Meritage Homes Toekomstige groei
Future criteriumcontroles 1/6
Meritage Homes zal naar verwachting groeien in winst en omzet met respectievelijk 7.2% en 4.9% per jaar. De winst per aandeel zal naar verwachting groeien met 13.2% per jaar. Het rendement op het eigen vermogen zal over 3 jaar naar verwachting 8.5% zijn.
Belangrijke informatie
7.2%
Groei van de winst
13.16%
Groei van de winst per aandeel
| Consumer Durables winstgroei | 8.1% |
| Inkomstengroei | 4.9% |
| Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen | 8.51% |
| Dekking van analisten | Good |
| Laatst bijgewerkt | 30 Jun 2026 |
Recente toekomstige groei-updates
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • 20h
Meritage Homes: I Am Not Chasing The Stock After The Recent Run-Up
Summary Meritage Homes is rated Hold/Neutral after a strong run-up, with limited near-term upside due to margin headwinds and elevated valuation. MTH's focus on community growth and a 60-day home-closing guarantee supports sales but introduces margin pressure and operational risks. High-cost land acquired from 2022 to 2024 continues to weigh on margins, with relief not expected until late FY2027. Valuation has re-rated to a 1.12x P/BV, now above historical averages and peers on P/E and EV/EBITDA, reflecting sector enthusiasm post-TMHC acquisition. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narratiefupdate • Jun 22
MTH: Buybacks And Consolidation Floor Will Shape Balanced Future Return Potential
The updated analyst fair value estimate for Meritage Homes has shifted from $77.78 to $80.25 as analysts factor in slightly adjusted assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, along with readthroughs from recent sector consolidation and price target revisions across homebuilders. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Meritage Homes reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with multiple firms revisiting their price targets and using consolidation among homebuilders as a reference point for valuation.Analyseartikel • Jun 19
Meritage Homes (MTH) Stock Could Be 2.6% Undervalued After Institutional Buying Picks Up
Recent filings show major institutions have lifted their positions in Meritage Homes (MTH), raising its institutional shareholding rank to first in the Homebuilding & Construction Supplies industry and drawing attention to its financial health metrics. See our latest analysis for Meritage Homes. Meritage Homes shares have picked up clear momentum recently, with a 24.41% 1 month share price return and a 28.88% 3 month share price return, contributing to a 24.47% 1 year total shareholder return...Narratiefupdate • Jun 05
MTH: Buybacks And Consolidation Potential Will Support Future Earnings Power
Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Meritage Homes by a few dollars, reflecting slightly lower P/E assumptions and discount rates, while still pointing to interest in the stock as a potential acquisition candidate following recent sector consolidation headlines. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Meritage Homes has focused on valuation reset, consolidation potential in the homebuilding sector, and how its trading multiples compare with peers following the Taylor Morrison sale agreement.Narratiefupdate • May 20
MTH: Share Buybacks And Spec Model Will Support Future Earnings Power
Analysts have lowered their average price target on Meritage Homes by about $5 to roughly $78, citing updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E multiples following a series of recent target reductions across major firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Meritage Homes reflects a more cautious stance on valuation after a period of prior optimism, including an earlier Buy initiation with a US$90 price target tied to the company's 100% spec strategy.
