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BGR Energy Systems (NSE:BGRENERGY) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies BGR Energy Systems Limited (NSE:BGRENERGY) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for BGR Energy Systems
How Much Debt Does BGR Energy Systems Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that BGR Energy Systems had debt of ₹21.3b at the end of March 2020, a reduction from ₹22.6b over a year. However, it does have ₹3.81b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹17.5b.
How Healthy Is BGR Energy Systems's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that BGR Energy Systems had liabilities of ₹46.9b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹3.87b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had ₹3.81b in cash and ₹35.9b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹11.0b.
This deficit casts a shadow over the ₹2.72b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, BGR Energy Systems would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Weak interest cover of 0.28 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 17.0 hit our confidence in BGR Energy Systems like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. Even worse, BGR Energy Systems saw its EBIT tank 74% over the last 12 months. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is BGR Energy Systems's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, BGR Energy Systems recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 88% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
Our View
On the face of it, BGR Energy Systems's EBIT growth rate left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like BGR Energy Systems has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for BGR Energy Systems (2 make us uncomfortable) you should be aware of.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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About NSEI:BGRENERGY
BGR Energy Systems
Manufactures and sells capital equipment for power plants, petrochemical and process industries, and refineries in India and internationally.
Slight and slightly overvalued.