Mercari, Inc.

TSE:4385 Voorraadrapport

Marktkapitalisatie: JP¥813.0b

Mercari Inkomsten in het verleden

Verleden criteriumcontroles 3/6

Mercari heeft de winst zien groeien met een gemiddeld jaarlijks percentage van 52.4%, terwijl de Multiline Retail-industrie de winst zag groeien met 8.2% per jaar. De inkomsten zijn gegroeid met een gemiddeld jaarlijks percentage van 11.5%. Het rendement op eigen vermogen van Mercari is 25.8%, en het heeft een nettomarge van 15.4%.

Belangrijke informatie

52.36%

Groei van de winst

51.98%

Groei van de winst per aandeel

Multiline Retail Groei van de industrie9.72%
Inkomstengroei11.47%
Rendement op eigen vermogen25.77%
Nettomarge15.44%
Laatste winstupdate30 Jun 2026

Recente prestatie-updates uit het verleden

Analyse-artikel May 19

There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of Mercari's (TSE:4385) Earnings

Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for Mercari, Inc.'s ( TSE:4385 ) stock hasn't moved much. Our analysis...

Recent updates

Narratiefupdate Jul 30

4385: Cross Border App Expansion Will Sustain Overvaluation Risk Despite Higher Earnings Assumptions

Analysts have raised their price target for Mercari from ¥2,812 to ¥3,400, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, a slightly lower discount rate, and a modestly higher future P/E multiple. What’s in the News for Mercari Mercari Japan launched a new standalone Mercari Japan app in the United States, creating a dedicated cross border shopping platform for American customers to buy items from Mercari and Mercari Shops in Japan.
Narratiefupdate Jul 16

4385: Cross-Border App Expansion And Steady Margins Will Support Cash Flows

Analysts have modestly raised their Mercari price target from about ¥4,177 to roughly ¥4,415, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and future P/E that slightly adjust their valuation framework. What's in the News Mercari Japan launched a new standalone Mercari Japan app for U.S. users, offering a dedicated cross-border shopping platform that connects American buyers with items listed on Mercari and Mercari Shops in Japan.
Narratiefupdate Jul 02

4385: U.S. Cross-Border App Expansion Will Support A Higher Future Earnings Multiple

Mercari's implied fair value has shifted from ¥3,500.0 to approximately ¥5,488.34, reflecting analysts' updated assumptions for higher revenue growth, a slightly different discount rate, a modestly lower profit margin, and a higher future P/E multiple. What’s in the News for Mercari Mercari Japan launched a new standalone Mercari Japan app in the U.S., offering American users a dedicated cross-border shopping platform to buy items from Japan’s Mercari and Mercari Shops marketplaces.
Narratiefupdate Jun 18

4385: Revised Guidance And User Trends Will Support Steady Cash Flows

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Mercari to ¥4,176.92 from ¥3,848.46, citing updated assumptions for slightly lower discount rates, modestly higher projected revenue growth and profit margins, as well as a higher future P/E multiple. What’s in the News for Mercari Mercari revised its consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending June 30, 2026, and now expects revenue of ¥220,000 million, compared with its previous range of ¥210,000 million to ¥220,000 million.
Narratiefupdate Jun 03

4385: Raised Revenue Guidance Will Sustain Overvaluation Risk Despite Higher Discount Rate

Analysts have raised Mercari's fair value estimate from ¥2,700 to about ¥2,812, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue, profit margins, and future P/E multiples that refine their overall outlook on the stock. What's in the News Mercari revised its consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending June 30, 2026, and now expects revenue of ¥220,000 million, compared with its previous range of ¥210,000 million to ¥220,000 million.
Narratiefupdate May 19

4385: Revised Guidance And User Retention Will Support Steady Cash Flows

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Mercari from about ¥3,303 to roughly ¥3,848, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E ratios. What's in the News Mercari revised its consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending June 30, 2026, and now expects revenue of ¥220,000 million compared with the prior range of ¥210,000 million to ¥220,000 million (company guidance).
Analyse-artikel May 19

There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of Mercari's (TSE:4385) Earnings

Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for Mercari, Inc.'s ( TSE:4385 ) stock hasn't moved much. Our analysis...
Analyse-artikel May 14

Earnings Beat: Mercari, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ) defied analyst predictions to release its third-quarter results, which were ahead of market...
Narratiefupdate May 03

4385: Raised Guidance Will Sustain Overvaluation Risk Despite Stable Profitability Assumptions

Analysts have reaffirmed Mercari's price target at ¥2,700, citing updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E that are broadly consistent with prior views. What's in the News Mercari raised consolidated revenue guidance for the year ending June 30, 2026 to ¥210,000 million to ¥220,000 million, compared with the previous range of ¥200,000 million to ¥210,000 million (company guidance).
Narratiefupdate Apr 18

4385: Raised Guidance And Higher P/E Assumptions Will Sustain Overvaluation Risk

Analysts have lifted their price target on Mercari from ¥2,500 to ¥2,700, citing adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin assumptions, and a higher future P/E multiple in their updated models. What's in the News Mercari revised its consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending June 30, 2026, providing updated revenue and core operating profit ranges.
Analyse-artikel Apr 07

At JP¥3,930, Is Mercari, Inc. (TSE:4385) Worth Looking At Closely?

Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ), is not the largest company out there, but it led the TSE gainers with a relatively large...
Narratiefupdate Apr 04

4385: Raised Guidance And Rich Margin Assumptions Will Sustain Overvaluation Risk

Analysts have kept Mercari's price target at ¥2,500.00. They point to slightly different assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E that still support the same overall valuation view.
Narratiefupdate Mar 21

4385: Rich Profit Assumptions And Lower Future P/E Will Sustain Overvaluation Risk

Mercari's analyst price target is held at ¥2,500, as analysts balance a slightly higher discount rate with updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margin, and a lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News Mercari raised its consolidated revenue guidance for the year ending June 30, 2026 to a range of ¥210,000 million to ¥220,000 million, compared with the previous range of ¥200,000 million to ¥210,000 million (Key Developments).
Narratiefupdate Mar 06

4385: Earnings Guidance Updates Will Gradually Support Stable Cash Flows And Margins

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Mercari to ¥3,303 from ¥3,288, reflecting slightly adjusted views on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News Mercari revised its consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending June 30, 2026, updating both its revenue and core operating profit ranges.
Narratiefupdate Feb 20

4385: Future Cash Flows And Margins Will Gradually Stabilize With Modest Risk Reduction

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Mercari from about ¥3,097 to roughly ¥3,288, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E that slightly adjust the discount rate used in their models. What's in the News Mercari revised its consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending June 30, 2026, providing updated ranges for revenue and core operating profit.
Analyse-artikel Feb 11

Mercari, Inc. (TSE:4385) Just Reported And Analysts Have Been Lifting Their Price Targets

Shareholders of Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ) will be pleased this week, given that the stock price is up 12% to JP¥3,567...
Narratiefupdate Feb 06

4385: Future Cash Flows And Margins Will Gradually Stabilize With Modest Risk Reduction

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Mercari higher from ¥2,938 to ¥3,097 as they factor in slightly lower discount rates, moderately stronger revenue growth assumptions, a firmer profit margin outlook, and a small adjustment to future P/E expectations. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate was raised from ¥2,938 to ¥3,097, reflecting a modest upward adjustment to the intrinsic value per share.
Analyse-artikel Feb 01

Here's Why We Think Mercari (TSE:4385) Is Well Worth Watching

The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...
Narratiefupdate Jan 23

4385: Lower Forward P/E And Rich Profit Assumptions Will Sustain Overvaluation Risk

Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target setup for Mercari, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth of 5.02%, a profit margin of 11.90% and a future P/E of 19.03x, while keeping fair value at ¥2,500. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Unchanged at ¥2,500, indicating the updated assumptions did not alter the overall valuation anchor.
Narratiefupdate Jan 08

4385: Higher Future P/E Will Eventually Expose Overvaluation Risk

Analysts have increased their fair value estimate for Mercari to ¥2,500 from ¥1,984, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate was raised from ¥1,984 to ¥2,500, reflecting the updated model assumptions.
Analyse-artikel Dec 23

