Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.

NYSE:CMG Voorraadrapport

Marktkapitalisatie: US$42.7b

Chipotle Mexican Grill Toekomstige groei

Future criteriumcontroles 2/6

Chipotle Mexican Grill zal naar verwachting groeien in winst en omzet met respectievelijk 12.6% en 9.4% per jaar. De winst per aandeel zal naar verwachting groeien met 14.9% per jaar. Het rendement op het eigen vermogen zal over 3 jaar naar verwachting 63.6% zijn.

Belangrijke informatie

12.6%

Groei van de winst

14.90%

Groei van de winst per aandeel

Hospitality winstgroei19.5%
Inkomstengroei9.4%
Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen63.56%
Dekking van analisten

Good

Laatst bijgewerkt13 Aug 2026

Recente toekomstige groei-updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Aug 13

Chipotle Mexican Grill: The Consumer Is Struggling, But The Opportunity Remains

Summary Chipotle Mexican Grill remains a Buy, supported by robust financials, aggressive buybacks, and ongoing domestic and international expansion. Q2 saw mixed results: 9.3% revenue growth, a 2.2% comp sales increase, but margin compression amid macro headwinds and consumer caution. CMG plans 350–370 new restaurant openings, with 80% featuring Chipotlanes, and maintains a strong capital-light, debt-free balance sheet. Valuation implies significant upside, with intrinsic value estimated above current levels despite persistent industry and macro risks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narratiefupdate • Aug 03

CMG: International Expansion And New Units Will Support Higher Future P E

The analyst price target for Chipotle Mexican Grill has moved modestly higher to $43.92 from $42.88, reflecting updated models after Q2 results, including revised EPS forecasts, steady revenue growth assumptions, a slightly higher profit margin outlook, and a lower future P/E multiple that many analysts link to recent price target increases across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Chipotle Mexican Grill highlights a mix of optimism and caution around execution, growth, and valuation following the latest Q2 report and guidance updates.
Narratiefupdate • Jul 20

CMG: Mexico Entry And Same Store Sales Shape Balanced Medium Term Outlook

Analysts nudged the fair value estimate for Chipotle Mexican Grill higher, with the price target moving from $34.00 to $35.00 as they factor in slightly stronger same store sales assumptions, a modestly higher profit margin outlook, and updated P/E expectations reflected across recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Chipotle Mexican Grill reflects a mix of optimism around same store sales and more cautious views on how much of that strength is already reflected in the stock's valuation.
Nieuw narratief • Jul 17

Chipotle Mexican Grill will thrive with a 5% revenue boost

Chipotle is a fast-casual restaurant business that makes almost all of its money from company-owned restaurants selling Mexican-inspired food (burritos, bowls, tacos, etc.). Its growth strategy is straightforward: open more stores, increase digital sales, and improve restaurant productivity.
Narratiefupdate • Jul 06

CMG: Reset Multiple And Store Expansion Plan Will Support Recovery

Analysts have trimmed the Chipotle Mexican Grill fair value estimate from $54.79 to $52.00 as they temper revenue growth, margin, and future P/E assumptions, while still pointing to a reset valuation that some see as offering "quality growth at the right price". Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Chipotle Mexican Grill has become more divided, with some high profile firms seeing the current share price reset as an entry point while others flag a slower growth and margin story.
Narratiefupdate • Jun 22

CMG: 2026 Expansion And Menu Tests Will Support Higher P E Multiple

Analysts have trimmed the Chipotle Mexican Grill price target by $3 to $35. This reflects a slightly higher discount rate and mixed research commentary that highlights both perceived valuation opportunity and more cautious views on future comps and margin visibility.
Narratiefupdate • Jun 06

CMG: 2026 International Expansion Plans Will Support Higher P E Multiple

Analysts have trimmed the Chipotle Mexican Grill fair value estimate by about $0.52 to $42.88, reflecting a mix of lower average price targets and a slightly higher discount rate, even as revenue growth expectations and future P/E assumptions remain broadly steady across recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Chipotle Mexican Grill highlights a split between analysts who see current levels as an opportunity and those who are more cautious on the company’s execution and growth trajectory.
Narratiefupdate • May 15

CMG: 2026 Menu And Unit Expansion Plans Will Support Higher P E Multiple

Chipotle Mexican Grill's analyst price target has been adjusted slightly lower to reflect an updated fair value of about $43.40. Analysts cite modest tweaks to discount rate assumptions, slightly softer revenue growth expectations, a small improvement in profit margin, and a lower future P/E multiple, informed by a mix of recent target cuts and upgrades across the Street.
Narratiefupdate • Apr 26

