Stock Analysis

3 ASX Stocks Estimated To Be Trading At Up To 35% Below Intrinsic Value

ASX:ALQ
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In recent trading sessions, the Australian market has experienced significant fluctuations, with profit-taking in major stocks like Commonwealth Bank impacting overall performance and a notable rotation into the materials sector. Amidst these shifts, investors are increasingly seeking opportunities in undervalued stocks that may be trading below their intrinsic value. Identifying such stocks requires careful analysis of market conditions and company fundamentals to uncover potential investment opportunities.

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Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Australia

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Ridley (ASX:RIC)A$2.98A$5.9049.5%
PointsBet Holdings (ASX:PBH)A$1.185A$2.1143.8%
Pantoro Gold (ASX:PNR)A$3.15A$5.5242.9%
Integral Diagnostics (ASX:IDX)A$2.51A$4.5745.1%
Infomedia (ASX:IFM)A$1.22A$2.0841.2%
Fenix Resources (ASX:FEX)A$0.285A$0.5143.8%
Domino's Pizza Enterprises (ASX:DMP)A$17.33A$34.1449.2%
Collins Foods (ASX:CKF)A$9.20A$15.9542.3%
City Chic Collective (ASX:CCX)A$0.083A$0.1438.7%
Charter Hall Group (ASX:CHC)A$19.07A$35.4346.2%

Click here to see the full list of 34 stocks from our Undervalued ASX Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Let's take a closer look at a couple of our picks from the screened companies.

ALS (ASX:ALQ)

Overview: ALS Limited provides professional technical services focused on testing, measurement, and inspection across regions including Africa, Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, North Africa, and the United States with a market cap of A$8.76 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue segments consist of Commodities, generating A$1.09 billion, and Life Sciences, contributing A$1.91 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 35%

ALS Limited is trading at A$17.28, significantly below its estimated fair value of A$26.59, suggesting undervaluation based on cash flows. Despite a high debt level, ALS's earnings are forecast to grow 13.1% annually, outpacing the Australian market average of 10.9%. Recent equity offerings raised substantial capital for lab upgrades and M&A opportunities while maintaining a deleveraging focus, potentially bolstering future cash flows and financial stability amidst sector consolidation efforts.

ASX:ALQ Discounted Cash Flow as at Jul 2025
ASX:ALQ Discounted Cash Flow as at Jul 2025

James Hardie Industries (ASX:JHX)

Overview: James Hardie Industries plc manufactures and sells fiber cement, fiber gypsum, and cement bonded building products for interior and exterior construction applications across the United States, Australia, Europe, and New Zealand with a market cap of A$18.65 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue segments consist of $2.86 billion from North America Fiber Cement, $519.90 million from Asia Pacific Fiber Cement, and $494.30 million from Europe Building Products.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 26.4%

James Hardie Industries is trading at A$43.39, significantly below its fair value estimate of A$58.93, indicating undervaluation based on cash flows. Earnings are projected to grow 19.2% annually, surpassing the Australian market's average growth rate of 10.9%. The recent acquisition of AZEK and new credit facilities totaling $3.5 billion aim to enhance operational capacity and strategic positioning, though increased debt levels warrant careful monitoring for potential impacts on future cash flows.

ASX:JHX Discounted Cash Flow as at Jul 2025
ASX:JHX Discounted Cash Flow as at Jul 2025

Megaport (ASX:MP1)

Overview: Megaport Limited offers on-demand interconnection and internet exchange services to enterprises and service providers across various regions including Australia, New Zealand, Asia, North America, and Europe, with a market cap of A$2.20 billion.

Operations: Revenue segments for Megaport are composed of A$33.85 million from Europe, A$55.29 million from Asia-Pacific, and A$117.77 million from North America.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 11.2%

Megaport, trading at A$13.68, is undervalued relative to its fair value estimate of A$15.41 based on cash flows. With earnings expected to grow significantly at 33.9% annually, outpacing the Australian market's 10.9%, Megaport shows potential for robust financial performance despite lower profit margins than last year. Recent strategic partnerships enhance its service offerings and security measures, potentially strengthening its competitive edge in cloud connectivity and data center interconnect services globally.

ASX:MP1 Discounted Cash Flow as at Jul 2025
ASX:MP1 Discounted Cash Flow as at Jul 2025

Summing It All Up

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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