What Does NRG Energy, Inc.’s (NYSE:NRG) Share Price Indicate?

NRG Energy, Inc. (NYSE:NRG), which is in the electric utilities business, and is based in United States, saw significant share price movement during recent months on the NYSE, rising to highs of US$40.62 and falling to the lows of US$24.89. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether NRG Energy’s current trading price of US$24.89 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at NRG Energy’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

View our latest analysis for NRG Energy

What is NRG Energy worth?

Great news for investors – NRG Energy is still trading at a fairly cheap price according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company’s price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 1.58x is currently well-below the industry average of 18.31x, meaning that it is trading at a cheaper price relative to its peers. NRG Energy’s share price also seems relatively stable compared to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. If you believe the share price should eventually reach its industry peers, a low beta could suggest it is unlikely to rapidly do so anytime soon, and once it’s there, it may be hard to fall back down into an attractive buying range.

Can we expect growth from NRG Energy?

NYSE:NRG Past and Future Earnings, March 17th 2020
NYSE:NRG Past and Future Earnings, March 17th 2020

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Though in the case of NRG Energy, it is expected to deliver a highly negative earnings growth in the next few years, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? Although NRG is currently trading below the industry PE ratio, the adverse prospect of negative growth brings about some degree of risk. I recommend you think about whether you want to increase your portfolio exposure to NRG, or whether diversifying into another stock may be a better move for your total risk and return.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on NRG for a while, but hesitant on making the leap, I recommend you research further into the stock. Given its current price multiple, now is a great time to make a decision. But keep in mind the risks that come with negative growth prospects in the future.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on NRG Energy. You can find everything you need to know about NRG Energy in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in NRG Energy, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

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