Ardagh Metal Packaging (AMBP) Aandelenoverzicht
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. is, samen met haar dochterondernemingen, actief als producent van metalen drankblikjes in Europa, Noord-Amerika en Brazilië. Meer informatie
| Sneeuwvlok Score | |
|---|---|
| Waardering | 5/6 |
| Toekomstige groei | 3/6 |
| Prestaties in het verleden | 0/6 |
| Financiële gezondheid | 2/6 |
| Dividenden | 2/6 |
Beloningen
Risicoanalyse
AMBP Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 19 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. Concurrenten
Prijsgeschiedenis en prestaties
| Historische aandelenkoersen | |
|---|---|
| Huidige aandelenkoers | US$4.01 |
| 52 Week Hoogtepunt | US$5.03 |
| 52 Week Laag | US$3.29 |
| Bèta | 0.55 |
| 1 maand verandering | -1.96% |
| 3 maanden verandering | -17.49% |
| 1 Jaar Verandering | 6.37% |
| 3 jaar verandering | 9.56% |
| 5 jaar verandering | -60.99% |
| Verandering sinds IPO | -59.90% |
Recent nieuws en updates
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Apr 18
Ardagh Metal Packaging: Execution Holds, Tailwinds Build, Valuation Undemanding
Summary Ardagh Metal Packaging is reinstated with a buy rating, reflecting 32% upside and a 10% dividend yield. The company continues to deliver, with a 4Q EBITDA beat and Q1 guidance slightly ahead of consensus, suggesting resilient operational performance even as the market remains cautious. While energy exposure remains a focus, hedging and pass-through mechanisms limit downside, and long-term demand is supported by sustainability trends and increasing metal packaging penetration. Valuation remains attractive, while recent hedge fund positioning signals a shift in investor sentiment. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narratiefupdate • Apr 11
AMBP: Revised Cash Flow Assumptions Should Support Future Upside Potential
The analyst price target for Ardagh Metal Packaging has been adjusted slightly lower to align with a revised fair value of about $4.66. This reflects updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth and profit margins that analysts have highlighted in recent research.Narratiefupdate • Mar 28
AMBP: Rising Packaging Demand Should Support Upside Despite Leverage Risk
Analyst price targets for Ardagh Metal Packaging have moved higher to a range of about $4.75 to $6, as analysts cite slightly stronger revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, along with a modestly lower future P/E multiple in their updated models. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a split view on Ardagh Metal Packaging, with several bullish analysts nudging price targets higher while one bearish analyst trims expectations.
Nieuw narratief • Mar 22
Tight Can Capacity And Leverage Will Shape Future Earnings Resilience
Catalysts About Ardagh Metal Packaging Ardagh Metal Packaging produces metal beverage cans for soft drinks, beer and a range of other categories across Europe and the Americas. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narratiefupdate • Mar 14
AMBP: Beverage Can Demand Should Support Upside Despite Leverage Concerns
Narrative Update on Ardagh Metal Packaging The analyst price target for Ardagh Metal Packaging has edged higher as the fair value estimate moves from about $4.86 to roughly $4.92. This shift is supported by a series of recent target increases from $4.25 to $4.75, $5 to $6, and $4 to $5, partly offset by one cut to $3.60 that reflects ongoing concerns about leverage and potential share loss in North America.Narratiefupdate • Feb 28
AMBP: Fair Valuation Balances Leverage Risks And Beverage Packaging Demand
Analyst fair value for Ardagh Metal Packaging has edged up from about $4.30 to roughly $4.86, reflecting a series of recent price target increases from $4.25 to $4.75 at UBS, $5 to $6 at Citi, and $4 to $5 at Truist, partially offset by BofA trimming its target to $3.60 because of capital structure and leverage concerns. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Ardagh Metal Packaging reflects a split view, with some analysts lifting price targets and others turning more cautious based on the balance sheet and competitive outlook.Narratiefupdate • Dec 13
AMBP: Slight EPS Upgrades Will Balance Regional Challenges Ahead
Analysts have nudged their price target on Ardagh Metal Packaging up by $0.10 to $4.00, reflecting modestly higher EPS forecasts after what they described as a solid quarter despite regional operating challenges. Analyst Commentary Analyst reactions to the latest results highlight a nuanced view of Ardagh Metal Packaging, with modestly higher earnings expectations but ongoing concerns about regional performance and the overall risk reward profile.Narratiefupdate • Oct 25
Resilient Earnings And Sustainable Packaging Will Shape Global Expansion Outlook
Narrative Update on Ardagh Metal Packaging Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Ardagh Metal Packaging to $4.00 from $3.90, citing improved earnings forecasts following the company's solid quarterly performance despite regional headwinds. Analyst Commentary Following the recent quarterly results for Ardagh Metal Packaging, analysts have updated their projections and identified both positive developments and areas of concern that could impact the company's outlook and valuation.Analyseartikel • Jun 15
Estimating The Fair Value Of Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (NYSE:AMBP)
Key Insights Ardagh Metal Packaging's estimated fair value is US$4.01 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current...
