Auditors Are Concerned About Seanergy Maritime Holdings (NASDAQ:SHIP)

When Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp. (NASDAQ:SHIP) reported its results to December 2019 its auditors, Ernst & Young LLP could not be sure that it would be able to continue as a going concern in the next year. It is therefore fair to assume that, based on those financials, the company should strengthen its balance sheet in the short term, perhaps by issuing shares.

Since the company probably needs cash fairly quickly, it may be in a position where it has to accept whatever terms it can get. So it is suddenly extremely important to consider whether the company is taking too much risk on its balance sheet. The big consideration is whether it can repay its debt, since in the worst case scenario, creditors could force the company to bankruptcy.

View our latest analysis for Seanergy Maritime Holdings

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What Is Seanergy Maritime Holdings's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Seanergy Maritime Holdings had US$197.7m of debt at December 2019, down from US$225.7m a year prior. On the flip side, it has US$13.7m in cash leading to net debt of about US$184.0m.

NasdaqCM:SHIP Historical Debt, March 11th 2020
NasdaqCM:SHIP Historical Debt, March 11th 2020

How Strong Is Seanergy Maritime Holdings's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Seanergy Maritime Holdings had liabilities of US$237.3m due within a year, and liabilities of US$15.4m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$13.7m as well as receivables valued at US$1.76m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$237.3m.

This deficit casts a shadow over the US$6.79m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Seanergy Maritime Holdings would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Weak interest cover of 0.62 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 8.0 hit our confidence in Seanergy Maritime Holdings like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. Fortunately, Seanergy Maritime Holdings grew its EBIT by 4.3% in the last year, slowly shrinking its debt relative to earnings. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Seanergy Maritime Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Seanergy Maritime Holdings burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Seanergy Maritime Holdings's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least its EBIT growth rate is not so bad. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Seanergy Maritime Holdings has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. While some investors may specialize in these sort of situations, it's simply too risky and complicated for us to want to invest in a company after an auditor has expressed doubts about its ability to continue as a going concern. Our preference is to invest in companies that always make sure the auditor has confidence that the company will continue as a going concern. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Seanergy Maritime Holdings is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 4 of those can't be ignored...

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.

M
mitchell_lawler
mitchell_lawler

Oil routes are being dismantled one by one. The durable winner could be the North American energy left standing.

126
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Rob_Curious

The durable premium you describe does not really exist for crude in a liquid market. This scenario, in almost a similar form, is happening thrice this year.

marcus_reid
marcus_reid

Persistent volatility raises the hurdle rate on every long-lived energy investment, which suppresses the supply response that would eventually fix the problem. The instability is self-perpetuating in a way the price level is not.

Andrew Legget

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About NasdaqCM:SHIP

Seanergy Maritime Holdings

A shipping company, engages in the seaborne transportation of dry bulk commodities worldwide.

Solid track record with adequate balance sheet.

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Hello,(I am a shareholder).I spent the summer investigating in whatever I was able to find in the press, the trustee, or legal, and comparing it to FS Benner's declaration/transcripts:press: MM has a tendancy to use facts, modify them and turn them the way they want: 100% of their claims against TPG0 is traçable factually, 80% is flawed and interpreted. Example are numerous: 11M loans banks to be paid seems right, but it has not been an issue at all, it has been paid in full. (and it happens all the time in every business...); the previous HR becoming a financial director in the article herself being attacked by TPG on the legal side; the wrong address of curator (if truly announced by TPG).Trustee: according to my research (which can be incomplete) no communication to the Nordic trustee (hereby, bond holders) has been done on a, indebtedness (late payment) > 1M€, which is their obligation by contract (clause 14.d - https://corporate.the-platform-group.com/bond/) => this is a sign of a huge lie and fraud, or the sign that there is no indebtedness > 1M€ over the whole TPG group.Legal: still awaiting for an answer, probable that I won't get it.VALUATIONYou can spent hours working the fundamentals, if they're flawed...the thesis falls.Anyway, I always substracts the badwill (that I consider non-current - you have it in the CFS) & non-controlling interests from my valuation:Earnings ~22MFCF ~40M€The financial statements are not the issue here, we are more on an cheap option on the sincerity of the accounts that a real valuation. Unfortunately, these are unverifiable elements, hence the low price./!\ Careful:the accounts are consolidated and skip the subsidiaries issues...Careful with the business model: TPG0 is a financial holding that acquire subsidiaries, hold the debt, and has no operations. 100% of the Cash Flow comes from subs' dividends => it is a risk here, more a plumber risk than an operational one, but nevertheless...The auditor is too small, and managed by the same firm than before, with 140K€/year commission => it's too low, nobody external really reviewed what Benner and his team are doing internallycapital increase do not go through the CFS, but through change in equity AND equity in the BSIf the equity stays low too long, the WACC increase will be unbearable (I have a 30% global, with a 118% on equity): diluting is expensive => TPG machine can stay broken for a while.Most of the people I talk with never saw this, while this is ESSENTIAL to Benner's business model.SEVERAL EVENTS THAT COULD CHANGE:AEP is being audited by KPMG: if Benner plays the "we will propose KPMG to our shareholders BEOY", this can increase the trust in him significantly/KPMG (or other) to validate the 2026 IFRS accounts & having a word on HGB's: though still consolidated, at least we'll know...AEP being eventually acquired: while it carries a high integration risk due to its size, they talked about it so many times, that trust goes with it.Without this combination of event, the equity is doomed to stay at this level, IMO.Do not forget to also follow the bond: with TPG's announced safe harbor plan for buyback (25% of daily exchange), it is also interesting to check this illiquid and retail market: https://live.deutsche-boerse.com/bond/no0013256834-the-platform-group-ag-8-875-24-28?mic=XFRA

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