Phillips 66 Toekomstige groei
Future criteriumcontroles 1/6
De omzet van Phillips 66 zal naar verwachting dalen met 1.4% per jaar, terwijl de jaarlijkse winst naar verwachting zal groeien met 5.6% per jaar. De winst per aandeel zal naar verwachting groeien met 9% per jaar. Het rendement op het eigen vermogen zal over 3 jaar naar verwachting 16.5% zijn.
Belangrijke informatie
5.6%
Groei van de winst
9.01%
Groei van de winst per aandeel
| Oil and Gas winstgroei | 10.9% |
| Inkomstengroei | -1.4% |
| Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen | 16.52% |
| Dekking van analisten | Good |
| Laatst bijgewerkt | 10 May 2026 |
Recente toekomstige groei-updates
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • May 10
Phillips 66: Markets Underappreciate The Durability Of Refining Profitability
Summary Phillips 66 is well-positioned for a significant windfall from elevated crack spreads driven by global supply disruptions and the Iran War. Refining margins surged to $10.11/barrel, with spreads near $60, potentially delivering $7B+ cumulative windfall through 2027, or ~$20/share. Operational improvements and cost reductions, alongside a 50% capital return policy, support robust shareholder returns and accelerated debt reduction. I maintain a Buy rating on PSX, raising my 2026 EPS estimate to at least $17.50 and setting a 12-month price target of $190. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analyse-update • Apr 26
PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Western Gateway Midstream Expansion
Analysts have nudged the Phillips 66 fair value estimate higher by about $2 to roughly $181 per share. This reflects updated price targets that take into account refined oil price assumptions, recent conversations with management, and refreshed earnings models across multiple research firms.
Nieuwe analyse • Apr 20
Heavy Crude Exposure And Cost Targets Will Limit Long Term Earnings Potential
Catalysts About Phillips 66 Phillips 66 is a diversified energy company involved in refining, midstream logistics, chemicals, marketing and renewable fuels. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Analyse-update • Apr 09
PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Midstream Delivery And Venezuela Crude Shift
Analysts have lifted the Phillips 66 fair value estimate from $165.45 to $179.10, citing a series of higher Street price targets and updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Phillips 66 has been active, with a cluster of price target revisions and refreshed models across large banks and sector specialists.
Nieuwe analyse • Apr 02
Midstream Expansion And Heavy Crude Optionality Will Define This Refining Leader’s Next Chapter
Catalysts About Phillips 66 Phillips 66 is an integrated energy company with operations in refining, midstream, chemicals and marketing across North America and Europe. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Analyse-update • Mar 26
PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Midstream Execution And Venezuela Crude Realignment
Analysts have lifted the Phillips 66 fair value estimate from $160.15 to $165.45. The revision reflects a series of higher price targets that cite updated oil price assumptions, discussions with management on midstream growth, and refreshed models following recent commodity and geopolitical developments.Analyse-update • Mar 12
PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Midstream Projects And Venezuela Crude Shift
Our fair value estimate for Phillips 66 has moved modestly higher to $160.15 from $157.55, as analysts update models and price targets, including several recent increases toward the $158 level. They cite midstream growth expectations and refreshed assumptions following the latest Q4 updates and management commentary.Analyse-update • Feb 26
PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Midstream Expansion And Venezuela Crude Sourcing Shift
Our Phillips 66 fair value estimate edges up by about $2 to $157.55 as analysts lift price targets toward $158, pointing to updated models after recent results and a constructive view on midstream growth prospects for FY25 and FY26. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Phillips 66 is clustered around updated models and revised price targets, with most activity tied to Q4 reporting and views on midstream fundamentals heading into FY25 and FY26.Analyse-artikel • Feb 11
Concerns Surrounding Phillips 66's (NYSE:PSX) Performance
Following the solid earnings report from Phillips 66 ( NYSE:PSX ), the market responded by bidding up the stock price...Analyse-update • Feb 10
PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Pipeline Expansion And Refiner Sentiment Reset
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Phillips 66 higher to $155.70 from $151.45, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly revised P/E outlook informed by a recent wave of price target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Phillips 66 shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms revising price targets and updating their views ahead of upcoming quarters.Analyse-update • Jan 26
PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Cash Returns And Refiner Sentiment Reset
