Stock Analysis

Has Balta Group (EBR:BALTA) Got What It Takes To Become A Multi-Bagger?

ENXTBR:BELYS
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If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. Although, when we looked at Balta Group (EBR:BALTA), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.

What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Balta Group, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.061 = €36m ÷ (€788m - €199m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2019).

Thus, Balta Group has an ROCE of 6.1%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Consumer Durables industry average of 8.5%.

See our latest analysis for Balta Group

roce
ENXTBR:BALTA Return on Capital Employed August 3rd 2020

In the above chart we have a measured Balta Group's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Balta Group here for free.

So How Is Balta Group's ROCE Trending?

On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Balta Group doesn't inspire confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 13%, but since then they've fallen to 6.1%. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.

On a related note, Balta Group has decreased its current liabilities to 25% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.

Our Take On Balta Group's ROCE

Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by Balta Group's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. And investors may be expecting the fundamentals to get a lot worse because the stock has crashed 91% over the last three years. In any case, the stock doesn't have these traits of a multi-bagger discussed above, so if that's what you're looking for, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.

On a final note, we found 3 warning signs for Balta Group (1 is a bit concerning) you should be aware of.

While Balta Group isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

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