Here's Why Optical Cable (NASDAQ:OCC) Can Afford Some Debt

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about. So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Optical Cable Corporation (NASDAQ:OCC) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Advertisement

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Optical Cable

How Much Debt Does Optical Cable Carry?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Optical Cable had US$11.9m in debt in July 2019; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$1.10m, its net debt is less, at about US$10.8m.

NasdaqGM:OCC Historical Debt, November 12th 2019
NasdaqGM:OCC Historical Debt, November 12th 2019

How Healthy Is Optical Cable's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Optical Cable had liabilities of US$14.1m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$5.53m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$1.10m in cash and US$10.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$8.56m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Optical Cable has a market capitalization of US$23.5m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Optical Cable's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

In the last year Optical Cable had negative earnings before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 13%, to US$73m. We would much prefer see growth.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Optical Cable's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Its EBIT loss was a whopping US$4.8m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of US$5.4m into a profit. In the meantime, we consider the stock very risky. When we look at a riskier company, we like to check how their profits (or losses) are trending over time. Today, we're providing readers this interactive graph showing how Optical Cable's profit, revenue, and operating cashflow have changed over the last few years.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.

M
mitchell_lawler
mitchell_lawler

Everyone's watching the oil price. The harder problem is the gas that can't take a detour.

Everyone's watching the oil price. The harder problem is the gas that can't take a detour. cover
98
R
Rob_Curious

What I've learnt in the last six months is that fuel supply disruption is a real portfolio risk, and one of the better hedges is a small allocation to shipping. Though it's insane how much these have run up this year.

f
frank_ub3n0

Spot on. Shipping and logistics is much larger constraint for gas than oil. Sorry to break it to you. No quick fixes for that.

Mitchell Lawler

What happens to energy stocks as the fix gets built?

What happens to energy stocks as the fix gets built? cover
Conflict around the Strait of Hormuz has led investors to oil and tankers. The trouble is, the antidote to the chokepoints is already being built, and it may not reward the same energy stocks.
21

About NasdaqGM:OCC

Optical Cable

Manufactures and sells fiber optic and copper data communications cabling and connectivity solutions primarily for the enterprise market in the United States and internationally.

Acceptable track record with mediocre balance sheet.

Advertisement

Weekly Picks

CE
Ceazar
SPAI logo
Ceazar on Sparc AI ·

When GPS fails: this small cap is fixing a $54B drone problem

Fair Value:CA$5.2532.6% undervalued
205 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
31 users have liked this narrative
CO
composite32
Emerging Author
AROC logo
composite32 on Archrock ·

AI Needs Power. Power Needs Gas. Gas Needs Compression: The Archrock Investment Thesis

Fair Value:US$44.8829.7% undervalued
31 users have followed this narrative
2 users have commented on this narrative
3 users have liked this narrative
JO
John_Eric
Emerging Author
AEIS logo
John_Eric on Advanced Energy Industries ·

AEIS Is Firing on Every Cylinder. My Problem Is the Safety Factor.

Fair Value:US$567.8653.8% undervalued
18 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
7 users have liked this narrative
IS
LRCX logo
isidrohg on Lam Research ·

The Memory Shortage Is Lam's Order Book — Whether It Persists Or Resolves

Fair Value:US$423.8532.0% undervalued
23 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
7 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

AN
andrei9868
FSLR logo
andrei9868 on First Solar ·

The Market Is Pricing Policy Noise — Not 45 GW of Contracted U.S. Modules

Fair Value:US$26325.5% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
TR
TradeGenious
CM
TradeGenious on Caledonia Mining ·

Caledonia Mining (CMCL): A $49 Intrinsic Value Trapped Behind a Sovereign Risk Wall

Fair Value:US$49.4351.2% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
AN
andrei9868
CVS logo
andrei9868 on CVS Health ·

Aetna’s Margin Recovery Is Real — and the Market Is Still Pricing the Old Insurance Scare

Fair Value:US$12428.4% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$302.8326.6% undervalued
1476 users have followed this narrative
8 users have commented on this narrative
35 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
GOOGL logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on Alphabet ·

GOOGL: AI Platform Expansion And Cloud Demand Will Support Durable Performance Amid Competitive Pressures

Fair Value:US$427.8918.3% undervalued
1642 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
19 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
AMZN logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on Amazon.com ·

AMZN: Acceleration In Cloud And AI Will Drive Margin Expansion Ahead

Fair Value:US$32722.4% undervalued
1654 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
16 users have liked this narrative

Trending Discussion

AN
TPG0 logo
anthony_x0j2w on Platform Group SE KGaA ·

Hello,(I am a shareholder).I spent the summer investigating in whatever I was able to find in the press, the trustee, or legal, and comparing it to FS Benner's declaration/transcripts:press: MM has a tendancy to use facts, modify them and turn them the way they want: 100% of their claims against TPG0 is traçable factually, 80% is flawed and interpreted. Example are numerous: 11M loans banks to be paid seems right, but it has not been an issue at all, it has been paid in full. (and it happens all the time in every business...); the previous HR becoming a financial director in the article herself being attacked by TPG on the legal side; the wrong address of curator (if truly announced by TPG).Trustee: according to my research (which can be incomplete) no communication to the Nordic trustee (hereby, bond holders) has been done on a, indebtedness (late payment) > 1M€, which is their obligation by contract (clause 14.d - https://corporate.the-platform-group.com/bond/) => this is a sign of a huge lie and fraud, or the sign that there is no indebtedness > 1M€ over the whole TPG group.Legal: still awaiting for an answer, probable that I won't get it.VALUATIONYou can spent hours working the fundamentals, if they're flawed...the thesis falls.Anyway, I always substracts the badwill (that I consider non-current - you have it in the CFS) & non-controlling interests from my valuation:Earnings ~22MFCF ~40M€The financial statements are not the issue here, we are more on an cheap option on the sincerity of the accounts that a real valuation. Unfortunately, these are unverifiable elements, hence the low price./!\ Careful:the accounts are consolidated and skip the subsidiaries issues...Careful with the business model: TPG0 is a financial holding that acquire subsidiaries, hold the debt, and has no operations. 100% of the Cash Flow comes from subs' dividends => it is a risk here, more a plumber risk than an operational one, but nevertheless...The auditor is too small, and managed by the same firm than before, with 140K€/year commission => it's too low, nobody external really reviewed what Benner and his team are doing internallycapital increase do not go through the CFS, but through change in equity AND equity in the BSIf the equity stays low too long, the WACC increase will be unbearable (I have a 30% global, with a 118% on equity): diluting is expensive => TPG machine can stay broken for a while.Most of the people I talk with never saw this, while this is ESSENTIAL to Benner's business model.SEVERAL EVENTS THAT COULD CHANGE:AEP is being audited by KPMG: if Benner plays the "we will propose KPMG to our shareholders BEOY", this can increase the trust in him significantly/KPMG (or other) to validate the 2026 IFRS accounts & having a word on HGB's: though still consolidated, at least we'll know...AEP being eventually acquired: while it carries a high integration risk due to its size, they talked about it so many times, that trust goes with it.Without this combination of event, the equity is doomed to stay at this level, IMO.Do not forget to also follow the bond: with TPG's announced safe harbor plan for buyback (25% of daily exchange), it is also interesting to check this illiquid and retail market: https://live.deutsche-boerse.com/bond/no0013256834-the-platform-group-ag-8-875-24-28?mic=XFRA

1
|
0