Stock Analysis

Not Many Are Piling Into Hindustan Oil Exploration Company Limited (NSE:HINDOILEXP) Just Yet

NSEI:HINDOILEXP
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Hindustan Oil Exploration Company Limited's (NSE:HINDOILEXP) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.8x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 16x and even P/E's above 38x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

For instance, Hindustan Oil Exploration's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Hindustan Oil Exploration

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NSEI:HINDOILEXP Price Based on Past Earnings August 22nd 2020
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Hindustan Oil Exploration's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Hindustan Oil Exploration's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 13% decrease to the company's bottom line. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 278% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 9.8% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Hindustan Oil Exploration's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Hindustan Oil Exploration's P/E?

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

Our examination of Hindustan Oil Exploration revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current market expectations. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching this positive performance. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Hindustan Oil Exploration you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have grown earnings strongly and trade on P/E's below 20x.

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Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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