Jumbo InteractiveJIN
JIN logo
Fair Value
AU$15
Share price06 May
AU$7.4550.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
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1Y-28.16%
7D7.35%

Undervalued lottery company with strong fundamentals

This page is dedicated to uncovering and sparking thoughtful discussion around overlooked investment opportunities—primarily on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX), with the occasional foray into compelling international markets.

Published
06 May 25
Views
4k
Not Invested

Jumbo Interactive presents a compelling investment opportunity, with several key metrics indicating that the current share price may be undervalued. Notably, it boasts a strong Joel Greenblatt score of 34 and an attractive dividend yield of 5.4%. The company demonstrates solid profitability, with a return on assets (ROA) of 26.8%, return on equity (ROE) of 37.0%, and a profit margin of 27.2%. Its income coverage is robust, and it continues to grow through strategic acquisitions, expanding its presence both domestically and internationally. These indicators suggest that Jumbo is in sound financial health.

However, the stock has underperformed the market, with a share price decline of 36%. The company also carries a relatively high beta, indicating above-average volatility. A significant portion of its revenue is dependent on its agreement with The Lottery Corporation, presenting a potential concentration risk. Additionally, it operates in a heavily regulated industry and faces ongoing competitive pressure in the digital lottery and gambling space.

Despite these challenges, the company appears undervalued relative to its financial performance and long-term prospects, making it a stock worth considering for investors seeking a blend of income and growth.

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Disclaimer

The user Robbo holds no position in ASX:JIN. Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The author of this narrative is not affiliated with, nor authorised by Simply Wall St as a sub-authorised representative. This narrative is general in nature and explores scenarios and estimates created by the author. The narrative does not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are estimations only, and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that the author's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

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Fair Value vs Share Price

AU$15
vs AU$7.4550.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
PastFuture0314m20142017202020232025202620292030Revenue AU$314.1mEarnings AU$85.0m
15.7%
Revenue growth
27.1%
Profit margin

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Company analysis

Undervalued established dividend payer.

Market capAU$472.0m
PB3.8x
Estimated Growth11.9%
Dividend Yield7.3%
Full analysis

CEO & management

Mike Veverka
CEO
2.7yrs
CEO Tenure

Engages in the retail of lottery tickets through the internet and mobile devices in Australia, the United Kingdom, Canada, Fiji, and internationally.