The analyst price target for Phillips 66 has shifted to US$151.45 from about US$149.30 as analysts incorporate updated commodity assumptions, modestly softer revenue and margin expectations, and slightly higher future P/E multiples into their models. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Phillips 66 point to a mix of optimism around execution and margins, alongside fresh caution on sector risks and valuation after a strong share price move.Analyse-update • Jan 12
PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Cash Returns And Refining Margin Support
Analysts have made only a modest adjustment to their Phillips 66 fair value estimate, lifting it by about $0.45, as they weigh slightly softer revenue expectations against a small improvement in projected profit margin, a lower discount rate, and a marginally reduced future P/E multiple, all in the context of mixed recent price target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on Phillips 66 reflects a mix of optimism around cash returns and refining fundamentals, balanced against concerns about sector sentiment and crude price risks.Analyse-update • Dec 23
PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Robust Capital Returns Amid Refining Margin Support
Analysts have nudged their blended price target on Phillips 66 slightly lower to approximately $149 from about $149.35, reflecting a modestly higher discount rate and softer long term revenue expectations. This is partially offset by slightly improved profit margin and future earnings multiple assumptions informed by recent target increases and ratings changes across the Street.Analyse-update • Dec 09
PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Resilient Margins And Capital Returns Balancing Risks
Phillips 66's fair value estimate has edged up by about $2 to $149.35, as analysts factor in a wave of higher price targets across the Street. This shift is supported by expectations for resilient refining margins, supply tightness, and improved profitability, despite more cautious revenue growth assumptions.Analyse-update • Nov 25
PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Shifting Refining and Crude Trends Ahead
The analyst price target for Phillips 66 has edged higher from $146.10 to $147.65, as analysts cite sustained refining profitability, an improving revenue growth outlook, and supportive trends in crude markets despite ongoing margin debates. Analyst Commentary Recent street research provides a comprehensive view of how analysts assess Phillips 66's near- and medium-term prospects.Analyse-update • Nov 03
PSX: Rising Capital Returns And Refining Margins Will Support Sector Resilience Ahead
Phillips 66’s analyst price target has risen modestly to $146.10, reflecting analyst expectations for firmer profit margins and continued sector resilience as energy market dynamics evolve. Analyst Commentary Recent street research provides insight into the factors driving both optimism and caution among analysts covering Phillips 66.Analyse-update • Oct 20
NGL, Midstream And Refining Upgrades Will Shape Future Success
Phillips 66’s analyst price target has increased from $141.58 to $145.20, as analysts cite resilient refining margins and ongoing industry optimism despite softer demand indicators and modest growth expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst commentary on Phillips 66 reflects both confidence in the company’s positioning and ongoing caution regarding sector dynamics.Analyse-update • Oct 05
NGL, Midstream And Refining Upgrades Will Shape Future Success
Analysts have raised their price target for Phillips 66 by $1.74 to $141.58, citing stronger-than-expected refining margins and improved outlooks for profit and revenue growth. Analyst Commentary Recent street research reveals a mix of optimism and caution among analysts evaluating Phillips 66.Analyse-update • Sep 20
NGL, Midstream And Refining Upgrades Will Shape Future Success
Consensus price targets for Phillips 66 have increased to $139.84, reflecting analyst confidence in persistent refining margin strength, strong recent results, and upside from chemicals, while near-term risks from potential activist exits and sector pullbacks are noted. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite persistent strength in refining margins, with global product markets remaining relatively tight and distillate tightness expected to continue into winter, supporting a higher margin risk well into 2026.Analyse-update • Aug 27
NGL, Midstream And Refining Upgrades Will Shape Future Success
Analysts have slightly lowered Phillips 66’s price target to $136.00, reflecting near-term caution due to potential post-proxy battle selling pressure and high Q2 expectations, despite an improved medium-term refining outlook and a strong balance sheet. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite positive earnings revisions expected in the second half of the year, supported by distillate strength and tightening global product supply/demand balances forecasted for 2026 and 2027.Analyse-artikel • Aug 14
Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) Might Be Having Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively
NYSE:PSX 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Phillips 66's Fair Values from the Community and select yours There...Nieuwe analyse • Apr 06
