteiten | Gem. Aantal analisten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 1,547,166 | 44,190 | 59,608 | 78,562 | 22 |
| 12/31/2027 | 1,472,934 | 34,254 | 58,895 | 65,964 | 38 |
| 12/31/2026 | 1,391,461 | 24,831 | 42,630 | 61,261 | 41 |
| 12/31/2025 | 1,309,085 | 19,631 | 1,200 | 18,991 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 1,303,787 | 32,198 | 8,484 | 23,003 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 1,265,115 | 38,653 | 7,538 | 24,819 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 1,199,852 | 45,119 | 33,578 | 51,148 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 1,158,819 | 41,359 | 39,968 | 58,095 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 1,117,910 | 34,894 | 27,588 | 52,817 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 1,105,221 | 31,099 | 49,176 | 74,040 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 1,101,755 | 25,036 | 47,173 | 69,813 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 1,084,662 | 24,167 | 34,038 | 59,521 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 1,074,031 | 23,810 | 35,842 | 58,394 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 1,069,868 | 21,837 | 29,676 | 52,541 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 1,049,537 | 19,632 | 12,469 | 39,697 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 1,046,236 | 10,380 | 32,736 | 57,819 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 1,026,697 | 2,183 | 20,664 | 45,805 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 1,001,870 | -6,587 | 24,300 | 51,102 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 988,071 | -10,168 | 22,325 | 46,325 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 951,592 | -3,560 | 18,420 | 42,301 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 900,013 | 25,930 | 22,327 | 41,042 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 855,519 | 36,297 | 25,149 | 38,851 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 802,773 | 51,949 | 20,662 | 36,577 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 745,802 | 49,405 | 30,088 | 42,544 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 692,158 | 28,714 | 24,122 | 37,334 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 652,786 | 21,766 | 14,421 | 26,341 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 602,013 | 5,938 | 13,312 | 19,915 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 576,888 | 12,184 | 15,782 | 24,781 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 541,037 | 3,745 | N/A | 30,806 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 510,962 | 6,134 | N/A | 31,756 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 482,973 | 3,303 | N/A | 27,978 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 462,020 | -2,492 | N/A | 20,881 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 437,353 | 1,404 | N/A | 18,240 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 416,331 | -582 | N/A | 14,344 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 387,241 | 1,343 | N/A | 18,612 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 362,332 | 117 | N/A | 26,857 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 331,578 | -235 | N/A | 20,487 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 310,343 | -2,693 | N/A | 24,790 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 279,538 | -792 | N/A | 10,266 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 258,290 | -2,000 | N/A | 8,240 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 233,475 | -8,096 | N/A | 11,703 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 217,924 | -9,319 | N/A | -413 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 198,605 | -9,308 | N/A | 2,260 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 181,042 | -7,732 | N/A | 1,696 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 161,400 | -3,700 | N/A | 499 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 146,301 | -1,839 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Toekomstige groeivoorspellingen analisten
Verdiensten versus spaarpercentage: De verwachte winstgroei JD ( 21.6% per jaar) ligt boven de spaarquote ( 3.4% ).
Winst versus markt: De winst van JD ( 21.6% per jaar) zal naar verwachting sneller groeien dan de US markt ( 15.8% per jaar).
Hoge groeiwinsten: De winst van JD zal naar verwachting de komende 3 jaar aanzienlijk groeien.
Omzet versus markt: De omzet van JD ( 5% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan de markt US ( 11% per jaar).
Hoge groei-inkomsten: De omzet van JD ( 5% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan 20% per jaar.
Groeiprognoses winst per aandeel
Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen
Toekomstige ROE: Het rendement op eigen vermogen JD zal naar verwachting over 3 jaar laag zijn ( 15.3 %).
Ontdek groeibedrijven
Bedrijfsanalyse en status van financiële gegevens
| Gegevens | Laatst bijgewerkt (UTC-tijd) |
|---|---|
| Bedrijfsanalyse | 2026/04/30 19:25 |
| Aandelenkoers aan het einde van de dag | 2026/04/30 00:00 |
| Inkomsten | 2025/12/31 |
| Jaarlijkse inkomsten | 2025/12/31 |
Gegevensbronnen
De gegevens die gebruikt zijn in onze bedrijfsanalyse zijn afkomstig van S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. De volgende gegevens worden gebruikt in ons analysemodel om dit rapport te genereren. De gegevens zijn genormaliseerd, waardoor er een vertraging kan optreden voordat de bron beschikbaar is.
| Pakket | Gegevens | Tijdframe | Voorbeeld Amerikaanse bron * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financiële gegevens bedrijf | 10 jaar |
| |
| Consensus schattingen analisten | +3 jaar |
|
|
| Marktprijzen | 30 jaar |
| |
| Eigendom | 10 jaar |
| |
| Beheer | 10 jaar |
| |
| Belangrijkste ontwikkelingen | 10 jaar |
|
* Voorbeeld voor effecten uit de VS, voor niet-Amerikaanse effecten worden gelijkwaardige formulieren en bronnen gebruikt.
Tenzij anders vermeld zijn alle financiële gegevens gebaseerd op een jaarperiode, maar worden ze elk kwartaal bijgewerkt. Dit staat bekend als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) of Last Twelve Month (LTM) gegevens. Meer informatie.
Analysemodel en Snowflake
Details van het analysemodel dat is gebruikt om dit rapport te genereren zijn beschikbaar op onze Github-pagina. We hebben ook handleidingen over hoe je onze rapporten kunt gebruiken en tutorials op YouTube.
Leer meer over het team van wereldklasse dat het Simply Wall St-analysemodel heeft ontworpen en gebouwd.
Industrie en sector
Onze industrie- en sectormetrics worden elke 6 uur berekend door Simply Wall St, details van ons proces zijn beschikbaar op Github.
Bronnen van analisten
JD.com, Inc. wordt gevolgd door 72 analisten. 41 van deze analisten hebben de schattingen van de omzet of winst ingediend die zijn gebruikt als input voor ons rapport. Inzendingen van analisten worden de hele dag door bijgewerkt.
| Analist | Instelling |
|---|---|
| Zixiao Yang | Arete Research Services LLP |
| Jiong Shao | Barclays |
| Alicia Yap | Barclays |