Should Delta Drone SA’s (EPA:ALDR) Recent Earnings Decline Worry You?

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When Delta Drone SA (EPA:ALDR) announced its most recent earnings (31 December 2018), I compared it against two factor: its historical earnings track record, and the performance of its industry peers on average. Being able to interpret how well Delta Drone has done so far requires weighing its performance against a benchmark, rather than looking at a standalone number at a point in time. In this article, I’ve summarized the key takeaways on how I see ALDR has performed.

View our latest analysis for Delta Drone

Was ALDR’s recent earnings decline indicative of a tough track record?

ALDR is loss-making, with the most recent trailing twelve-month earnings of -€10.3m (from 31 December 2018), which compared to last year has become more negative. Furthermore, the company’s loss seem to be growing over time, with the five-year earnings average of -€8.1m. Each year, for the past five years ALDR has seen an annual increase in operating expense growth, outpacing revenue growth of 39%, on average. This adverse movement is a driver of the company’s inability to reach breakeven.

Looking at growth from a sector-level, the FR aerospace & defense industry has been

ENXTPA:ALDR Income Statement, June 12th 2019
ENXTPA:ALDR Income Statement, June 12th 2019

Given that Delta Drone is loss-making, with operating expenses (opex) growing year-on-year at 25%, it may need to raise more cash over the next year. It currently has €2.5m in cash and short-term investments, however, opex (SG&A and one-year R&D) reached €9.3m in the latest twelve months. Even though this is analysis is fairly basic, and Delta Drone still can cut its overhead in the near future, or open a new line of credit instead of issuing new equity shares, the analysis still gives us an idea of the company’s timeline and when things will have to start changing, since its current operation is unsustainable.

What does this mean?

Though Delta Drone’s past data is helpful, it is only one aspect of my investment thesis. With companies that are currently loss-making, it is always hard to forecast what will happen in the future and when. The most valuable step is to assess company-specific issues Delta Drone may be facing and whether management guidance has regularly been met in the past. I recommend you continue to research Delta Drone to get a better picture of the stock by looking at:

  1. Financial Health: Are ALDR’s operations financially sustainable? Balance sheets can be hard to analyze, which is why we’ve done it for you. Check out our financial health checks here.
  2. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the trailing twelve months from 31 December 2018. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.