Did Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Ma’aden)’s (TADAWUL:1211) Share Price Deserve to Gain 43%?

Stock pickers are generally looking for stocks that will outperform the broader market. And the truth is, you can make significant gains if you buy good quality businesses at the right price. For example, long term Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Ma’aden) (TADAWUL:1211) shareholders have enjoyed a 43% share price rise over the last half decade, well in excess of the market return of around 11% (not including dividends).

See our latest analysis for Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Ma’aden)

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Ma’aden)’s earnings per share are down 29% per year, despite strong share price performance over five years.

This means it’s unlikely the market is judging the company based on earnings growth. Since the change in EPS doesn’t seem to correlate with the change in share price, it’s worth taking a look at other metrics.

On the other hand, Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Ma’aden)’s revenue is growing nicely, at a compound rate of 12% over the last five years. It’s quite possible that management are prioritizing revenue growth over EPS growth at the moment.

The company’s revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SASE:1211 Earnings and Revenue Growth September 20th 2020

This free interactive report on Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Ma’aden)’s balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

A Different Perspective

Investors in Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Ma’aden) had a tough year, with a total loss of 8.1%, against a market gain of about 5.1%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn’t be so upset, since they would have made 7.5%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we’ve identified 2 warning signs for Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Ma’aden) (1 is potentially serious) that you should be aware of.

We will like Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Ma’aden) better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on SA exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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