Nieuw narratief • Apr 28
Americas And Europe Capacity Expansions Will Unlock Beverage Potential
Strategic entry into new beverage categories and capacity investments support revenue and margin growth despite tight capacity environments.Seeking Alpha • Apr 26
Ardagh Metal Packaging: I Don't Like The Double-Digit Dividend Yield
Summary I've maintained a long position in Ardagh Metal Packaging despite initial losses, focusing on their strong free cash flow profile over the 11% dividend yield. Q1 2025 saw a revenue increase to $1.27B and a gross profit rise of more than 20%, but a net loss due to high depreciation and amortization expenses. Adjusted for working capital changes, the underlying operating cash flow was $103M, leading to a net free cash flow of $58M for common shareholders. I prefer debt reduction over dividends given the $3.4B net debt, but remain invested as the stock trades at less than 8 times sustaining free cash flow. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalyseartikel • Apr 23
Insufficient Growth At Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (NYSE:AMBP) Hampers Share Price
When you see that almost half of the companies in the Packaging industry in the United States have price-to-sales...Analyseartikel • Feb 28
Is There An Opportunity With Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.'s (NYSE:AMBP) 48% Undervaluation?
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Ardagh Metal Packaging fair value estimate is US$6.07 Ardagh...Seeking Alpha • Jan 08
Ardagh Metal Packaging: Risk-Reward Looks Promising, But Not Out Of The Woods
Summary Ardagh Metal Packaging has a strong market presence in the metal beverage can industry, with production in 9 countries and multi-year contracts with major brands. AMBP has been a source of wealth destruction both in the short-term and the long-term, and we are in two minds over whether this could change. We proceed to discuss various fundamental sub-plots that could weigh on the movement of AMBP. Tactical traders might find AMBP appealing due to its potential for mean-reversion relative to other Russell 2000 peers, and the attractive risk-reward on the standalone charts. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalyseartikel • Dec 21
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.'s (NYSE:AMBP) Share Price Is Matching Sentiment Around Its Revenues
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.'s ( NYSE:AMBP ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x may look like a pretty appealing...Seeking Alpha • Oct 28
Ardagh Metal Packaging: What's Next For This 11% Yielding Stock
Summary Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. shows strong growth potential for 2025, with a positive outlook reinforced by Q3 2024 earnings. Q3 2024 saw a 2% increase in metal beverage can shipments and a 15% rise in adjusted EBITDA, driven by margin normalization in Europe and improved manufacturing in the Americas. Resilient beverage consumption trends and strong input cost management contributed to Ardagh's performance, leading to an increased full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance of $650M-$660M. Ardagh expects beverage cans to outperform other containers due to their circularity and decarbonization benefits, supported by customer innovation. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 11
Ardagh Metal Packaging: Canning Future Growth - Strong Buy
Summary Strong growth prospects in key regions like Brazil outweigh short-term sales declines. Management’s plan to reduce leverage from 5.8x to 5.2x strengthens the financial outlook. Institutional investors, including King Street Capital Management, show bullish sentiment, with significant long positions and increased call options in the last quarter. Strong cash flow supports Ardagh’s ability to manage debt and interest payments while funding growth initiatives. I believe Ardagh is undervalued, with strong cash flow and key metrics below industry averages, making it a Strong Buy. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalyseartikel • Jun 04
Ardagh Metal Packaging's (NYSE:AMBP) Dividend Will Be $0.10
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. ( NYSE:AMBP ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.10 per share on the 26th of...Analyseartikel • May 09
Ardagh Metal Packaging (NYSE:AMBP) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.10
