These 4 Measures Indicate That Harvey Norman Holdings (ASX:HVN) Is Using Debt Safely
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Harvey Norman Holdings Limited (ASX:HVN) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Harvey Norman Holdings
What Is Harvey Norman Holdings's Net Debt?
As you can see below, Harvey Norman Holdings had AU$297.8m of debt at June 2020, down from AU$838.0m a year prior. But it also has AU$343.4m in cash to offset that, meaning it has AU$45.6m net cash.
How Strong Is Harvey Norman Holdings's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Harvey Norman Holdings had liabilities of AU$785.4m due within 12 months and liabilities of AU$1.57b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of AU$343.4m as well as receivables valued at AU$511.6m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by AU$1.5b.
Harvey Norman Holdings has a market capitalization of AU$5.51b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Harvey Norman Holdings boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
In addition to that, we're happy to report that Harvey Norman Holdings has boosted its EBIT by 53%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Harvey Norman Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Harvey Norman Holdings may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Harvey Norman Holdings generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 98% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.
Summing up
Although Harvey Norman Holdings's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of AU$45.6m. And it impressed us with free cash flow of AU$963m, being 98% of its EBIT. So is Harvey Norman Holdings's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Harvey Norman Holdings is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is significant...
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About ASX:HVN
Harvey Norman Holdings
Engages in the integrated retail, franchise, property, and digital system businesses.
Excellent balance sheet, good value and pays a dividend.
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