Stock Analysis

Investors Who Bought MBL Infrastructures (NSE:MBLINFRA) Shares Five Years Ago Are Now Down 98%

NSEI:MBLINFRA
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It is a pleasure to report that the MBL Infrastructures Limited (NSE:MBLINFRA) is up 62% in the last quarter. But spare a thought for the long term holders, who have held the stock as it bled value over the last five years. Five years have seen the share price descend precipitously, down a full 98%. So we don't gain too much confidence from the recent recovery. The fundamental business performance will ultimately determine if the turnaround can be sustained.

We really feel for shareholders in this scenario. It's a good reminder of the importance of diversification, and it's worth keeping in mind there's more to life than money, anyway.

Check out our latest analysis for MBL Infrastructures

Because MBL Infrastructures made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually expect strong revenue growth. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.

In the last five years MBL Infrastructures saw its revenue shrink by 39% per year. That puts it in an unattractive cohort, to put it mildly. So it's not that strange that the share price dropped 54% per year in that period. We don't think this is a particularly promising picture. Ironically, that behavior could create an opportunity for the contrarian investor - but only if there are good reasons to predict a brighter future.

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

NSEI:MBLINFRA Income Statement June 16th 2020
NSEI:MBLINFRA Income Statement June 16th 2020

Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

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A Different Perspective

We regret to report that MBL Infrastructures shareholders are down 29% for the year. Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 13%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. However, the loss over the last year isn't as bad as the 54% per annum loss investors have suffered over the last half decade. We'd need to see some sustained improvements in the key metrics before we could muster much enthusiasm. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand MBL Infrastructures better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for MBL Infrastructures you should be aware of, and 3 of them shouldn't be ignored.

We will like MBL Infrastructures better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on IN exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.