The board of Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. ( NYSE:AMBP ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.10 per share on...Seeking Alpha • Apr 29
Ardagh Metal Packaging: Stubbornly Maintaining Its 10% Dividend Yield
Summary Ardagh Metal Packaging reported a strong start to the year with 11% revenue growth in the Americas. The company's operating profit was $14M, resulting in a net loss of $12M. AMBP expects an increase in EBITDA of over 25% for the current quarter and confirms full-year EBITDA at $630-660M. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalyseartikel • Apr 22
Ardagh Metal Packaging (NYSE:AMBP) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Analyseartikel • Feb 25
Investors Interested In Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.'s (NYSE:AMBP) Revenues
With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.8x in the Packaging industry in the United States, you...Analyseartikel • Feb 25
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. Just Missed Earnings; Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now
Last week, you might have seen that Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. ( NYSE:AMBP ) released its yearly result to the market...Analyseartikel • Nov 09
A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.'s (NYSE:AMBP) 26% Share Price Climb
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. ( NYSE:AMBP ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period...Seeking Alpha • Oct 30
Ardagh Metal Packaging: The 12% Yield Is Now Fully Covered
Summary Ardagh Metal Packaging meets Q3 EBITDA guidance, leading to a positive market reaction. The company reduced its full-year adjusted EBITDA target, slightly disappointing but not negatively impacting the market. Ardagh's dividend is sustainable and fully covered by sustaining free cash flow, with plans to reduce debt and improve debt ratios. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalyseartikel • Sep 26
An Intrinsic Calculation For Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (NYSE:AMBP) Suggests It's 32% Undervalued
Key Insights Using the Dividend Discount Model, Ardagh Metal Packaging fair value estimate is US$4.66 Ardagh Metal...Seeking Alpha • Aug 24
Ardagh Metal Packaging: Debt Levels Pose A Risk
Summary Ardagh Metal Packaging manufactures metal cans for beverage producers. The company's stock has seen a large decrease in price since going public in 2021, as the company's operating margin has fell from its historical level. Ardagh's financials have shown growth as the company has had heavy investments, but as investments slow down the company should see a more static future. The current stock level seems to price the stock near my DCF model's estimated fair value, constituting a hold-rating. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRendement voor aandeelhouders
| AMBP | US Packaging | US Markt | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 1.3% | -3.4% | 1.1% |
| 1Y | 6.4% | -13.4% | 26.7% |
Rendement versus industrie: AMBP overtrof de US Packaging industrie, die het afgelopen jaar een rendement -13.4 % opleverde.
Rendement versus markt: AMBP presteerde slechter dan US Market, dat het afgelopen jaar een rendement van 26.7 % opleverde.
Prijsvolatiliteit
| AMBP volatility | |
|---|---|
| AMBP Average Weekly Movement | 5.0% |
| Packaging Industry Average Movement | 5.5% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.2% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.1% |
Stabiele aandelenkoers: AMBP heeft de afgelopen 3 maanden geen significante prijsvolatiliteit gekend vergeleken met de US markt.
Volatiliteit in de loop van de tijd: De wekelijkse volatiliteit ( 5% ) van AMBP is het afgelopen jaar stabiel geweest.
Over het bedrijf
| Opgericht | Werknemers | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1932 | 6,500 | Oliver Graham | www.ardaghmetalpackaging.com |
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. is, samen met haar dochterondernemingen, actief als producent van metalen drankblikjes in Europa, Noord-Amerika en Brazilië. Het biedt een assortiment drankblikjes voor gebruik in bruisend water, frisdranken, bier, wijn, gearomatiseerde moutdranken, energiedranken en thee, evenals gearomatiseerde alcoholische dranken aan drankenproducenten. Het bedrijf werd opgericht in 1932 en is gevestigd in Luxemburg.