Investors Will Want Mercari's (TSE:4385) Growth In ROCE To Persist

If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...
Narratiefupdate Dec 18

4385: Future Cash Flows And Margins Will Gradually Stabilize With Modest Risk Reduction

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Mercari from ¥2,773.85 to ¥2,938.33, citing slightly lower perceived risk, firmer expectations for mid single digit revenue growth, a gradual improvement in profit margins, and a marginally higher future earnings multiple. Valuation Changes The fair value estimate has risen slightly from ¥2,773.85 to ¥2,938.33, reflecting a modestly higher intrinsic valuation.
Narratiefupdate Dec 04

4385: Future Cash Flows And Margins Are Expected To Gradually Stabilize

Analysts modestly raised their price target on Mercari, with fair value estimates increasing from approximately ¥2,713 to ¥2,774, as they refine discount rate and valuation assumptions despite slightly softer long term growth and margin expectations. Analyst Commentary Analyst views on Mercari remain generally constructive, with the modest price target increase reflecting confidence in the platform’s ability to sustain cash flow generation while navigating a more normalized growth environment.
Analyse-artikel Nov 27

Is It Time To Consider Buying Mercari, Inc. (TSE:4385)?

Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ), is not the largest company out there, but it led the TSE gainers with a relatively large...
Analyse-artikel Nov 13

Mercari, Inc.'s (TSE:4385) 26% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Earnings

Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a...
Analyse-artikel Nov 11

Mercari, Inc. Just Recorded A 10% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ) just released its latest quarterly results and things are looking bullish. It was overall a...
Analyse-artikel Nov 02

Do Mercari's (TSE:4385) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...
Analyse-artikel Oct 04

Impressive Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Mercari (TSE:4385)

Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ) announced strong profits, but the stock was stagnant. Our analysis suggests that this might...
Narratiefupdate Sep 13

Advanced AI And International Expansion Will Drive Future Success

Mercari's consensus price target saw a slight decrease to ¥2713, as modestly improved revenue growth forecasts were offset by an essentially unchanged net profit margin. What's in the News Mercari provided consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending June 30, 2026, expecting revenue of JPY 200,000 million to JPY 210,000 million and core operating profit of JPY 28,000 million to JPY 32,000 million.
Analyse-artikel Aug 08

Mercari, Inc. Just Beat EPS By 46%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Last week, you might have seen that Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ) released its yearly result to the market. The early...
User avatar
Nieuw narratief Feb 09

Transitioning Hallo To Paid Service Will Generate New Revenue Streams

Enhancing user experience and implementing user safety measures may boost engagement, trust, and retention, positively impacting revenue and margins.

Opbrengsten en kosten

Hoe Mercari geld verdient en uitgeeft. Gebaseerd op laatst gerapporteerde winst, op LTM-basis.


Inkomsten en omzetgeschiedenis

TSE:4385 Opbrengsten, kosten en inkomsten (JPY Millions )
DatumInkomstenInkomstenG+A UitgavenR&D-uitgaven
30 Jun 26229,29335,401124,7240
31 Mar 26215,85733,813115,9790
31 Dec 25204,72729,316111,8110
30 Sep 25197,14928,168110,0700
30 Jun 25192,63326,114109,6540
31 Mar 25190,59616,439109,7360
31 Dec 24189,18216,295110,8780
30 Sep 24188,06013,583112,4940
30 Jun 24187,40713,461110,8610
31 Mar 24185,02916,768108,7040
31 Dec 23180,16516,418103,2400
30 Sep 23176,30615,46999,4900
30 Jun 23172,06413,07096,3650
31 Mar 23165,2615,19594,1910
31 Dec 22160,143-3,63998,9250
30 Sep 22153,444-7,03899,8760
30 Jun 22147,049-7,56998,5000
31 Mar 22138,915-5,56494,7660
31 Dec 21129,093-1,11989,1170
30 Sep 21117,5931,32080,9520
30 Jun 21106,1155,72075,8150
31 Mar 2199,8263,01673,1770
31 Dec 2091,495-4,55871,7590
30 Sep 2083,883-11,37872,9120
30 Jun 2076,275-22,77274,3990
31 Mar 2067,655-28,63574,3820
31 Dec 1960,888-23,39265,1420
30 Sep 1955,679-17,99056,7590
30 Jun 1951,683-13,76450,0990
31 Mar 1946,996-10,94844,2640
30 Jun 1835,765-7,04133,3810
30 Jun 1722,071-4,20722,1260
30 Jun 1612,256-34811,5130

Kwaliteitswinsten: 4385 heeft een hoog niveau van non-cash earnings.

