Do Its Financials Have Any Role To Play In Driving Navneet Education Limited's (NSE:NAVNETEDUL) Stock Up Recently?
Navneet Education's (NSE:NAVNETEDUL) stock is up by a considerable 7.3% over the past month. Given that stock prices are usually aligned with a company's financial performance in the long-term, we decided to study its financial indicators more closely to see if they had a hand to play in the recent price move. In this article, we decided to focus on Navneet Education's ROE.
ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.
See our latest analysis for Navneet Education
How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?
The formula for ROE is:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Navneet Education is:
10% = ₹905m ÷ ₹8.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2020).
The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each ₹1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made ₹0.10 in profit.
Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?
We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.
Navneet Education's Earnings Growth And 10% ROE
When you first look at it, Navneet Education's ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, the fact that the its ROE is quite higher to the industry average of 8.6% doesn't go unnoticed by us. This certainly adds some context to Navneet Education's moderate 5.7% net income growth seen over the past five years. That being said, the company does have a slightly low ROE to begin with, just that it is higher than the industry average. Hence there might be some other aspects that are causing earnings to grow. For example, it is possible that the broader industry is going through a high growth phase, or that the company has a low payout ratio.
Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Navneet Education's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 10% in the same period, which is not something we like to see.
The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Navneet Education is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.
Is Navneet Education Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?
With a three-year median payout ratio of 28% (implying that the company retains 72% of its profits), it seems that Navneet Education is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees respectable amount growth in its earnings and pays a dividend that's well covered.
Additionally, Navneet Education has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 31%. Still, forecasts suggest that Navneet Education's future ROE will rise to 20% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.
Conclusion
In total, it does look like Navneet Education has some positive aspects to its business. In particular, it's great to see that the company is investing heavily into its business and along with a moderate rate of return, that has resulted in a respectable growth in its earnings. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.
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About NSEI:NAVNETEDUL
Navneet Education
Engages in publishing state board publication books and stationery products in India, North and Central America, Africa, Europe, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record and pays a dividend.