Meritage Homes Toekomstige groei
Future criteriumcontroles 1/6
Meritage Homes zal naar verwachting groeien in winst en omzet met respectievelijk 7% en 4.9% per jaar. De winst per aandeel zal naar verwachting groeien met 13% per jaar. Het rendement op het eigen vermogen zal over 3 jaar naar verwachting 8.5% zijn.
Belangrijke informatie
7.0%
Groei van de winst
13.01%
Groei van de winst per aandeel
| Consumer Durables winstgroei | 7.5% |
| Inkomstengroei | 4.9% |
| Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen | 8.51% |
| Dekking van analisten | Good |
| Laatst bijgewerkt | 01 May 2026 |
Recente toekomstige groei-updates
Recent updates
Narratiefupdate • Apr 29
MTH: Margin Pressures And Lower Sector Multiples Will Constrain Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Meritage Homes by several dollars, reflecting updated views on profit margins, future P/E assumptions and recent sector research that has generally lowered price objectives across homebuilders. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Meritage Homes has centered on a series of price target reductions, even as some firms had previously been constructive on the company and the broader U.S. homebuilding group.Narratiefupdate • Apr 14
MTH: Spec Model And Dividend Yield Will Shape Future Margin Resilience
Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on Meritage Homes by single-digit dollar amounts, with updates such as $8, $6, and $2 cuts. They continue to highlight efficiencies from the company's 100% spec approach as a key support for long-term volume potential and margins.Narratiefupdate • Mar 31
MTH: Spec Model And Dividend Yield Will Frame Future Margin Trade Off
Analysts have adjusted their average price targets on Meritage Homes toward the $90 range. This reflects mixed views that balance concerns about margin pressure with interest in the company's 100% spec strategy and current dividend yield.Narratiefupdate • Mar 17
MTH: Spec Build Model And Incentives Will Shape Future Margin Resilience
Analysts have kept their average price target for Meritage Homes broadly in line with prior levels, with recent changes centered around the $90 to $104 range as they weigh the company's 100% spec build approach, comments on margin risk and housing demand, and views on its dividend yield and valuation. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Meritage Homes reflects a mix of supportive and cautious views, with attention fixed on how the 100% spec build model, pricing incentives, and margin trends could affect the stock's risk and reward profile.Narratiefupdate • Mar 02
MTH: Elevated Incentives And Margin Pressure Will Constrain Future Share Returns
Analysts have trimmed their blended price target on Meritage Homes by a few dollars, citing a mix of lower targets tied to margin and demand concerns, along with higher targets around $90 to $104 that reflect views of relatively inexpensive valuation and potential for steadier longer term housing conditions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Meritage Homes shows a split view, with some firms lifting targets into the $90 to $104 range while several bearish analysts trim expectations on margins, demand, and earnings power.Narratiefupdate • Feb 16
MTH: Margin Pressures And Incentives Will Limit Future Upside Potential
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Meritage Homes from $74.00 to $62.00, citing recent cuts to Street price targets and concerns around margin risk, even as some still point to relatively low P/E assumptions and income support from the dividend. Analyst Commentary Recent research has highlighted a mix of caution and support around Meritage Homes, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets or cutting ratings while others still point to income and valuation support.Seeking Alpha • Feb 11
Meritage Homes Corporation: Demand Is Still The Problem
Summary Meritage Homes remains a hold as management guides for flat FY2026 revenue and home closing volume, with no near-term recovery in demand. Community count hit an all-time high, and inventory management improved, reducing downside risk and limiting forced discounting pressures. MTH is shifting to a more disciplined incentive strategy, prioritizing margin protection over chasing volume in weaker markets. Despite operational positives, weak absorption, low backlog visibility, and a 12x forward earnings multiple make upside difficult to justify. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narratiefupdate • Feb 02
MTH: Buybacks And Dividend Yield Will Support Future Housing Upside
Analysts have trimmed their implied fair value estimate for Meritage Homes to US$95.00 from about US$103.57. This reflects more cautious assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, even as recent research shows a mix of lower and higher price targets alongside differing views on housing demand and builder profitability.Narratiefupdate • Jan 19
MTH: Share Repurchases And Dividend Yield Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have modestly raised their implied fair value estimate for Meritage Homes to about $104 from roughly $100, reflecting slightly higher assumed revenue growth and P/E multiples, partially offset by more cautious profit margin expectations following recent research highlighting pressure on builder incentives and gross margins. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Meritage Homes has been mixed, but there are clear pockets of optimism that support the modestly higher fair value estimate.Narratiefupdate • Jan 05
MTH: Share Repurchases And EPS Outlook Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Meritage Homes from US$107.00 to about US$99.88, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News From July 1, 2025 to September 30, 2025, Meritage Homes repurchased 772,010 shares for US$55 million, equal to 1.08% of its shares.Narratiefupdate • Dec 21
MTH: Higher Margins And Buybacks Will Drive Stronger Future Upside
Analysts have raised their price target on Meritage Homes from approximately $60.00 to $74.00 per share, citing expectations for stronger profit margins and a modestly higher future earnings multiple, despite slightly slower projected revenue growth and a marginally higher discount rate. What's in the News Meritage Homes completed a share repurchase tranche between July 1, 2025 and September 30, 2025, buying back 772,010 shares, or 1.08% of outstanding shares, for $55 million under its ongoing authorization (company filing).