CMG: 2026 Menu Initiatives Are Expected To Support Higher P E Multiple

Chipotle Mexican Grill's updated analyst price target reflects a modest trim of fair value to $43.66, with analysts broadly fine-tuning their models as they weigh slightly higher discount rates, adjusted long term P/E assumptions, and a recent wave of small downward target revisions across major firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Chipotle Mexican Grill points to a period of recalibration, with many firms trimming price targets by small increments and a few highlighting more constructive long term views.
Nieuw narratief • Apr 21

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. Reports Resilient FY 2025 Earnings Despite Margin Pressures and Heavy Capital Returns

Analyst: Qudus Adebara (Founder of Wane Investment House) Executive Summary Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. delivered a solid financial performance for the year ended December 31, 2025, with total revenue rising to $11.93 billion, reflecting +5.4% YoY growth driven primarily by strong food and beverage sales.
Narratiefupdate • Apr 11

CMG: 2026 Sales Initiatives And Buybacks Will Support Higher P E Multiple

Analysts trimmed their Chipotle Mexican Grill price target by about $0.50 to reflect slightly lower fair value, a modestly higher discount rate, and marginally softer revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, partly offset by a higher future P/E multiple supported by recent mixed but generally constructive research commentary. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Chipotle Mexican Grill reflects a mix of cautious fine tuning on price targets and supportive views on the business model, management, and long term growth potential.
Narratiefupdate • Mar 27

CMG: 2026 Sales Initiatives And Buybacks Will Sustain Elevated P E Multiple

The analyst price target for Chipotle Mexican Grill has been trimmed by about $0.07 to reflect slightly lower modeled fair value, even as analysts highlight modest improvements in revenue growth, profit margin assumptions, and a still elevated future P/E, informed by a mix of recent target cuts, fresh Buy initiations, and sector-wide re-rating work for 2026. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Chipotle Mexican Grill reflects an active debate around how much investors should pay for the company given mixed sector trends, shifting consumer behavior, and company specific execution questions.
Narratiefupdate • Mar 13

CMG: 2026 Sales Initiatives And Buybacks Will Support Multiple Expansion

Analysts made a small upward adjustment to their Chipotle price target, moving it by about $0.33, as they weighed newly bullish views tied to potential sales drivers and multiple expansion against a recent wave of modest target trims from other firms. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Chipotle shows a split view, with some firms highlighting long term growth drivers and others focusing on consumer headwinds and execution risk.
Narratiefupdate • Feb 26

CMG: 2026 Marketing Firepower And Buybacks Will Support Upside Potential

Analysts have made a small upward adjustment to their Chipotle price target to about $44. This reflects slightly lower assumed discount rates and a modestly higher future P/E multiple, along with fine-tuned revenue growth and margin expectations.
Narratiefupdate • Feb 09

CMG: 2026 Unit Expansion And Share Repurchases Will Support Upside Potential

Analysts now see slightly lower upside for Chipotle, trimming the price target in line with a modest reduction in fair value to about $44.24 per share after reassessing the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Chipotle Mexican Grill has become more finely balanced, with several small downward price target revisions offset by a cluster of earlier target increases and a few rating changes.
Narratiefupdate • Jan 25

CMG: 2026 Traffic Recovery And Unit Expansion Will Drive Balanced Risk Reward

Analysts have nudged their Chipotle Mexican Grill fair value estimate higher to about $45 per share from roughly $44, citing a slightly lower discount rate, modest tweaks to long term revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a marginally higher future P/E multiple that reflect recent shifts in Street price targets and mixed but engaged research coverage. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research paints a mixed picture for Chipotle Mexican Grill, with price targets moving in both directions and opinions divided on how quickly the company can work through current traffic and macro pressures.
Narratiefupdate • Jan 11

CMG: 2026 Unit Expansion And Traffic Recovery Efforts Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts have lifted the Chipotle Mexican Grill fair value estimate slightly, with the price target moving from US$43.18 to US$44.12. This reflects modest tweaks to discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions after a mix of target cuts on macro and traffic headwinds, as well as fresh target hikes tied to updated 2026 restaurant sector outlooks.
Narratiefupdate • Dec 18

CMG: 2026 Unit Expansion Will Drive Long Term Upside Despite Near Term Traffic Headwinds

Analysts have modestly reduced their average price target for Chipotle Mexican Grill by about $10 per share to the mid $40s, citing weaker than expected Q3 traffic and comp trends, macro driven consumer softness, and lowered same store sales guidance, even as they highlight longer term benefits from menu innovation, value focused marketing, and continued unit growth. Analyst Commentary Analysts broadly agree that Chipotle is navigating a tougher operating backdrop, but they differ on how quickly the brand can reaccelerate traffic and comps and how much of the long term growth story remains intact at current valuation levels.
Narratiefupdate • Dec 04

