Full Truck Alliance (YMM) 주식 개요
풀 트럭 얼라이언스 는 자회사와 함께 화주와 트럭 운전사를 연결하여 중화인민공화국과 홍콩에서 거리 범위, 화물 중량 및 유형에 관계없이 배송을 용이하게 하는 디지털 화물 플랫폼을 운영합니다. 자세히 보기
강점
위험 분석
우리의 위험 점검에서 YMM에 대한 위험이 감지되지 않았습니다.
YMM Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. 경쟁사
가격 이력 및 성과
| 과거 주가 | |
|---|---|
| 현재 주가 | US$8.57 |
| 52주 최고가 | US$14.07 |
| 52주 최저가 | US$7.46 |
| 베타 | 0.31 |
| 1개월 변동 | 2.76% |
| 3개월 변동 | 3.63% |
| 1년 변동 | -32.09% |
| 3년 변동 | 18.86% |
| 5년 변동 | -50.17% |
| IPO 이후 변동 | -60.14% |
최근 뉴스 및 업데이트
Seeking Alpha • Jul 09
Full Truck Alliance: Upgrade To Buy As Valuation Narrative Reaches An Inflection Point
Summary Full Truck Alliance upgraded to BUY with an $11–$13/share target, implying 30–50% upside on 13x–15x forward P/E. YMM’s platform cleanup and governance reforms have improved business sustainability, with negative sentiment largely priced in after consensus revenue downgrades. Q1 saw accelerating fulfilled orders (+14.3% y/y), rising shipper MAUs (+12.7% y/y), and a healthier revenue mix favoring high-margin transaction services. Valuation is compelling at a 3-year low, supported by net cash (27% of market cap), a 4% dividend yield, and strong network effects. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
내러티브 업데이트 • Jun 30
YMM: Future Returns Will Hinge On Execution Against A Reset Expectations Bar
Analysts have modestly lifted their fair value estimate for Full Truck Alliance. The higher price target is informed by slightly stronger implied revenue growth, a small uptick in projected profit margins, and a higher assumed future P/E multiple.내러티브 업데이트 • Jun 16
YMM: Future Returns Will Balance Buybacks Bullish Calls And Execution Risks
Analysts have reduced their average price target on Full Truck Alliance stock to about $8.24 per share from roughly $8.29. This revision reflects updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, discount rates and future P/E multiples, following a series of recent bullish initiations and upgrades by major firms.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jun 02
YMM: Dividend And 30-Day Catalyst Watch Will Support Bullish Repricing
Analysts have modestly lifted the price target on Full Truck Alliance to about $16.77 per share, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profitability, discount rate and future P/E. These changes align with a generally constructive tone in recent research, including new coverage, an upgrade and a short term catalyst watch, alongside one Hold downgrade.Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Jul 09
Full Truck Alliance: Upgrade To Buy As Valuation Narrative Reaches An Inflection Point
Summary Full Truck Alliance upgraded to BUY with an $11–$13/share target, implying 30–50% upside on 13x–15x forward P/E. YMM’s platform cleanup and governance reforms have improved business sustainability, with negative sentiment largely priced in after consensus revenue downgrades. Q1 saw accelerating fulfilled orders (+14.3% y/y), rising shipper MAUs (+12.7% y/y), and a healthier revenue mix favoring high-margin transaction services. Valuation is compelling at a 3-year low, supported by net cash (27% of market cap), a 4% dividend yield, and strong network effects. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha내러티브 업데이트 • Jun 30
YMM: Future Returns Will Hinge On Execution Against A Reset Expectations Bar
Analysts have modestly lifted their fair value estimate for Full Truck Alliance. The higher price target is informed by slightly stronger implied revenue growth, a small uptick in projected profit margins, and a higher assumed future P/E multiple.내러티브 업데이트 • Jun 16
YMM: Future Returns Will Balance Buybacks Bullish Calls And Execution Risks
Analysts have reduced their average price target on Full Truck Alliance stock to about $8.24 per share from roughly $8.29. This revision reflects updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, discount rates and future P/E multiples, following a series of recent bullish initiations and upgrades by major firms.내러티브 업데이트 • Jun 02
YMM: Dividend And 30-Day Catalyst Watch Will Support Bullish Repricing
Analysts have modestly lifted the price target on Full Truck Alliance to about $16.77 per share, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profitability, discount rate and future P/E. These changes align with a generally constructive tone in recent research, including new coverage, an upgrade and a short term catalyst watch, alongside one Hold downgrade.내러티브 업데이트 • May 06
YMM: Future Returns Will Hinge On Mixed Margin Outlook And Governance Versus Regulatory Risks