room for higher margins
Industry Position: Phillips 66 is a major player in the energy sector, particularly in refining, marketing, and transportation. Analysts often look at the company's ability to capitalize on operationaSeeking Alpha • Mar 26
Elliott Management Applies Pressure With Phillips 66 Board Fight
Summary Phillips 66 has underperformed compared to peers, with chronic issues in its Refining Segment and large investments in underperforming global pet-chem plants. Earlier this month, activist investor Elliott Management nominated seven directors to PSX's board and is lobbying to spin-off PSX's Midstream Segment to unlock shareholder value. PSX's Midstream Segment has shown strong growth and is its most consistent well-performing segment, enabling robust dividend growth since going public. I maintain a Hold rating for PSX due to limited downside, the attractive 3.64% dividend yield, and potential for continued strong dividend growth. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaWinst- en omzetgroeiprognoses
| Datum | Inkomsten | Inkomsten | Vrije kasstroom | Geldmiddelen uit operationele activiteiten | Gem. Aantal analisten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 134,198 | 7,126 | 7,006 | 7,596 | 3 |
| 12/31/2027 | 138,590 | 6,608 | 6,787 | 7,949 | 7 |
| 12/31/2026 | 146,720 | 6,949 | 7,003 | 7,118 | 7 |
| 3/31/2026 | 134,486 | 4,114 | 119 | 2,511 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 132,376 | 4,394 | 2,729 | 4,962 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 131,953 | 1,497 | 1,351 | 3,408 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 132,966 | 1,708 | 1,488 | 3,362 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 137,772 | 1,846 | 2,960 | 4,614 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 143,153 | 2,107 | 2,332 | 4,191 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 147,738 | 3,358 | 3,196 | 5,183 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 151,853 | 5,110 | 4,515 | 6,736 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 148,814 | 5,792 | 3,189 | 5,594 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 147,399 | 7,004 | 4,874 | 7,029 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 149,408 | 7,629 | 7,355 | 9,589 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 154,720 | 10,922 | 7,671 | 10,048 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 168,207 | 12,392 | 8,674 | 10,876 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 169,990 | 11,014 | 8,925 | 10,813 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 162,315 | 10,403 | 5,785 | 7,863 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 147,603 | 5,416 | 5,027 | 6,922 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 126,028 | 2,543 | 4,983 | 6,882 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 111,476 | 1,306 | 4,157 | 6,017 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 95,242 | -506 | 3,087 | 4,856 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 80,948 | -1,708 | 1,375 | 3,144 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 64,881 | -2,142 | -163 | 2,165 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 64,129 | -3,983 | -809 | 2,111 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 76,863 | -2,707 | -526 | 3,166 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 88,148 | -1,196 | 330 | 4,337 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 105,083 | 369 | 1,804 | 5,503 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 107,293 | 3,070 | N/A | 4,808 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 107,330 | 4,573 | N/A | 7,253 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 109,884 | 5,354 | N/A | 6,173 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 110,994 | 5,270 | N/A | 6,607 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 111,492 | 5,589 | N/A | 7,573 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 108,719 | 6,547 | N/A | 5,365 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 101,182 | 5,878 | N/A | 5,184 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 93,037 | 5,088 | N/A | 4,685 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 89,300 | 5,100 | N/A | 3,648 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 83,177 | 2,066 | N/A | 2,384 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 79,209 | 1,753 | N/A | 2,866 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 76,725 | 1,699 | N/A | 2,156 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 70,898 | 1,549 | N/A | 2,963 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 69,143 | 2,036 | N/A | 3,793 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 73,139 | 3,103 | N/A | 4,347 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 79,837 | 3,620 | N/A | 4,619 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 85,228 | 4,221 | N/A | 5,713 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 98,055 | 4,717 | N/A | 5,088 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 112,412 | 4,319 | N/A | 4,080 | N/A |
Toekomstige groeivoorspellingen analisten
Verdiensten versus spaarpercentage: De verwachte winstgroei PSX ( 5.6% per jaar) ligt boven de spaarquote ( 3.5% ).
