Stock Analysis

Tread With Caution Around Ashiana Housing Limited's (NSE:ASHIANA) 0.5% Dividend Yield

NSEI:ASHIANA
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Dividend paying stocks like Ashiana Housing Limited (NSE:ASHIANA) tend to be popular with investors, and for good reason - some research suggests a significant amount of all stock market returns come from reinvested dividends. Unfortunately, it's common for investors to be enticed in by the seemingly attractive yield, and lose money when the company has to cut its dividend payments.

With a 0.5% yield and a nine-year payment history, investors probably think Ashiana Housing looks like a reliable dividend stock. A low yield is generally a turn-off, but if the prospects for earnings growth were strong, investors might be pleasantly surprised by the long-term results. That said, the recent jump in the share price will make Ashiana Housing's dividend yield look smaller, even though the company prospects could be improving. Some simple research can reduce the risk of buying Ashiana Housing for its dividend - read on to learn more.

Explore this interactive chart for our latest analysis on Ashiana Housing!

historic-dividend
NSEI:ASHIANA Historic Dividend August 2nd 2020

Payout ratios

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. So we need to form a view on if a company's dividend is sustainable, relative to its net profit after tax. Although Ashiana Housing pays a dividend, it was loss-making during the past year. When a company recently reported a loss, we should investigate if its cash flows covered the dividend.

Ashiana Housing paid out 14% of its free cash flow as dividends last year, which is conservative and suggests the dividend is sustainable.

While the above analysis focuses on dividends relative to a company's earnings, we do note Ashiana Housing's strong net cash position, which will let it pay larger dividends for a time, should it choose.

Remember, you can always get a snapshot of Ashiana Housing's latest financial position, by checking our visualisation of its financial health.

Dividend Volatility

Before buying a stock for its income, we want to see if the dividends have been stable in the past, and if the company has a track record of maintaining its dividend. Looking at the last decade of data, we can see that Ashiana Housing paid its first dividend at least nine years ago. It's good to see that Ashiana Housing has been paying a dividend for a number of years. However, the dividend has been cut at least once in the past, and we're concerned that what has been cut once, could be cut again. During the past nine-year period, the first annual payment was ₹0.3 in 2011, compared to ₹0.3 last year. The dividend has shrunk at around 1.7% a year during that period. Ashiana Housing's dividend has been cut sharply at least once, so it hasn't fallen by 1.7% every year, but this is a decent approximation of the long term change.

A shrinking dividend over a nine-year period is not ideal, and we'd be concerned about investing in a dividend stock that lacks a solid record of growing dividends per share.

Dividend Growth Potential

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Over the past five years, it looks as though Ashiana Housing's EPS have declined at around 37% a year. A sharp decline in earnings per share is not great from from a dividend perspective, as even conservative payout ratios can come under pressure if earnings fall far enough.

Conclusion

When we look at a dividend stock, we need to form a judgement on whether the dividend will grow, if the company is able to maintain it in a wide range of economic circumstances, and if the dividend payout is sustainable. We're not keen on the fact that Ashiana Housing paid dividends despite reporting a loss over the past year, although fortunately its dividend was covered by cash flow. Second, earnings per share have been in decline, and its dividend has been cut at least once in the past. With this information in mind, we think Ashiana Housing may not be an ideal dividend stock.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Just as an example, we've come accross 3 warning signs for Ashiana Housing you should be aware of, and 1 of them is concerning.

We have also put together a list of global stocks with a market capitalisation above $1bn and yielding more 3%.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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