CMG: Robust 2026 Unit Expansion Is Expected To Drive Long Term Upside

The Analyst Price Target for Chipotle Mexican Grill has been cut meaningfully, with analysts trimming expectations by roughly $10 per share as persistent macro headwinds, softer traffic, and repeated same store sales guidance cuts temper the near term outlook, despite confidence in the longer term unit growth story. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary reflects a more cautious stance on Chipotle in the near term, with widespread price target reductions but a generally constructive view on the multiyear unit growth and margin opportunity.
Narratiefupdate • Nov 20

CMG: Robust Unit Expansion Plans Will Lead to Improved Performance

Analysts have lowered their average price target for Chipotle Mexican Grill, cutting it from approximately $45.09 to $43.18 per share. Ongoing macroeconomic pressures and softer same-store sales trends continue to weigh on the company's near-term outlook.
Analyse-artikel • Nov 07

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (NYSE:CMG) Stocks Pounded By 25% But Not Lagging Market On Growth Or Pricing

The Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. ( NYSE:CMG ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a...
Narratiefupdate • Nov 01

CMG: Share Repurchases And Menu Revamps Will Drive Stronger Performance Ahead

Chipotle Mexican Grill's analyst price target has been lowered significantly, dropping from approximately $54 to about $45. Analysts cite ongoing traffic challenges, softer same-store sales growth, and mounting macroeconomic headwinds following disappointing third-quarter results.
Narratiefupdate • Oct 18

Restaurant Expansion In Mexico And Europe Will Boost Performance

Chipotle Mexican Grill's analyst price target has been reduced from approximately $56.94 to $54.15. Analysts cite near-term industry headwinds, including choppy demand, softer sales trends, and cautious sector outlooks as factors driving the adjustment.
Narratiefupdate • Oct 04

Restaurant Expansion In Mexico And Europe Will Boost Performance

Analysts have lowered their price target for Chipotle Mexican Grill to approximately $56.94 from about $57.75. This modest reduction reflects tempered revenue growth expectations, despite recent performance improvements and ongoing industry challenges.
Narratiefupdate • Sep 10

Restaurant Expansion In Mexico And Europe Will Boost Performance

Analysts modestly lowered Chipotle's consensus price target to $57.75, citing disappointing Q2 results, macro headwinds, and heightened competitive pressures, though some remain constructive on resilient demand, recent menu innovation, and the company's long-term growth outlook. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite improved risk/reward following a 31% YTD selloff, with expectations that market pessimism regarding same-store-sales is overly priced in.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 22

Chipotle Q1 Preview: Tariffs Hurt Them (Deep Dive)

Summary Chipotle's stock has declined around 20% over the past year, driven by decelerating same-store sales growth and increasing competition from companies like Sweetgreen and CAVA. The company's high forward P/E ratio of 37, a 173% premium to the sector median, suggests it is overpriced given its current performance and outlook. Trade war impacts, particularly on avocado imports, are expected to further strain Chipotle's margins, which are already pressured by high food and labor costs. Despite potential growth from international expansion and new technologies, these factors are unlikely to offset near-term headwinds, making Chipotle a strong sell. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 19

Chipotle: Dark Pool Buys And Long-Term Growth Make It A Buy

Summary Chipotle's dual focus on digital innovation and rapid expansion is driving significant growth, with digital sales now making up 37% of total revenue. The company's strategic initiatives, like the Chipotlane system and limited-time offerings, are boosting sales and enhancing customer loyalty. Valuation analysis using a DCF model shows a fair price per share around $51, indicating a balanced risk-reward profile with strong growth potential. Despite risks like inflation and rapid expansion costs, Chipotle's consistent revenue growth, improved margins, and solid cash flow make it a compelling long-term investment. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Winst- en omzetgroeiprognoses