Narratiefupdate • Dec 07
MTH: Fed Cut And Share Buybacks Will Support Earnings Strength Ahead
Analysts have nudged their price target on Meritage Homes slightly higher, from about $82.63 to roughly $83.13, citing updated homebuilder valuations and the view that the recent Fed cut will not significantly alter the near term housing market trajectory. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary from bullish analysts highlights a constructive view on Meritage Homes, reflected in modestly higher price targets and a continued positive stance on the company’s execution and positioning within the housing cycle.Narratiefupdate • Nov 23
MTH: Recent Market Supply Dynamics Will Support Earnings Strength Ahead
Analysts have increased their price target for Meritage Homes from $79 to $85, citing expectations that a recent Fed rate cut will have a limited immediate impact on the housing market's trajectory. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts point to several factors driving optimism about Meritage Homes' prospects following the price target adjustment.Narratiefupdate • Nov 08
MTH: Future Profit Margins Will Drive Positive Sentiment Among Market Participants
Analysts have increased their price target for Meritage Homes from $79 to $85, citing improved revenue growth and profit margins, even though there was only a modest adjustment to fair value estimates. Analyst Commentary Recent updates from Street research provide insights into the revised outlook for Meritage Homes.Narratiefupdate • Oct 25
Sun Belt Homebuilders Will See Continued Demand Amid Rate and Margin Pressures
Analyst Price Target Update for Meritage Homes Analysts have slightly increased their price target for Meritage Homes from $79 to $85. They cite updated sector coverage and note that recent shifts in interest rates are not expected to significantly affect the housing market outlook in the near term.Narratiefupdate • Oct 10
Sun Belt Demand Will Spur Homebuilding Growth Despite Margin Risks
Narrative Update on Meritage Homes Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Meritage Homes from $79 to $85, supported by updates to industry expectations and the view that recent macroeconomic shifts are unlikely to significantly alter housing market trends in the short term. Analyst Commentary Bullish and bearish analyst perspectives highlight key factors affecting Meritage Homes' valuation and near-term outlook.Analyseartikel • Sep 24
Slowing Rates Of Return At Meritage Homes (NYSE:MTH) Leave Little Room For Excitement
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...Analyseartikel • Jul 12
When Should You Buy Meritage Homes Corporation (NYSE:MTH)?
Meritage Homes Corporation ( NYSE:MTH ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of...Analyseartikel • Apr 13
Is There Now An Opportunity In Meritage Homes Corporation (NYSE:MTH)?
Meritage Homes Corporation ( NYSE:MTH ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw significant share price...Analyseartikel • Mar 26
Meritage Homes Corporation's (NYSE:MTH) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 18x, you may...Analyseartikel • Mar 11
Returns At Meritage Homes (NYSE:MTH) Are On The Way Up
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven...Analyseartikel • Feb 05
Meritage Homes (NYSE:MTH) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Seeking Alpha • Feb 05
Meritage Homes: Strong Execution And Resilient Demand Fuel Growth
Summary Meritage Homes' strong order growth and record backlog conversion demonstrate robust demand, despite a tough macro backdrop and high mortgage rates. Management's conservative FY25 guidance sets the stage for potential outperformance, aligning with MTH's historical trend of beating expectations. MTH's quick move-in strategy and aggressive land acquisitions position it well for future growth, particularly in high-demand entry-level segments. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalyseartikel • Dec 18
There Is A Reason Meritage Homes Corporation's (NYSE:MTH) Price Is Undemanding
Meritage Homes Corporation's ( NYSE:MTH ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7.3x might make it look like a strong...Seeking Alpha • Dec 14
Meritage Homes: Favourable Macro Backdrop And A Right Strategy In Place
Summary I maintain a buy rating for Meritage Homes Corporation due to strong earnings growth outlook and favorable macro conditions, including tight housing supply and elevated mortgage rates. MTH's strategic focus on quick, move-in ready homes with a 60-day closing guarantee positions it well to capture demand in the current market. Risks include tighter regulations affecting home financing and supply chain pressures from increased new home construction. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalyseartikel • Dec 05
Are Meritage Homes Corporation (NYSE:MTH) Investors Paying Above The Intrinsic Value?