Narratiefupdate • Apr 29
MTH: Margin Pressures And Lower Sector Multiples Will Constrain Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Meritage Homes by several dollars, reflecting updated views on profit margins, future P/E assumptions and recent sector research that has generally lowered price objectives across homebuilders. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Meritage Homes has centered on a series of price target reductions, even as some firms had previously been constructive on the company and the broader U.S. homebuilding group.Narratiefupdate • Apr 14
MTH: Spec Model And Dividend Yield Will Shape Future Margin Resilience
Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on Meritage Homes by single-digit dollar amounts, with updates such as $8, $6, and $2 cuts. They continue to highlight efficiencies from the company's 100% spec approach as a key support for long-term volume potential and margins.Narratiefupdate • Mar 31
MTH: Spec Model And Dividend Yield Will Frame Future Margin Trade Off
Analysts have adjusted their average price targets on Meritage Homes toward the $90 range. This reflects mixed views that balance concerns about margin pressure with interest in the company's 100% spec strategy and current dividend yield.Narratiefupdate • Mar 17
MTH: Spec Build Model And Incentives Will Shape Future Margin Resilience
Analysts have kept their average price target for Meritage Homes broadly in line with prior levels, with recent changes centered around the $90 to $104 range as they weigh the company's 100% spec build approach, comments on margin risk and housing demand, and views on its dividend yield and valuation. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Meritage Homes reflects a mix of supportive and cautious views, with attention fixed on how the 100% spec build model, pricing incentives, and margin trends could affect the stock's risk and reward profile.Narratiefupdate • Mar 02
MTH: Elevated Incentives And Margin Pressure Will Constrain Future Share Returns
Analysts have trimmed their blended price target on Meritage Homes by a few dollars, citing a mix of lower targets tied to margin and demand concerns, along with higher targets around $90 to $104 that reflect views of relatively inexpensive valuation and potential for steadier longer term housing conditions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Meritage Homes shows a split view, with some firms lifting targets into the $90 to $104 range while several bearish analysts trim expectations on margins, demand, and earnings power.Narratiefupdate • Feb 16
MTH: Margin Pressures And Incentives Will Limit Future Upside Potential
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Meritage Homes from $74.00 to $62.00, citing recent cuts to Street price targets and concerns around margin risk, even as some still point to relatively low P/E assumptions and income support from the dividend. Analyst Commentary Recent research has highlighted a mix of caution and support around Meritage Homes, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets or cutting ratings while others still point to income and valuation support.
Narratiefupdate • Feb 02
MTH: Buybacks And Dividend Yield Will Support Future Housing Upside
Analysts have trimmed their implied fair value estimate for Meritage Homes to US$95.00 from about US$103.57. This reflects more cautious assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, even as recent research shows a mix of lower and higher price targets alongside differing views on housing demand and builder profitability.Narratiefupdate • Jan 19
MTH: Share Repurchases And Dividend Yield Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have modestly raised their implied fair value estimate for Meritage Homes to about $104 from roughly $100, reflecting slightly higher assumed revenue growth and P/E multiples, partially offset by more cautious profit margin expectations following recent research highlighting pressure on builder incentives and gross margins. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Meritage Homes has been mixed, but there are clear pockets of optimism that support the modestly higher fair value estimate.Narratiefupdate • Jan 05
MTH: Share Repurchases And EPS Outlook Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Meritage Homes from US$107.00 to about US$99.88, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News From July 1, 2025 to September 30, 2025, Meritage Homes repurchased 772,010 shares for US$55 million, equal to 1.08% of its shares.Narratiefupdate • Dec 21
MTH: Higher Margins And Buybacks Will Drive Stronger Future Upside
Analysts have raised their price target on Meritage Homes from approximately $60.00 to $74.00 per share, citing expectations for stronger profit margins and a modestly higher future earnings multiple, despite slightly slower projected revenue growth and a marginally higher discount rate. What's in the News Meritage Homes completed a share repurchase tranche between July 1, 2025 and September 30, 2025, buying back 772,010 shares, or 1.08% of outstanding shares, for $55 million under its ongoing authorization (company filing).Narratiefupdate • Dec 07
MTH: Fed Cut And Share Buybacks Will Support Earnings Strength Ahead
Analysts have nudged their price target on Meritage Homes slightly higher, from about $82.63 to roughly $83.13, citing updated homebuilder valuations and the view that the recent Fed cut will not significantly alter the near term housing market trajectory. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary from bullish analysts highlights a constructive view on Meritage Homes, reflected in modestly higher price targets and a continued positive stance on the company’s execution and positioning within the housing cycle.Narratiefupdate • Nov 23
MTH: Recent Market Supply Dynamics Will Support Earnings Strength Ahead
Analysts have increased their price target for Meritage Homes from $79 to $85, citing expectations that a recent Fed rate cut will have a limited immediate impact on the housing market's trajectory. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts point to several factors driving optimism about Meritage Homes' prospects following the price target adjustment.Narratiefupdate • Nov 08
MTH: Future Profit Margins Will Drive Positive Sentiment Among Market Participants
Analysts have increased their price target for Meritage Homes from $79 to $85, citing improved revenue growth and profit margins, even though there was only a modest adjustment to fair value estimates. Analyst Commentary Recent updates from Street research provide insights into the revised outlook for Meritage Homes.Narratiefupdate • Oct 25
Sun Belt Homebuilders Will See Continued Demand Amid Rate and Margin Pressures
Analyst Price Target Update for Meritage Homes Analysts have slightly increased their price target for Meritage Homes from $79 to $85. They cite updated sector coverage and note that recent shifts in interest rates are not expected to significantly affect the housing market outlook in the near term.Narratiefupdate • Oct 10
Sun Belt Demand Will Spur Homebuilding Growth Despite Margin Risks
Narrative Update on Meritage Homes Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Meritage Homes from $79 to $85, supported by updates to industry expectations and the view that recent macroeconomic shifts are unlikely to significantly alter housing market trends in the short term. Analyst Commentary Bullish and bearish analyst perspectives highlight key factors affecting Meritage Homes' valuation and near-term outlook.Analyseartikel • Sep 24
Slowing Rates Of Return At Meritage Homes (NYSE:MTH) Leave Little Room For Excitement
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...Analyseartikel • Jul 12
When Should You Buy Meritage Homes Corporation (NYSE:MTH)?