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. Samenvatting
| AMBP fundamentele statistieken | |
|---|---|
| Marktkapitalisatie | US$2.40b |
| Inkomsten(TTM) | -US$5.00m |
| Inkomsten(TTM) | US$5.73b |
0.4x
P/S-verhouding-479.4x
Koers/WinstverhoudingIs AMBP overgewaardeerd?
Zie Reële waarde en waarderingsanalyseInkomsten en omzet
| AMBP resultatenrekening (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Inkomsten | US$5.73b |
| Kosten van inkomsten | US$5.01b |
| Brutowinst | US$724.00m |
| Overige uitgaven | US$729.00m |
| Inkomsten | -US$5.00m |
Laatst gerapporteerde inkomsten
Mar 31, 2026
Volgende inkomensdatum
n.v.t.
| Winst per aandeel (EPS) | -0.0084 |
| Brutomarge | 12.63% |
| Nettowinstmarge | -0.087% |
| Schuld/Eigen Vermogen Verhouding | -601.0% |
Hoe presteerde AMBP op de lange termijn?
Bekijk historische prestaties en vergelijkingDividenden
10.0%
Huidig dividendrendement-4,782%
UitbetalingsratioBetaalt AMBP een betrouwbaar dividend?
Zie AMBP dividendgeschiedenis en benchmarks| Ardagh Metal Packaging dividenddata | |
|---|---|
| Ex Dividend Datum | Jun 11 2026 |
| Betaaldatum dividend | Jun 25 2026 |
| Dagen tot Ex-dividend | 26 days |
| Dagen tot dividendbetaaldatum | 40 days |
Betaalt AMBP een betrouwbaar dividend?
Zie AMBP dividendgeschiedenis en benchmarksBedrijfsanalyse en status van financiële gegevens
| Gegevens | Laatst bijgewerkt (UTC-tijd) |
|---|---|
| Bedrijfsanalyse | 2026/05/14 15:22 |
| Aandelenkoers aan het einde van de dag | 2026/05/14 00:00 |
| Inkomsten | 2026/03/31 |
| Jaarlijkse inkomsten | 2025/12/31 |
Gegevensbronnen
De gegevens die gebruikt zijn in onze bedrijfsanalyse zijn afkomstig van S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. De volgende gegevens worden gebruikt in ons analysemodel om dit rapport te genereren. De gegevens zijn genormaliseerd, waardoor er een vertraging kan optreden voordat de bron beschikbaar is.
| Pakket | Gegevens | Tijdframe | Voorbeeld Amerikaanse bron * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financiële gegevens bedrijf | 10 jaar |
| |
| Consensus schattingen analisten | +3 jaar |
|
|
| Marktprijzen | 30 jaar |
| |
| Eigendom | 10 jaar |
| |
| Beheer | 10 jaar |
| |
| Belangrijkste ontwikkelingen | 10 jaar |
|
* Voorbeeld voor effecten uit de VS, voor niet-Amerikaanse effecten worden gelijkwaardige formulieren en bronnen gebruikt.
Tenzij anders vermeld zijn alle financiële gegevens gebaseerd op een jaarperiode, maar worden ze elk kwartaal bijgewerkt. Dit staat bekend als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) of Last Twelve Month (LTM) gegevens. Meer informatie.
Analysemodel en Snowflake
Details van het analysemodel dat is gebruikt om dit rapport te genereren zijn beschikbaar op onze Github-pagina. We hebben ook handleidingen over hoe je onze rapporten kunt gebruiken en tutorials op YouTube.
Leer meer over het team van wereldklasse dat het Simply Wall St-analysemodel heeft ontworpen en gebouwd.
Industrie en sector
Onze industrie- en sectormetrics worden elke 6 uur berekend door Simply Wall St, details van ons proces zijn beschikbaar op Github.
Bronnen van analisten
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. wordt gevolgd door 11 analisten. 7 van deze analisten hebben de schattingen van de omzet of winst ingediend die zijn gebruikt als input voor ons rapport. Inzendingen van analisten worden de hele dag door bijgewerkt.
| Analist | Instelling |
|---|---|
| Michael Leithead | Barclays |
| Patrick Duffy Fischer | Barclays |
| Mark Wilde | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |