Mercury Systems Toekomstige groei
Future criteriumcontroles 3/6
Mercury Systems zal naar verwachting groeien in winst en omzet met respectievelijk 118.8% en 8% per jaar. De winst per aandeel zal naar verwachting groeien met 119.7% per jaar. Het rendement op het eigen vermogen zal over 3 jaar naar verwachting 7.4% zijn.
Belangrijke informatie
118.8%
Groei van de winst
119.68%
Groei van de winst per aandeel
| Aerospace & Defense winstgroei | 18.0% |
| Inkomstengroei | 8.0% |
| Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen | 7.40% |
| Dekking van analisten | Good |
| Laatst bijgewerkt | 05 Jun 2026 |
Recente toekomstige groei-updates
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Jul 09
Mercury Systems: Investment Has Played Out, The Defense Chip Specialist Is Now A Sell
Summary Mercury Systems is downgraded from buy to sell as the stock is now fully valued after a 42.5% rally. MRCY's improved inventory management and higher-margin backlog have driven margin expansion and revenue acceleration, but future upside appears limited. Guidance was raised for FY26, with mid-single-digit revenue growth and mid-teens EBITDA margins, yet these improvements are already priced in. Absent clear signs of sales CAGR acceleration to low-to-mid teens, the investment thesis has played out, and risk/reward is no longer attractive. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narratiefupdate • Jun 14
MRCY: Future Margin Execution On Defense Bookings Will Limit Repricing Potential
Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for Mercury Systems higher to $101.50 from $97.50, reflecting updated views on improving profit margins and booking trends that have supported recent increases in the Street price target, including Jefferies' move to $105. Analyst Commentary Recent research has focused on Mercury Systems' order trends and margin profile as key inputs into fair value estimates and price targets.
Narratiefupdate • May 31
MRCY: Contract Wins And Margin Gains Will Support Steadier Future Earnings Quality
Mercury Systems' analyst price targets have been raised by between $4 and $15, with analysts pointing to updated expectations for revenue growth, profitability, and a lower future P/E multiple as key drivers of the change. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Mercury Systems has centered on a series of price target revisions, with several bullish analysts lifting their targets by between US$4 and US$15, and one earlier cut of US$5 still in the mix.
Narratiefupdate • May 13
MRCY: Space Program Execution Risk Will Constrain Future Share Price Upside
Analysts have lifted their price target for Mercury Systems to $72.04 from $62.00, citing updated views on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions following recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Mercury Systems has included several price target revisions, both upward and downward, which signal a wide range of views on how the stock is currently valued.Narratiefupdate • Apr 29
MRCY: Execution Risk In Space Contracts Will Limit Upside Potential
Analysts have modestly adjusted their blended price target on Mercury Systems to reflect a mixed set of recent updates, with Jefferies trimming its view by a combined $15 while Truist, RBC Capital, and Canaccord issued increases of $7, $10, and $14 respectively, citing differing expectations around growth, margins, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Mercury Systems reflects a split view, with some firms lifting their price targets while others are trimming theirs.Narratiefupdate • Apr 15
MRCY: Ongoing Execution Risk Will Constrain Defense Contract Upside
Mercury Systems' updated analyst price target shifted to $62 from about $64, as analysts adjusted their models for changes in projected growth, margins, discount rate and future P/E assumptions following a mix of recent target cuts and raises across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street research on Mercury Systems has been active, with a mix of higher and lower price targets reflecting different views on how much risk investors should price into the shares.Narratiefupdate • Mar 31
MRCY: Space And Weapons Contracts Will Support Future Repricing Potential
Analysts have adjusted their Mercury Systems price targets in a mixed but generally constructive way, with several firms raising targets by $6 to $14 while one reduced its view by $10. These changes reflect updated expectations around defense demand, aircraft production and the importance of careful stock selection in higher valuation defense tech names.Narratiefupdate • Mar 16
MRCY: Space And Strategic Weapons Contracts Will Drive Renewed Uptrend
Analysts have raised the implied fair value estimate for Mercury Systems to $97.50 from $86.00. This change reflects a series of recent Street price target revisions that indicate higher assumed revenue and profit margins, even though one firm reduced its target by $10.Narratiefupdate • Mar 02
MRCY: Higher Margins And Defense Recapitalization Efforts Will Support Stronger Earnings Quality
Analysts have made modest adjustments to their price targets on Mercury Systems, with shifts such as Jefferies trimming its view by $10 while others raised theirs by $6 to $14. These changes reflect updated expectations around margins, growth and future P/E assumptions rather than a change to the $120 fair value in our framework.Narratiefupdate • Feb 16
MRCY: Limited Defense Catalysts And Execution Risk Will Pressure Future Returns
Analysts have raised their blended price target for Mercury Systems from about $55 to roughly $63.70. They cite updated assumptions regarding revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple, which reflect recent target changes from firms that have both increased and decreased their views on the stock.Narratiefupdate • Feb 02
MRCY: Elevated Sector Pricing And One Off Revenue Timing Will Pressure Returns
Analysts raised their price target on Mercury Systems by about $2.50, supported by slightly higher fair value estimates, a modestly lower discount rate, and small upward adjustments to revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, while keeping future P/E expectations broadly stable. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Mercury Systems highlights a mix of optimism around fair value and caution around how that value might be realized.Narratiefupdate • Jan 19
MRCY: Higher Margins And Space Contracts Will Support Stronger Earnings Quality
Narrative Update Analysts have raised their implied fair value range for Mercury Systems from about $80 to roughly $120 per share, citing higher modeled revenue, improved profit margins, and sector research indicating supportive demand trends in aerospace and defense. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are nudging their expectations higher for Mercury Systems, with recent price target revisions pointing to increased confidence in both execution and earnings quality.Analyseartikel • Jan 14
Mercury Systems, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MRCY) 33% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues
Mercury Systems, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MRCY ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 33% share price jump in the...Narratiefupdate • Jan 05
MRCY: Accelerated High Margin Revenue Will Likely Inflate Near Term Expectations
Analysts have raised their price targets on Mercury Systems to a range of US$95 to US$100, citing Q3 results that benefited from about US$20m of accelerated, high margin revenue, a 1.1x book to bill, minimal perceived shutdown risk, and solid demand trends across aircraft production and aftermarket activity. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Mercury Systems has focused on the quality of Q3 earnings, the sustainability of current margins, and how exposed the business might be to macro and government related risks.Narratiefupdate • Dec 15
MRCY: Elevated Expectations Around Accelerated Revenue Will Likely Pressure Shares
Analysts have raised their price target on Mercury Systems significantly, from about $40 to roughly $53 per share. They cite stronger than expected Q3 execution, higher margin contributions from accelerated revenue, and improving aerospace and defense demand that supports higher growth and profitability assumptions.Narratiefupdate • Nov 30
MRCY: Share Repurchase And Q3 Strength Will Drive Renewed Uptrend
Analysts have raised their average price target for Mercury Systems. Recent updates reflect an increase from $71 to a range up to $100 per share.Narratiefupdate • Nov 16
MRCY: Future Demand Strength In Defense And Aerospace Will Drive Share Gains
Mercury Systems’ analyst price target has increased significantly from $81.13 to $86.00. Analysts point to recent operational outperformance, improved profit margins, and positive demand trends as supporting factors for the higher valuation.Analyseartikel • Nov 07
The Mercury Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:MRCY) First-Quarter Results Are Out And Analysts Have Published New Forecasts
Last week saw the newest quarterly earnings release from Mercury Systems, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MRCY ), an important milestone...Narratiefupdate • Nov 01
MRCY: Future Demand From Aerospace And Defense Will Shape Fair Outlook
Analysts have raised their price target for Mercury Systems from $77.50 to $81.13, citing improving sentiment in the aerospace and defense sector, increased aftermarket demand, and model updates that reflect continued operational progress. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst research has highlighted both optimism and caution regarding Mercury Systems' near-term performance and long-term prospects.Narratiefupdate • Oct 17
US And European Defense Trends Will Drive Transformation
Analysts have raised their price target for Mercury Systems significantly, increasing it from $72.63 to $77.50. They cite improved revenue stability, higher profit margin forecasts, and continued industry optimism surrounding aerospace and defense suppliers.Narratiefupdate • Oct 03
US And European Defense Trends Will Drive Transformation
Analysts have raised their price target for Mercury Systems from $65.43 to $72.63. They cite improved revenue outlook and recent strong quarterly performance as key drivers for their increased optimism.Analyseartikel • Sep 11
Subdued Growth No Barrier To Mercury Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:MRCY) With Shares Advancing 34%
Mercury Systems, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MRCY ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 34% share price jump in the...Narratiefupdate • Sep 04
US And European Defense Trends Will Drive Transformation
Analysts highlight a Q4 earnings beat driven by a one-time revenue pull-forward and a surge in bookings, but maintain a conservative long-term outlook and reiterate their Buy stance, leaving the price target unchanged at $65.43. Analyst Commentary Q4 earnings significantly exceeded expectations due to a $30M revenue pull-forward.
Nieuw narratief • Mar 22
Transition To Production Will Strengthen Competitive Edge In Defense Electronics
Increased production capacity and competitive wins, like the defense satellite program, position Mercury Systems for potential long-term revenue and market share growth.Seeking Alpha • Jan 16
Rugged Tech, Fragile Finances: Mercury's Fight For Stability
Summary Mercury Systems specializes in ruggedized electronics for defense contractors, focusing on integrating off-the-shelf components to withstand extreme environments. The company faces declining R&D investments, high inventory levels, and operational inefficiencies, leading to stalled revenues, reduced profitability, and volatile cash flow. Management is focusing on streamlining operations, reducing working capital, and shifting the product mix toward higher-margin production contracts. Mercury boasts a record $1.3 billion backlog and improving supply chain conditions, providing optimism for future free cash flow and margin expansion. While management projects recovery and growth in fiscal 2025, risks remain from potential supply chain disruptions, labor market instability, and operational execution. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 11
Mercury Systems Stock: Still A Hold After 25% Post-Earnings Surge
Summary Mercury Systems reported strong Q1 FY25 earnings, beating analyst estimates, leading to a 25% stock gain, and surpassing my previous $41.05 price target. Despite significant earnings improvement due to restructuring, Mercury Systems still faces challenges with margin recovery, revenue growth, and a $591.5 million credit facility that needs to be paid off. The company’s backlog signals product demand, but FY25 sales are expected to be flat with notable EBITDA and free cash flow improvements. Given the current price levels and financial uncertainties, I maintain a hold rating for Mercury Systems, seeing no compelling near-term upside. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Aug 15
Mercury Systems: Why Did The Stock Surge 17%?
Summary Mercury Systems stock surged 17% to $40 after fourth quarter results. MRCY focused on risk retirement in FY24, successfully addressing challenged programs. Expectations for enhanced margins and cash flow conversion in FY2025 and beyond, with potential for elevated returns due to risk profile. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaWinst- en omzetgroeiprognoses
| Datum | Inkomsten | Inkomsten | Vrije kasstroom | Geldmiddelen uit operationele activiteiten | Gem. Aantal analisten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/30/2029 | 1,250 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1 |
| 6/30/2028 | 1,153 | 65 | 134 | 165 | 6 |
| 6/30/2027 | 1,047 | 28 | 93 | 128 | 8 |
| 6/30/2026 | 959 | -23 | 65 | 93 | 9 |
| 3/27/2026 | 967 | -14 | 73 | 98 | N/A |
| 12/26/2025 | 943 | -30 | 99 | 122 | N/A |
| 9/26/2025 | 933 | -33 | 136 | 156 | N/A |
| 6/27/2025 | 912 | -38 | 119 | 139 | N/A |
| 3/28/2025 | 887 | -65 | 146 | 173 | N/A |
| 12/27/2024 | 884 | -90 | 97 | 125 | N/A |
| 9/27/2024 | 859 | -118 | 52 | 85 | N/A |
| 6/28/2024 | 835 | -138 | 26 | 60 | N/A |
| 3/29/2024 | 840 | -135 | -32 | 1 | N/A |
| 12/29/2023 | 895 | -85 | -18 | 16 | N/A |
| 9/29/2023 | 927 | -51 | -34 | 6 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 974 | -28 | -60 | -21 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 1,010 | -3 | -91 | -53 | N/A |
| 12/30/2022 | 1,000 | -4 | -89 | -54 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 991 | 4 | -113 | -83 | N/A |
| 7/1/2022 | 988 | 11 | -47 | -19 | N/A |
| 4/1/2022 | 949 | 12 | -3 | 28 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 953 | 24 | 21 | 55 | N/A |
| 10/1/2021 | 943 | 39 | 32 | 72 | N/A |
| 7/2/2021 | 924 | 62 | 52 | 97 | N/A |
| 4/2/2021 | 891 | 71 | 53 | 99 | N/A |
| 1/1/2021 | 842 | 79 | 59 | 106 | N/A |
| 10/2/2020 | 825 | 82 | 69 | 114 | N/A |
| 7/3/2020 | 797 | 86 | 72 | 115 | N/A |
| 3/27/2020 | 756 | 71 | 72 | 112 | N/A |
| 12/27/2019 | 723 | 62 | N/A | 109 | N/A |
| 9/27/2019 | 688 | 59 | N/A | 102 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 655 | 47 | N/A | 98 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 631 | 44 | N/A | 97 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 572 | 34 | N/A | 72 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 531 | 30 | N/A | 55 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 493 | 41 | N/A | 43 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 456 | 40 | N/A | 27 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 447 | 43 | N/A | 51 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 427 | 39 | N/A | 57 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 409 | 25 | N/A | 59 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 378 | 24 | N/A | 63 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 337 | 21 | N/A | 43 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 299 | 21 | N/A | 41 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 270 | 20 | N/A | 37 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 249 | 18 | N/A | 36 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 243 | 19 | N/A | 41 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 239 | 17 | N/A | 37 | N/A |
Toekomstige groeivoorspellingen analisten
Verdiensten versus spaarpercentage: Er wordt voorspeld dat MRCY de komende 3 jaar winstgevend zal worden, wat wordt beschouwd als een snellere groei dan de spaarquote ( 3.5% ).
Winst versus markt: Er wordt verwacht dat MRCY de komende 3 jaar winstgevend zal worden. Dit wordt gezien als een groei die boven het gemiddelde van de markt ligt.
Hoge groeiwinsten: Er wordt verwacht dat MRCY binnen 3 jaar winstgevend zal worden.
Omzet versus markt: De omzet van MRCY ( 8% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan de markt US ( 12.9% per jaar).
Hoge groei-inkomsten: De omzet van MRCY ( 8% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan 20% per jaar.
Groeiprognoses winst per aandeel
Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen
Toekomstige ROE: Het rendement op eigen vermogen MRCY zal naar verwachting over 3 jaar laag zijn ( 7.4 %).
Ontdek groeibedrijven
Bedrijfsanalyse en status van financiële gegevens
| Gegevens | Laatst bijgewerkt (UTC-tijd) |
|---|---|
| Bedrijfsanalyse | 2026/07/09 11:25 |
| Aandelenkoers aan het einde van de dag | 2026/07/09 00:00 |
| Inkomsten | 2026/03/27 |
| Jaarlijkse inkomsten | 2025/06/27 |
Gegevensbronnen
De gegevens die gebruikt zijn in onze bedrijfsanalyse zijn afkomstig van S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. De volgende gegevens worden gebruikt in ons analysemodel om dit rapport te genereren. De gegevens zijn genormaliseerd, waardoor er een vertraging kan optreden voordat de bron beschikbaar is.
| Pakket | Gegevens | Tijdframe | Voorbeeld Amerikaanse bron * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financiële gegevens bedrijf | 10 jaar |
| |
| Consensus schattingen analisten | +3 jaar |
|
|
| Marktprijzen | 30 jaar |
| |
| Eigendom | 10 jaar |
| |
| Beheer | 10 jaar |
| |
| Belangrijkste ontwikkelingen | 10 jaar |
|
* Voorbeeld voor effecten uit de VS, voor niet-Amerikaanse effecten worden gelijkwaardige formulieren en bronnen gebruikt.
Tenzij anders vermeld zijn alle financiële gegevens gebaseerd op een jaarperiode, maar worden ze elk kwartaal bijgewerkt. Dit staat bekend als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) of Last Twelve Month (LTM) gegevens. Meer informatie.
Analysemodel en Snowflake
Details van het analysemodel dat is gebruikt om dit rapport te genereren zijn beschikbaar op onze Github-pagina, we hebben ook handleidingen over hoe u onze rapporten kunt gebruiken en tutorials op YouTube.
Leer meer over het team van wereldklasse dat het Simply Wall St-analysemodel heeft ontworpen en gebouwd.
Industrie en sector
Onze industrie- en sectormetrics worden elke 6 uur berekend door Simply Wall St, details van ons proces zijn beschikbaar op Github.
Bronnen van analisten
Mercury Systems, Inc. wordt gevolgd door 14 analisten. 8 van deze analisten hebben de schattingen van de omzet of winst ingediend die zijn gebruikt als input voor ons rapport. Inzendingen van analisten worden de hele dag door bijgewerkt.
| Analist | Instelling |
|---|---|
| Peter Arment | Baird |
| Christopher Rieger | Berenberg |
| Austin Moeller | Canaccord Genuity |