Groeiende winstmarge: De huidige netto winstmarges (15.4%) 4385 } zijn hoger dan vorig jaar (13.6%).


Analyse vrije kasstroom versus winst


Analyse van de winstgroei in het verleden

Winsttrend: De winst van 4385 is de afgelopen 5 jaar aanzienlijk gegroeid met 52.4% per jaar.

Versnelling van de groei: De winstgroei van 4385 over het afgelopen jaar ( 35.6% ) ligt onder het 5-jarig gemiddelde ( 52.4% per jaar).

Winst versus industrie: De winstgroei 4385 over het afgelopen jaar ( 35.6% ) overtrof de Multiline Retail -sector 31.5%.


Rendement op eigen vermogen

Hoge ROE: Hoewel het rendement op eigen vermogen ( 25.77% ) van 4385 hoog is, is deze metriek vertekend vanwege hun hoge schuldenniveau.


Rendement op activa


Rendement op geïnvesteerd vermogen


Ontdek sterk presterende bedrijven uit het verleden

Bedrijfsanalyse en status van financiële gegevens

GegevensLaatst bijgewerkt (UTC-tijd)
Bedrijfsanalyse2026/08/07 15:58
Aandelenkoers aan het einde van de dag2026/08/07 00:00
Inkomsten2026/06/30
Jaarlijkse inkomsten2026/06/30

Gegevensbronnen

De gegevens die gebruikt zijn in onze bedrijfsanalyse zijn afkomstig van S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. De volgende gegevens worden gebruikt in ons analysemodel om dit rapport te genereren. De gegevens zijn genormaliseerd, waardoor er een vertraging kan optreden voordat de bron beschikbaar is.

PakketGegevensTijdframeVoorbeeld Amerikaanse bron *
Financiële gegevens bedrijf10 jaar
  • Resultatenrekening
  • Kasstroomoverzicht
  • Balans
Consensus schattingen analisten+3 jaar
  • Financiële prognoses
  • Koersdoelen analisten
Marktprijzen30 jaar
  • Aandelenprijzen
  • Dividenden, splitsingen en acties
Eigendom10 jaar
  • Top aandeelhouders
  • Handel met voorkennis
Beheer10 jaar
  • Leiderschapsteam
  • Raad van bestuur
Belangrijkste ontwikkelingen10 jaar
  • Bedrijfsaankondigingen

* Voorbeeld voor effecten uit de VS, voor niet-Amerikaanse effecten worden gelijkwaardige formulieren en bronnen gebruikt.

Tenzij anders vermeld zijn alle financiële gegevens gebaseerd op een jaarperiode, maar worden ze elk kwartaal bijgewerkt. Dit staat bekend als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) of Last Twelve Month (LTM) gegevens. Meer informatie.

Analysemodel en Snowflake

Details van het analysamodel dat is gebruikt om dit rapport te genereren zijn beschikbaar op onze Github-pagina, we hebben ook handleidingen over hoe u onze rapporten kunt gebruiken en tutorials op YouTube.

Leer meer over het team van wereldklasse dat het Simply Wall St-analysemodel heeft ontworpen en gebouwd.

Industrie en sector

Onze industrie- en sectormetrics worden elke 6 uur berekend door Simply Wall St, details van ons proces zijn beschikbaar op Github.

Bronnen van analisten

Mercari, Inc. wordt gevolgd door 17 analisten. 13 van deze analisten hebben de schattingen van de omzet of winst ingediend die zijn gebruikt als input voor ons rapport. Inzendingen van analisten worden de hele dag door bijgewerkt.

AnalistInstelling
Yoshitaka NagaoBofA Global Research
Keiichi YoneshimaCitigroup Inc
Shingo KumazawaDaiwa Securities Co. Ltd.