Stock Analysis

Here's Why Apex Frozen Foods (NSE:APEX) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

NSEI:APEX
Source: Shutterstock

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Apex Frozen Foods Limited (NSE:APEX) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Apex Frozen Foods

How Much Debt Does Apex Frozen Foods Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2020, Apex Frozen Foods had ₹1.48b of debt, up from ₹1.08b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has ₹72.3m in cash leading to net debt of about ₹1.41b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:APEX Debt to Equity History August 26th 2020

How Healthy Is Apex Frozen Foods's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Apex Frozen Foods had liabilities of ₹2.06b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹243.5m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹72.3m as well as receivables valued at ₹953.1m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹1.3b.

Since publicly traded Apex Frozen Foods shares are worth a total of ₹8.83b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Apex Frozen Foods's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 1.6 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 6.8 times last year. While these numbers do not alarm us, it's worth noting that the cost of the company's debt is having a real impact. But the other side of the story is that Apex Frozen Foods saw its EBIT decline by 7.5% over the last year. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Apex Frozen Foods will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Apex Frozen Foods saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Apex Frozen Foods's struggle to convert EBIT to free cash flow had us second guessing its balance sheet strength, but the other data-points we considered were relatively redeeming. But on the bright side, its ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT isn't too shabby at all. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Apex Frozen Foods is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Apex Frozen Foods that you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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