Key Insights The projected fair value for Meritage Homes is US$148 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Meritage...Analyseartikel • Nov 07
Meritage Homes (NYSE:MTH) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues
The recent earnings posted by Meritage Homes Corporation ( NYSE:MTH ) were solid, but the stock didn't move as much as...Analyseartikel • Nov 04
Is Meritage Homes (NYSE:MTH) Using Too Much Debt?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Analyseartikel • Oct 18
Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Meritage Homes Corporation (NYSE:MTH)?
Meritage Homes Corporation ( NYSE:MTH ), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention from a...Seeking Alpha • Oct 13
Meritage Homes: Expect Value To Keep Building
Summary Meritage Homes has shown significant stock performance, up 29.5% since April and 79.8% since January 2022, outperforming the S&P 500. Despite a potential decline in Q3 revenue and profits, Meritage Homes remains undervalued with strong fundamentals and a favorable market outlook. Revenue and profits have increased due to higher home closures, although average home prices have dropped, reflecting reduced costs and high interest rates. The company's backlog is weak, but new home orders and lower cancellation rates indicate stability and potential for future growth. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalyseartikel • Oct 03
Returns At Meritage Homes (NYSE:MTH) Are On The Way Up
Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Typically, we'll want...Analyseartikel • Sep 16
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Meritage Homes Corporation's (NYSE:MTH) Low P/E
Meritage Homes Corporation's ( NYSE:MTH ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.8x might make it look like a strong...
Nieuw narratief • Aug 28
Aggressive Expansion And Narrow Market Focus Risk Eroding Future Profits
Focusing on move-in ready homes and rapid community expansion may narrow market appeal and increase operational risks, impacting earnings.Seeking Alpha • Jul 30
Meritage Homes Corporation: Staying Buy Rated As Demand Outlook Remains Positive
Summary Favorable macro situation and demand outlook support buy rating for MTH. Management upgraded FY24 guidance and I believe MTH can achieve this guidance easily. MTH has margin upside potential from lower interest rates and improved cycle times. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalyseartikel • Jul 27
Is Meritage Homes (NYSE:MTH) Using Too Much Debt?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analyseartikel • Jul 11
Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Meritage Homes Corporation (NYSE:MTH)?
While Meritage Homes Corporation ( NYSE:MTH ) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw significant share...Winst- en omzetgroeiprognoses
| Datum | Inkomsten | Inkomsten | Vrije kasstroom | Geldmiddelen uit operationele activiteiten | Gem. Aantal analisten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 6,419 | 484 | N/A | N/A | 3 |
| 12/31/2027 | 5,961 | 404 | 46 | 155 | 8 |
| 12/31/2026 | 5,485 | 331 | 228 | 401 | 8 |
| 3/31/2026 | 5,616 | 386 | 238 | 262 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 5,858 | 453 | 93 | 118 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 6,044 | 542 | -253 | -225 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 6,216 | 638 | -248 | -220 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 6,285 | 723 | -380 | -352 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 6,395 | 786 | -256 | -228 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 6,434 | 812 | -261 | -233 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 6,456 | 838 | -67 | -36 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 6,328 | 793 | 277 | 313 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 6,138 | 739 | 317 | 356 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 6,477 | 802 | 997 | 1,035 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 6,442 | 843 | 933 | 968 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 6,286 | 906 | 488 | 518 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 6,292 | 992 | 378 | 405 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 5,798 | 967 | -100 | -73 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 5,479 | 906 | -243 | -215 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 5,344 | 823 | -153 | -126 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 5,141 | 737 | -178 | -152 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 5,053 | 653 | -114 | -91 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 4,931 | 561 | 129 | 149 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 4,685 | 484 | 453 | 473 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 4,501 | 423 | 510 | 530 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 4,227 | 375 | 532 | 553 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 4,029 | 335 | 448 | 471 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 3,860 | 295 | 334 | 358 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 3,667 | 250 | N/A | 347 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 3,539 | 222 | N/A | 356 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 3,482 | 206 | N/A | 386 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 3,494 | 209 | N/A | 312 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 3,529 | 227 | N/A | 262 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 3,466 | 187 | N/A | 161 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 3,387 | 176 | N/A | 33 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 3,311 | 164 | N/A | -20 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 3,241 | 143 | N/A | -87 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 3,175 | 160 | N/A | -129 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 3,121 | 154 | N/A | -124 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 3,117 | 152 | N/A | -106 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 3,042 | 150 | N/A | -103 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 2,942 | 151 | N/A | -98 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 2,859 | 144 | N/A | -37 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 2,658 | 133 | N/A | -47 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 2,579 | 129 | N/A | -3 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 2,497 | 125 | N/A | -35 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 2,383 | 127 | N/A | -118 | N/A |
Toekomstige groeivoorspellingen analisten
Verdiensten versus spaarpercentage: De verwachte winstgroei MTH ( 7% per jaar) ligt boven de spaarquote ( 3.5% ).
