Stock Analysis

Sentiment Still Eluding Kuantum Papers Limited (NSE:KUANTUM)

NSEI:KUANTUM
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When close to half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 13x, you may consider Kuantum Papers Limited (NSE:KUANTUM) as an attractive investment with its 7.3x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

For example, consider that Kuantum Papers' financial performance has been poor lately as it's earnings have been in decline. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Kuantum Papers

How Does Kuantum Papers' P/E Ratio Compare To Its Industry Peers?

We'd like to see if P/E's within Kuantum Papers' industry might provide some colour around the company's low P/E ratio. You'll notice in the figure below that P/E ratios in the Forestry industry are also lower than the market. So this certainly goes a fair way towards explaining the company's ratio right now. In the context of the Forestry industry's current setting, most of its constituents' P/E's would be expected to be toned down. We'd highlight though, the spotlight should be on the anticipated direction of the company's earnings.

NSEI:KUANTUM Price Based on Past Earnings July 11th 2020
NSEI:KUANTUM Price Based on Past Earnings July 11th 2020
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Kuantum Papers, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Growth For Kuantum Papers?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Kuantum Papers' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 7.9% decrease to the company's bottom line. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 21% overall rise in EPS. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to shrink 6.8% in the next 12 months, the company's positive momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a bright spot for the moment.

With this information, we find it very odd that Kuantum Papers is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can maintain its recent positive growth rate in the face of a shrinking broader market.

What We Can Learn From Kuantum Papers' P/E?

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Kuantum Papers currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year earnings growth is beating forecasts for a struggling market. We think potential risks might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio and share price. One major risk is whether its earnings trajectory can keep outperforming under these tough market conditions. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Kuantum Papers (1 is concerning!) that we have uncovered.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Kuantum Papers. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that sit on P/E's below 20x and have grown earnings strongly.

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Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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