What You Must Know About Cargojet Inc.'s (TSE:CJT) Beta Value

If you own shares in Cargojet Inc. (TSE:CJT) then it's worth thinking about how it contributes to the volatility of your portfolio, overall. In finance, Beta is a measure of volatility. Volatility is considered to be a measure of risk in modern finance theory. Investors may think of volatility as falling into two main categories. The first category is company specific volatility. This can be dealt with by limiting your exposure to any particular stock. The other type, which cannot be diversified away, is the volatility of the entire market. Every stock in the market is exposed to this volatility, which is linked to the fact that stocks prices are correlated in an efficient market.

Some stocks mimic the volatility of the market quite closely, while others demonstrate muted, exagerrated or uncorrelated price movements. Beta is a widely used metric to measure a stock's exposure to market risk (volatility). Before we go on, it's worth noting that Warren Buffett pointed out in his 2014 letter to shareholders that 'volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' Having said that, beta can still be rather useful. The first thing to understand about beta is that the beta of the overall market is one. A stock with a beta greater than one is more sensitive to broader market movements than a stock with a beta of less than one.

Check out our latest analysis for Cargojet

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What we can learn from CJT's beta value

As it happens, Cargojet has a five year beta of 0.95. This is fairly close to 1, so the stock has historically shown a somewhat similar level of volatility as the market. While history does not always repeat, this may indicate that the stock price will continue to be exposed to market risk, albeit not overly so. Many would argue that beta is useful in position sizing, but fundamental metrics such as revenue and earnings are more important overall. You can see Cargojet's revenue and earnings in the image below.

TSX:CJT Income Statement, December 31st 2019
TSX:CJT Income Statement, December 31st 2019

How does CJT's size impact its beta?

Cargojet is a small cap stock with a market capitalisation of CA$1.4b. Most companies this size are actively traded. Small companies often have a high beta value because the stock price can move on relatively low capital flows. So it's interesting to note that this stock historically has a beta value quite close to one.

What this means for you:

Cargojet has a beta value quite close to that of the overall market. That doesn't tell us much on its own, so it is probably worth considering whether the company is growing, if you're looking for stocks that will go up more than the overall market. This article aims to educate investors about beta values, but it's well worth looking at important company-specific fundamentals such as Cargojet’s financial health and performance track record. I urge you to continue your research by taking a look at the following:

  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for CJT’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for CJT’s outlook.
  2. Past Track Record: Has CJT been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of CJT's historicals for more clarity.
  3. Other Interesting Stocks: It's worth checking to see how CJT measures up against other companies on valuation. You could start with this free list of prospective options.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.

About TSX:CJT

Cargojet

Provides time-sensitive overnight air cargo services and carries in Canada.

Established dividend payer with limited growth.

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Checked it. The arithmetic is fine; the inputs aren't, and the conclusion doesn't follow even if they were.1. Fare. $7 is a US robotaxi price. Pony's record peak day in Shenzhen (22 March 2026) was RMB394 net revenue per Gen-7 vehicle on 25 orders — about US$2.20 per order. You're roughly 3x high.2. Utilisation. 25 orders/day is Pony's all-time single-day high, not an average, and you then run it 365 days with zero downtime for charging, cleaning, maintenance, weather or geofence interruption.Corrected, the best day Pony has ever recorded yields ~US$55/day. On $43k of hardware that's ~26 months of gross revenue, before any operating cost. The reported actuals agree: FY2025 robotaxi services revenue US$16.6m on a fleet just past 1,000 units; Q1 2026 US$8.6m with the fleet above 1,700 — call it US$20–25k per vehicle per year against your $63,875.3. The caveat is the whole argument. You flag "not including operational costs (people costs)" and then set it aside. Remote safety operators, platform commissions, charging, insurance, cleaning, depot and maintenance are what determine whether a robotaxi contributes anything at all.4. Payback isn't profitability. Q1 2026: 16.2% gross margin on US$34.3m revenue, US$63.9m of opex, US$53.5m net loss. Marginal hardware payback says nothing about R&D, mapping, licensing or overhead.5. Falling BOM cuts both ways. Pony targets sub-RMB230k (~US$34k) total vehicle cost for 2027. Great for new units, bad for the residual value of fleets already deployed on a five-year depreciation schedule.What you get right: the cost trajectory is real, and city-wide UE breakeven in Guangzhou (Nov 2025) and Shenzhen (Feb 2026) is a genuine milestone. But that is contribution-margin breakeven per trip — not "cracked the per-unit cost," and not an 8-month payback. Your post predates all of it; the data has since landed, and it's less favourable on revenue per vehicle than the model assumed.

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