Stock Analysis

Are Pioneer Embroideries's (NSE:PIONEEREMB) Statutory Earnings A Good Reflection Of Its Earnings Potential?

NSEI:PIONEEREMB
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It might be old fashioned, but we really like to invest in companies that make a profit, each and every year. However, sometimes companies receive a one-off boost (or reduction) to their profit, and it's not always clear whether statutory profits are a good guide, going forward. Today we'll focus on whether this year's statutory profits are a good guide to understanding Pioneer Embroideries (NSE:PIONEEREMB).

We like the fact that Pioneer Embroideries made a profit of ₹84.5m on its revenue of ₹2.38b, in the last year. The chart below shows that while revenue is flat over the last three years, the company has moved from unprofitable to profitable.

See our latest analysis for Pioneer Embroideries

earnings-and-revenue-history
NSEI:PIONEEREMB Earnings and Revenue History July 15th 2020

Importantly, statutory profits are not always the best tool for understanding a company's true earnings power, so it's well worth examining profits in a little more detail. So today we'll look at what Pioneer Embroideries' cashflow and unusual items tell us about the quality of its earnings. Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Pioneer Embroideries.

Zooming In On Pioneer Embroideries' Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Over the twelve months to March 2020, Pioneer Embroideries recorded an accrual ratio of -0.12. That indicates that its free cash flow was a fair bit more than its statutory profit. In fact, it had free cash flow of ₹233m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of ₹84.5m. Pioneer Embroideries' free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

Surprisingly, given Pioneer Embroideries' accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by ₹22m in unusual items. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If Pioneer Embroideries doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

Our Take On Pioneer Embroideries's Profit Performance

Pioneer Embroideries's profits got a boost from unusual items, which indicates they might not be sustained and yet its accrual ratio still indicated solid cash conversion, which is promising. Given the contrasting considerations, we don't have a strong view as to whether Pioneer Embroideries's profits are an apt reflection of its underlying potential for profit. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. When we did our research, we found 4 warning signs for Pioneer Embroideries (2 are concerning!) that we believe deserve your full attention.

Our examination of Pioneer Embroideries has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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