Meritage Homes Corporation ( NYSE:MTH ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of...Seeking Alpha • Feb 05
Meritage Homes: Strong Execution And Resilient Demand Fuel Growth
Summary Meritage Homes' strong order growth and record backlog conversion demonstrate robust demand, despite a tough macro backdrop and high mortgage rates. Management's conservative FY25 guidance sets the stage for potential outperformance, aligning with MTH's historical trend of beating expectations. MTH's quick move-in strategy and aggressive land acquisitions position it well for future growth, particularly in high-demand entry-level segments. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 14
Meritage Homes: Favourable Macro Backdrop And A Right Strategy In Place
Summary I maintain a buy rating for Meritage Homes Corporation due to strong earnings growth outlook and favorable macro conditions, including tight housing supply and elevated mortgage rates. MTH's strategic focus on quick, move-in ready homes with a 60-day closing guarantee positions it well to capture demand in the current market. Risks include tighter regulations affecting home financing and supply chain pressures from increased new home construction. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 13
Meritage Homes: Expect Value To Keep Building
Summary Meritage Homes has shown significant stock performance, up 29.5% since April and 79.8% since January 2022, outperforming the S&P 500. Despite a potential decline in Q3 revenue and profits, Meritage Homes remains undervalued with strong fundamentals and a favorable market outlook. Revenue and profits have increased due to higher home closures, although average home prices have dropped, reflecting reduced costs and high interest rates. The company's backlog is weak, but new home orders and lower cancellation rates indicate stability and potential for future growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Nieuw narratief • Aug 28
Aggressive Expansion And Narrow Market Focus Risk Eroding Future Profits
Focusing on move-in ready homes and rapid community expansion may narrow market appeal and increase operational risks, impacting earnings.Winst- en omzetgroeiprognoses
| Datum | Inkomsten | Inkomsten | Vrije kasstroom | Geldmiddelen uit operationele activiteiten | Gem. Aantal analisten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 6,419 | 484 | N/A | N/A | 3 |
| 12/31/2027 | 5,961 | 402 | N/A | 237 | 8 |
| 12/31/2026 | 5,485 | 329 | N/A | 548 | 8 |
| 3/31/2026 | 5,616 | 386 | 238 | 262 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 5,858 | 453 | 93 | 118 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 6,044 | 542 | -253 | -225 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 6,216 | 638 | -248 | -220 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 6,285 | 723 | -380 | -352 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 6,395 | 786 | -256 | -228 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 6,434 | 812 | -261 | -233 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 6,456 | 838 | -67 | -36 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 6,328 | 793 | 277 | 313 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 6,138 | 739 | 317 | 356 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 6,477 | 802 | 997 | 1,035 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 6,442 | 843 | 933 | 968 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 6,286 | 906 | 488 | 518 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 6,292 | 992 | 378 | 405 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 5,798 | 967 | -100 | -73 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 5,479 | 906 | -243 | -215 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 5,344 | 823 | -153 | -126 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 5,141 | 737 | -178 | -152 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 5,053 | 653 | -114 | -91 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 4,931 | 561 | 129 | 149 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 4,685 | 484 | 453 | 473 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 4,501 | 423 | 510 | 530 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 4,227 | 375 | 532 | 553 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 4,029 | 335 | 448 | 471 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 3,860 | 295 | 334 | 358 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 3,667 | 250 | N/A | 347 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 3,539 | 222 | N/A | 356 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 3,482 | 206 | N/A | 386 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 3,494 | 209 | N/A | 312 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 3,529 | 227 | N/A | 262 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 3,466 | 187 | N/A | 161 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 3,387 | 176 | N/A | 33 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 3,311 | 164 | N/A | -20 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 3,241 | 143 | N/A | -87 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 3,175 | 160 | N/A | -129 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 3,121 | 154 | N/A | -124 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 3,117 | 152 | N/A | -106 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 3,042 | 150 | N/A | -103 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 2,942 | 151 | N/A | -98 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 2,859 | 144 | N/A | -37 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 2,658 | 133 | N/A | -47 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 2,579 | 129 | N/A | -3 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 2,497 | 125 | N/A | -35 | N/A |
Toekomstige groeivoorspellingen analisten
Verdiensten versus spaarpercentage: De verwachte winstgroei MTH ( 7.2% per jaar) ligt boven de spaarquote ( 3.5% ).