Winst versus markt: De winst van MTH ( 7% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan de markt US ( 16.7% per jaar).
Hoge groeiwinsten: De winst van MTH zal naar verwachting groeien, maar niet aanzienlijk.
Omzet versus markt: De omzet van MTH ( 4.9% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan de markt US ( 11.7% per jaar).
Hoge groei-inkomsten: De omzet van MTH ( 4.9% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan 20% per jaar.
Groeiprognoses winst per aandeel
Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen
Toekomstige ROE: Het rendement op eigen vermogen MTH zal naar verwachting over 3 jaar laag zijn ( 8.5 %).
Ontdek groeibedrijven
Bedrijfsanalyse en status van financiële gegevens
| Gegevens | Laatst bijgewerkt (UTC-tijd) |
|---|---|
| Bedrijfsanalyse | 2026/05/14 17:54 |
| Aandelenkoers aan het einde van de dag | 2026/05/14 00:00 |
| Inkomsten | 2026/03/31 |
| Jaarlijkse inkomsten | 2025/12/31 |
Gegevensbronnen
De gegevens die gebruikt zijn in onze bedrijfsanalyse zijn afkomstig van S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. De volgende gegevens worden gebruikt in ons analysemodel om dit rapport te genereren. De gegevens zijn genormaliseerd, waardoor er een vertraging kan optreden voordat de bron beschikbaar is.
| Pakket | Gegevens | Tijdframe | Voorbeeld Amerikaanse bron * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financiële gegevens bedrijf | 10 jaar |
| |
| Consensus schattingen analisten | +3 jaar |
|
|
| Marktprijzen | 30 jaar |
| |
| Eigendom | 10 jaar |
| |
| Beheer | 10 jaar |
| |
| Belangrijkste ontwikkelingen | 10 jaar |
|
* Voorbeeld voor effecten uit de VS, voor niet-Amerikaanse effecten worden gelijkwaardige formulieren en bronnen gebruikt.
Tenzij anders vermeld zijn alle financiële gegevens gebaseerd op een jaarperiode, maar worden ze elk kwartaal bijgewerkt. Dit staat bekend als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) of Last Twelve Month (LTM) gegevens. Meer informatie.
Analysemodel en Snowflake
Details van het analysemodel dat is gebruikt om dit rapport te genereren zijn beschikbaar op onze Github-pagina. We hebben ook handleidingen over hoe je onze rapporten kunt gebruiken en tutorials op YouTube.
Leer meer over het team van wereldklasse dat het Simply Wall St-analysemodel heeft ontworpen en gebouwd.
Industrie en sector
Onze industrie- en sectormetrics worden elke 6 uur berekend door Simply Wall St, details van ons proces zijn beschikbaar op Github.
Bronnen van analisten
Meritage Homes Corporation wordt gevolgd door 20 analisten. 8 van deze analisten hebben de schattingen van de omzet of winst ingediend die zijn gebruikt als input voor ons rapport. Inzendingen van analisten worden de hele dag door bijgewerkt.
| Analist | Instelling |
|---|---|
| Stephen Kim | Barclays |
| Rafe Jadrosich | BofA Global Research |
| Tyler Batory | Brean Capital Historical (Janney Montgomery) |