Stock Analysis

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Finbar Group Limited's (ASX:FRI) Low P/E

ASX:FRI
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Finbar Group Limited's (ASX:FRI) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.7x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Australia, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 18x and even P/E's above 35x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Finbar Group over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Finbar Group

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ASX:FRI Price Based on Past Earnings August 24th 2020
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Finbar Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Finbar Group's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Finbar Group would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 6.5% decrease to the company's bottom line. At least EPS has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 10.0% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we can see why Finbar Group is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.

The Final Word

The price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Finbar Group revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 4 warning signs for Finbar Group (2 can't be ignored!) that you need to be mindful of.

You might be able to find a better investment than Finbar Group. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a P/E below 20x (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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