Winst versus markt: De winst van MTH ( 7.2% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan de markt US ( 18.6% per jaar).
Hoge groeiwinsten: De winst van MTH zal naar verwachting groeien, maar niet aanzienlijk.
Omzet versus markt: De omzet van MTH ( 4.9% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan de markt US ( 12.7% per jaar).
Hoge groei-inkomsten: De omzet van MTH ( 4.9% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan 20% per jaar.
Groeiprognoses winst per aandeel
Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen
Toekomstige ROE: Het rendement op eigen vermogen MTH zal naar verwachting over 3 jaar laag zijn ( 8.5 %).
Ontdek groeibedrijven
Bedrijfsanalyse en status van financiële gegevens
| Gegevens | Laatst bijgewerkt (UTC-tijd) |
|---|---|
| Bedrijfsanalyse | 2026/06/30 03:14 |
| Aandelenkoers aan het einde van de dag | 2026/06/30 00:00 |
| Inkomsten | 2026/03/31 |
| Jaarlijkse inkomsten | 2025/12/31 |
Gegevensbronnen
De gegevens die gebruikt zijn in onze bedrijfsanalyse zijn afkomstig van S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. De volgende gegevens worden gebruikt in ons analysemodel om dit rapport te genereren. De gegevens zijn genormaliseerd, waardoor er een vertraging kan optreden voordat de bron beschikbaar is.
| Pakket | Gegevens | Tijdframe | Voorbeeld Amerikaanse bron * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financiële gegevens bedrijf | 10 jaar |
| |
| Consensus schattingen analisten | +3 jaar |
|
|
| Marktprijzen | 30 jaar |
| |
| Eigendom | 10 jaar |
| |
| Beheer | 10 jaar |
| |
| Belangrijkste ontwikkelingen | 10 jaar |
|
* Voorbeeld voor effecten uit de VS, voor niet-Amerikaanse effecten worden gelijkwaardige formulieren en bronnen gebruikt.
Tenzij anders vermeld zijn alle financiële gegevens gebaseerd op een jaarperiode, maar worden ze elk kwartaal bijgewerkt. Dit staat bekend als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) of Last Twelve Month (LTM) gegevens. Meer informatie.
Analysemodel en Snowflake
Details van het analysemodel dat is gebruikt om dit rapport te genereren zijn beschikbaar op onze Github-pagina, we hebben ook handleidingen over hoe u onze rapporten kunt gebruiken en tutorials op YouTube.
Leer meer over het team van wereldklasse dat het Simply Wall St-analysemodel heeft ontworpen en gebouwd.
Industrie en sector
Onze industrie- en sectormetrics worden elke 6 uur berekend door Simply Wall St, details van ons proces zijn beschikbaar op Github.
Bronnen van analisten
Meritage Homes Corporation wordt gevolgd door 20 analisten. 8 van deze analisten hebben de schattingen van de omzet of winst ingediend die zijn gebruikt als input voor ons rapport. Inzendingen van analisten worden de hele dag door bijgewerkt.
| Analist | Instelling |
|---|---|
| Stephen Kim | Barclays |
| Rafe Jadrosich | BofA Global Research |
| Tyler Batory | Brean Capital Historical (Janney Montgomery) |