Nico Steel Holdings Limited (SGX:5GF) shareholders are doubtless heartened to see the share price bounce 33% in just one week. But spare a thought for the long term holders, who have held the stock as it bled value over the last five years. Indeed, the share price is down a whopping 97% in that time. So we don’t gain too much confidence from the recent recovery. The million dollar question is whether the company can justify a long term recovery.
While a drop like that is definitely a body blow, money isn’t as important as health and happiness.
Nico Steel Holdings isn’t a profitable company, so it is unlikely we’ll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually expect strong revenue growth. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.
In the last five years Nico Steel Holdings saw its revenue shrink by 16% per year. That’s definitely a weaker result than most pre-profit companies report. So it’s not that strange that the share price dropped 49% per year in that period. This kind of price performance makes us very wary, especially when combined with falling revenue. Of course, the poor performance could mean the market has been too severe selling down. That can happen.
You can see how revenue has changed over time in the image below.
Take a more thorough look at Nico Steel Holdings’s financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.
A Different Perspective
Nico Steel Holdings shareholders are down 20% for the year, but the market itself is up 7.5%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, longer term shareholders are suffering worse, given the loss of 49% doled out over the last five years. We’d need to see some sustained improvements in the key metrics before we could muster much enthusiasm. Shareholders might want to examine this detailed historical graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on SG exchanges.
If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at email@example.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.
We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.