The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that NITCO Limited (NSE:NITCO) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for NITCO
How Much Debt Does NITCO Carry?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that NITCO had ₹7.53b in debt in March 2020; about the same as the year before. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.
How Strong Is NITCO's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that NITCO had liabilities of ₹4.19b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹5.59b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹113.2m in cash and ₹1.74b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹7.9b.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the ₹1.52b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, NITCO would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since NITCO will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
In the last year NITCO had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 43%, to ₹3.5b. That makes us nervous, to say the least.
Caveat Emptor
Not only did NITCO's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Its EBIT loss was a whopping ₹935.5m. If you consider the significant liabilities mentioned above, we are extremely wary of this investment. Of course, it may be able to improve its situation with a bit of luck and good execution. But we think that is unlikely since it is low on liquid assets, and made a loss of ₹949.2m in the last year. So while it's not wise to assume the company will fail, we do think it's risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that NITCO is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is a bit concerning...
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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About NSEI:NITCO
NITCO
Engages in the tiles and marble business in India and internationally.
Low and slightly overvalued.