Stock Analysis

Shareholders of EZTEC Empreendimentos e Participações (BVMF:EZTC3) Must Be Delighted With Their 392% Total Return

BOVESPA:EZTC3
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When you buy shares in a company, it's worth keeping in mind the possibility that it could fail, and you could lose your money. But on a lighter note, a good company can see its share price rise well over 100%. For example, the EZTEC Empreendimentos e Participações S.A. (BVMF:EZTC3) share price has soared 276% in the last half decade. Most would be very happy with that. It's also good to see the share price up 58% over the last quarter. But this move may well have been assisted by the reasonably buoyant market (up 34% in 90 days).

See our latest analysis for EZTEC Empreendimentos e Participações

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

During five years of share price growth, EZTEC Empreendimentos e Participações actually saw its EPS drop 8.0% per year.

This means it's unlikely the market is judging the company based on earnings growth. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

The revenue reduction of 5.4% per year is not a positive. So it seems one might have to take closer look at earnings and revenue trends to see how they might influence the share price.

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
BOVESPA:EZTC3 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 12th 2020

We know that EZTEC Empreendimentos e Participações has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? If you are thinking of buying or selling EZTEC Empreendimentos e Participações stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

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What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We've already covered EZTEC Empreendimentos e Participações' share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR attempts to capture the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested) as well as any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings offered to shareholders. Its history of dividend payouts mean that EZTEC Empreendimentos e Participações' TSR of 392% over the last 5 years is better than the share price return.

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that EZTEC Empreendimentos e Participações shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 12% over one year. However, that falls short of the 38% TSR per annum it has made for shareholders, each year, over five years. The pessimistic view would be that be that the stock has its best days behind it, but on the other hand the price might simply be moderating while the business itself continues to execute. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that EZTEC Empreendimentos e Participações is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

We will like EZTEC Empreendimentos e Participações better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on BR exchanges.

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Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if EZTEC Empreendimentos e Participações might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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