Winst versus markt: De winst van PSX ( 5.6% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan de markt US ( 16.8% per jaar).
Hoge groeiwinsten: De winst van PSX zal naar verwachting groeien, maar niet aanzienlijk.
Omzet versus markt: De omzet van PSX zal naar verwachting de komende 3 jaar dalen ( -1.4% per jaar).
Hoge groei-inkomsten: De omzet van PSX zal naar verwachting de komende 3 jaar dalen ( -1.4% per jaar).
Groeiprognoses winst per aandeel
Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen
Toekomstige ROE: Het rendement op eigen vermogen PSX zal naar verwachting over 3 jaar laag zijn ( 16.5 %).
Ontdek groeibedrijven
Bedrijfsanalyse en status van financiële gegevens
| Gegevens | Laatst bijgewerkt (UTC-tijd) |
|---|---|
| Bedrijfsanalyse | 2026/05/12 05:08 |
| Aandelenkoers aan het einde van de dag | 2026/05/12 00:00 |
| Inkomsten | 2026/03/31 |
| Jaarlijkse inkomsten | 2025/12/31 |
Gegevensbronnen
De gegevens die gebruikt zijn in onze bedrijfsanalyse zijn afkomstig van S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. De volgende gegevens worden gebruikt in ons analysemodel om dit rapport te genereren. De gegevens zijn genormaliseerd, waardoor er een vertraging kan optreden voordat de bron beschikbaar is.
| Pakket | Gegevens | Tijdframe | Voorbeeld Amerikaanse bron * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financiële gegevens bedrijf | 10 jaar |
| |
| Consensus schattingen analisten | +3 jaar |
|
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| Marktprijzen | 30 jaar |
| |
| Eigendom | 10 jaar |
| |
| Beheer | 10 jaar |
| |
| Belangrijkste ontwikkelingen | 10 jaar |
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* Voorbeeld voor effecten uit de VS, voor niet-Amerikaanse effecten worden gelijkwaardige formulieren en bronnen gebruikt.
Tenzij anders vermeld zijn alle financiële gegevens gebaseerd op een jaarperiode, maar worden ze elk kwartaal bijgewerkt. Dit staat bekend als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) of Last Twelve Month (LTM) gegevens. Meer informatie.
Analysemodel en Snowflake
Details van het analysemodel dat is gebruikt om dit rapport te genereren zijn beschikbaar op onze Github-pagina. We hebben ook handleidingen over hoe je onze rapporten kunt gebruiken en tutorials op YouTube.
Leer meer over het team van wereldklasse dat het Simply Wall St-analysemodel heeft ontworpen en gebouwd.
Industrie en sector
Onze industrie- en sectormetrics worden elke 6 uur berekend door Simply Wall St, details van ons proces zijn beschikbaar op Github.
Bronnen van analisten
Phillips 66 wordt gevolgd door 32 analisten. 14 van deze analisten hebben de schattingen van de omzet of winst ingediend die zijn gebruikt als input voor ons rapport. Inzendingen van analisten worden de hele dag door bijgewerkt.
| Analist | Instelling |
|---|---|
| William Selesky | Argus Research Company |
| Theresa Chen | Barclays |
| Phillip Jungwirth | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |