Stock Analysis

Interested In Gibson Energy's (TSE:GEI) Upcoming CA$0.34 Dividend? You Have Four Days Left

TSX:GEI
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Some investors rely on dividends for growing their wealth, and if you're one of those dividend sleuths, you might be intrigued to know that Gibson Energy Inc. (TSE:GEI) is about to go ex-dividend in just four days. Investors can purchase shares before the 29th of June in order to be eligible for this dividend, which will be paid on the 17th of July.

Gibson Energy's next dividend payment will be CA$0.34 per share. Last year, in total, the company distributed CA$1.36 to shareholders. Looking at the last 12 months of distributions, Gibson Energy has a trailing yield of approximately 6.1% on its current stock price of CA$22.15. Dividends are an important source of income to many shareholders, but the health of the business is crucial to maintaining those dividends. That's why we should always check whether the dividend payments appear sustainable, and if the company is growing.

See our latest analysis for Gibson Energy

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned in profit, then the dividend could be unsustainable. Gibson Energy distributed an unsustainably high 115% of its profit as dividends to shareholders last year. Without extenuating circumstances, we'd consider the dividend at risk of a cut. That said, even highly profitable companies sometimes might not generate enough cash to pay the dividend, which is why we should always check if the dividend is covered by cash flow. Dividends consumed 70% of the company's free cash flow last year, which is within a normal range for most dividend-paying organisations.

It's good to see that while Gibson Energy's dividends were not covered by profits, at least they are affordable from a cash perspective. Still, if the company repeatedly paid a dividend greater than its profits, we'd be concerned. Very few companies are able to sustainably pay dividends larger than their reported earnings.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

TSX:GEI Historic Dividend June 24th 2020
TSX:GEI Historic Dividend June 24th 2020

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Companies with consistently growing earnings per share generally make the best dividend stocks, as they usually find it easier to grow dividends per share. Investors love dividends, so if earnings fall and the dividend is reduced, expect a stock to be sold off heavily at the same time. With that in mind, we're encouraged by the steady growth at Gibson Energy, with earnings per share up 9.1% on average over the last five years.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. Gibson Energy has delivered an average of 3.9% per year annual increase in its dividend, based on the past nine years of dividend payments. It's encouraging to see the company lifting dividends while earnings are growing, suggesting at least some corporate interest in rewarding shareholders.

To Sum It Up

Should investors buy Gibson Energy for the upcoming dividend? While earnings per share have been growing slowly, Gibson Energy is paying out an uncomfortably high percentage of its earnings. However it did pay out a lower percentage of its cashflow. With the way things are shaping up from a dividend perspective, we'd be inclined to steer clear of Gibson Energy.

Although, if you're still interested in Gibson Energy and want to know more, you'll find it very useful to know what risks this stock faces. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Gibson Energy (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about.

If you're in the market for dividend stocks, we recommend checking our list of top dividend stocks with a greater than 2% yield and an upcoming dividend.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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