NYSE:CMG - Toekomstschattingen van analisten en financiële gegevens uit het verleden (USD Millions )
DatumInkomstenInkomstenVrije kasstroomGeldmiddelen uit operationele activiteitenGem. Aantal analisten
12/31/202815,8741,9341,8032,66414
12/31/202714,4191,7021,6512,46233
12/31/202613,0181,4421,6092,29332
6/30/202612,4241,4191,5692,328N/A
3/31/202612,1391,4521,5062,208N/A
12/31/202511,9261,5361,4482,114N/A
9/30/202511,7871,5371,5732,215N/A
6/30/202511,5781,5421,4662,092N/A
3/31/202511,4871,5611,4872,093N/A
12/31/202411,3141,5341,5112,105N/A
9/30/202410,9851,4841,2511,844N/A
6/30/202410,6631,4101,3011,878N/A
3/31/202410,2051,2961,3251,898N/A
12/31/20239,8721,2291,2231,783N/A
9/30/20239,5361,1701,3871,920N/A
6/30/20239,2841,1141,2511,791N/A
3/31/20238,9831,0329921,495N/A
12/31/20228,6358998441,323N/A
9/30/20228,4158099031,360N/A
6/30/20228,1477568621,289N/A
3/31/20227,8266848071,259N/A
12/31/20217,5476538401,282N/A
9/30/20217,194710512959N/A
6/30/20216,843586502922N/A
3/31/20216,315406405788N/A
12/31/20205,985356290664N/A
9/30/20205,817237393735N/A
6/30/20205,619256369726N/A
3/31/20205,689338N/A721N/A
12/31/20195,586350N/A722N/A
9/30/20195,371310N/A664N/A
6/30/20195,193249N/A627N/A
3/31/20195,025205N/A603N/A
12/31/20184,865177N/A622N/A
9/30/20184,750188N/A581N/A
6/30/20184,653170N/A520N/A
3/31/20184,556190N/A519N/A
12/31/20174,476176N/A468N/A
9/30/20174,401148N/A447N/A
6/30/20174,310137N/A413N/A
3/31/20174,13995N/A438N/A
12/31/20163,90423N/A355N/A
9/30/20163,86775N/A376N/A
6/30/20164,047212N/A462N/A
3/31/20164,247327N/A502N/A
12/31/20154,501476N/A683N/A
9/30/20154,574529N/A721N/A

Toekomstige groeivoorspellingen analisten

Verdiensten versus spaarpercentage: De verwachte winstgroei CMG ( 12.6% per jaar) ligt boven de spaarquote ( 3.7% ).

Winst versus markt: De winst van CMG ( 12.6% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan de markt US ( 17.1% per jaar).

Hoge groeiwinsten: De winst van CMG zal naar verwachting groeien, maar niet aanzienlijk.

Omzet versus markt: De omzet van CMG ( 9.4% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan de markt US ( 13% per jaar).

Hoge groei-inkomsten: De omzet van CMG ( 9.4% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan 20% per jaar.

Groeiprognoses winst per aandeel

Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen

Toekomstige ROE: Het rendement op eigen vermogen CMG zal naar verwachting over 3 jaar zeer hoog zijn ( 63.6 %).

Ontdek groeibedrijven

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Bedrijfsanalyse en status van financiële gegevens

GegevensLaatst bijgewerkt (UTC-tijd)
Bedrijfsanalyse2026/08/18 04:15
Aandelenkoers aan het einde van de dag2026/08/18 00:00
Inkomsten2026/06/30
Jaarlijkse inkomsten2025/12/31

Gegevensbronnen

De gegevens die gebruikt zijn in onze bedrijfsanalyse zijn afkomstig van S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. De volgende gegevens worden gebruikt in ons analysemodel om dit rapport te genereren. De gegevens zijn genormaliseerd, waardoor er een vertraging kan optreden voordat de bron beschikbaar is.

PakketGegevensTijdframeVoorbeeld Amerikaanse bron *
Financiële gegevens bedrijf10 jaar
  • Resultatenrekening
  • Kasstroomoverzicht
  • Balans
Consensus schattingen analisten+3 jaar
  • Financiële prognoses
  • Koersdoelen analisten
Marktprijzen30 jaar
  • Aandelenprijzen
  • Dividenden, splitsingen en acties
Eigendom10 jaar
  • Top aandeelhouders
  • Handel met voorkennis
Beheer10 jaar
  • Leiderschapsteam
  • Raad van bestuur
Belangrijkste ontwikkelingen10 jaar
  • Bedrijfsaankondigingen

* Voorbeeld voor effecten uit de VS, voor niet-Amerikaanse effecten worden gelijkwaardige formulieren en bronnen gebruikt.

Tenzij anders vermeld zijn alle financiële gegevens gebaseerd op een jaarperiode, maar worden ze elk kwartaal bijgewerkt. Dit staat bekend als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) of Last Twelve Month (LTM) gegevens. Meer informatie.

Analysemodel en Snowflake

Details van het analysamodel dat is gebruikt om dit rapport te genereren zijn beschikbaar op onze Github-pagina, we hebben ook handleidingen over hoe u onze rapporten kunt gebruiken en tutorials op YouTube.

Leer meer over het team van wereldklasse dat het Simply Wall St-analysemodel heeft ontworpen en gebouwd.

Industrie en sector

Onze industrie- en sectormetrics worden elke 6 uur berekend door Simply Wall St, details van ons proces zijn beschikbaar op Github.

Bronnen van analisten

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. wordt gevolgd door 56 analisten. 33 van deze analisten hebben de schattingen van de omzet of winst ingediend die zijn gebruikt als input voor ons rapport. Inzendingen van analisten worden de hele dag door bijgewerkt.

AnalistInstelling
John StaszakArgus Research Company
David TarantinoBaird
Jeffrey BernsteinBarclays