Agree Realty Corporation’s (NYSE:ADC) Fundamentals Look Pretty Strong: Could The Market Be Wrong About The Stock?

Agree Realty (NYSE:ADC) has had a rough three months with its share price down 19%. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company’s financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. Specifically, we decided to study Agree Realty’s ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company’s management is utilizing the company’s capital. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

Check out our latest analysis for Agree Realty

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders’ Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Agree Realty is:

4.8% = US$84m ÷ US$1.8b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2020).

The ‘return’ is the yearly profit. Another way to think of that is that for every $1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn $0.05 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we’ve learnt that ROE is a measure of a company’s profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or “retain”, we are then able to evaluate a company’s future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don’t have the same features.

Agree Realty’s Earnings Growth And 4.8% ROE

When you first look at it, Agree Realty’s ROE doesn’t look that attractive. Yet, a closer study shows that the company’s ROE is similar to the industry average of 5.6%. On the other hand, Agree Realty reported a moderate 19% net income growth over the past five years. Considering the moderately low ROE, it is quite possible that there might be some other aspects that are positively influencing the company’s earnings growth. Such as – high earnings retention or an efficient management in place.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Agree Realty’s growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 14% in the same period, which is great to see.

NYSE:ADC Past Earnings Growth May 20th 2020
NYSE:ADC Past Earnings Growth May 20th 2020

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Agree Realty fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Agree Realty Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Agree Realty seems to be paying out most of its income as dividends judging by its three-year median payout ratio of 75%, meaning the company retains only 25% of its income. However, this is typical for REITs as they are often required by law to distribute most of their earnings. In spite of this, the company was able to grow its earnings by a fair bit, as we saw above.

Additionally, Agree Realty has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Existing analyst estimates suggest that the company’s future payout ratio is expected to drop to 1.0% over the next three years.

Summary

On the whole, we do feel that Agree Realty has some positive attributes. That is, quite an impressive growth in earnings. However, the low profit retention means that the company’s earnings growth could have been higher, had it been reinvesting a higher portion of its profits. On studying current analyst estimates, we found that analysts expect the company to continue its recent growth streak. To know more about the company’s future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.