Stock Analysis

Here's Why I Think Fiducian Group (ASX:FID) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

ASX:FID
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It's only natural that many investors, especially those who are new to the game, prefer to buy shares in 'sexy' stocks with a good story, even if those businesses lose money. Unfortunately, high risk investments often have little probability of ever paying off, and many investors pay a price to learn their lesson.

In the age of tech-stock blue-sky investing, my choice may seem old fashioned; I still prefer profitable companies like Fiducian Group (ASX:FID). Now, I'm not saying that the stock is necessarily undervalued today; but I can't shake an appreciation for the profitability of the business itself. While a well funded company may sustain losses for years, unless its owners have an endless appetite for subsidizing the customer, it will need to generate a profit eventually, or else breathe its last breath.

View our latest analysis for Fiducian Group

How Quickly Is Fiducian Group Increasing Earnings Per Share?

If a company can keep growing earnings per share (EPS) long enough, its share price will eventually follow. That makes EPS growth an attractive quality for any company. As a tree reaches steadily for the sky, Fiducian Group's EPS has grown 17% each year, compound, over three years. If the company can sustain that sort of growth, we'd expect shareholders to come away winners.

Careful consideration of revenue growth and earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margins can help inform a view on the sustainability of the recent profit growth. While we note Fiducian Group's EBIT margins were flat over the last year, revenue grew by a solid 9.3% to AU$53m. That's a real positive.

In the chart below, you can see how the company has grown earnings, and revenue, over time. For finer detail, click on the image.

ASX:FID Earnings and Revenue History July 9th 2020
ASX:FID Earnings and Revenue History July 9th 2020

Since Fiducian Group is no giant, with a market capitalization of AU$157m, so you should definitely check its cash and debt before getting too excited about its prospects.

Are Fiducian Group Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Like the kids in the streets standing up for their beliefs, insider share purchases give me reason to believe in a brighter future. This view is based on the possibility that stock purchases signal bullishness on behalf of the buyer. However, insiders are sometimes wrong, and we don't know the exact thinking behind their acquisitions.

While Fiducian Group insiders did net -AU$544.4k selling stock over the last year, they invested AU$866k, a much higher figure. You could argue that level of buying implies genuine confidence in the business. Zooming in, we can see that the biggest insider purchase was by Founder Inderjit Singh for AU$159k worth of shares, at about AU$5.43 per share.

And the insider buying isn't the only sign of alignment between shareholders and the board, since Fiducian Group insiders own more than a third of the company. Actually, with 43% of the company to their names, insiders are profoundly invested in the business. I'm always comforted by solid insider ownership like this, as it implies that those running the business are genuinely motivated to create shareholder value. In terms of absolute value, insiders have AU$68m invested in the business, using the current share price. That should be more than enough to keep them focussed on creating shareholder value!

Should You Add Fiducian Group To Your Watchlist?

Given my belief that share price follows earnings per share you can easily imagine how I feel about Fiducian Group's strong EPS growth. Not only that, but we can see that insiders both own a lot of, and are buying more, shares in the company. So I do think this is one stock worth watching. It's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Fiducian Group , and understanding it should be part of your investment process.

As a growth investor I do like to see insider buying. But Fiducian Group isn't the only one. You can see a a free list of them here.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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