Analysts have reduced their price target for Full Truck Alliance from $9.55 to $8.29, citing more cautious assumptions on revenue growth and valuation multiples. This is partly offset by higher projected profit margins and input from recent mixed Street views, including a new bullish initiation, an upgrade, a short term upside watch and a downgrade.내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 22
YMM: Near Term Catalyst Watch And Dividend Initiation Will Support Rerating
Analysts have nudged their price target for Full Truck Alliance higher to $16.49 from $16.13, citing updated assumptions about revenue growth, a revised profit margin profile, and a higher future P/E multiple, despite a slight adjustment to the discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Full Truck Alliance has been mixed, but several bullish analysts are highlighting potential upside in the near term, especially around catalysts they see playing out over the next month.
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 07
YMM: Governance And Dividend Progress Will Support Returns Through 2026
Analysts have trimmed their price targets for Full Truck Alliance to $8 to $9, reflecting updated assumptions around slightly higher discount rates, modestly adjusted growth and margin expectations, and recent research highlighting ongoing regulatory and macro headwinds, along with mixed views on the company’s new initiatives. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Full Truck Alliance reflects a split view, with some analysts focusing on potential long term benefits from new initiatives and others emphasizing execution risks and ongoing headwinds.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 24
YMM: Governance And Dividend Initiatives Will Support Returns Into 2026
Narrative Update on Full Truck Alliance The updated analyst price target for Full Truck Alliance has been reduced from $14.52 to $12.40 as analysts factor in recent downgrades, softer revenue growth assumptions, and ongoing regulatory and macro headwinds that they believe limit near term catalysts. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has shifted more cautious on Full Truck Alliance, with multiple downgrades and trimmed price targets reflecting concerns about execution risk and limited visibility on new growth drivers.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 09
YMM: Future Returns Will Depend On Governance Efforts Versus Regulatory Headwinds
Analysts have reduced their price targets on Full Truck Alliance, including a cut from $11 to $8, citing a weaker risk and reward trade off, limited near term catalysts, and ongoing regulatory and macro headwinds that are weighing on the company's core operations. Analyst Commentary JPMorgan cut its rating on Full Truck Alliance to Underweight from Neutral and reduced its price target to $8 from $11, reflecting a more cautious stance on the stock.내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 23
YMM: Governance And International Expansion Efforts Will Support Future Rerating
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Full Truck Alliance to $8 from $11, citing a weaker risk or reward profile as ongoing regulatory and macro pressures, softer margin assumptions, and limited visibility on new growth initiatives weigh on the outlook. Analyst Commentary JPMorgan's downgrade of Full Truck Alliance to Underweight with a US$8 price target, down from US$11, underlines how regulatory and macro pressures are weighing on sentiment.내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 09
YMM: Future Returns Will Hinge On Order Quality And Regulatory Headwinds
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Full Truck Alliance from about US$11.06 to roughly US$9.55 per share, reflecting lower expected profit margins and P/E, alongside ongoing concerns around regulation, macro headwinds and slower order growth, even as revenue growth assumptions are adjusted higher. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research highlights a more cautious tone on Full Truck Alliance, with several firms trimming price targets and reassessing the balance of risks around execution, growth and regulation.내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 25
YMM: Order Quality Cleanup And Governance Efforts Will Support Future Margin Expansion
Analysts have trimmed their blended price target for Full Truck Alliance to about US$17.91 from roughly US$18.23 as they factor in lower forecast revenue growth, a reduced assumed future P/E multiple, and mixed views on order momentum and regulatory headwinds, despite stronger modeled profit margins. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Full Truck Alliance presents a split picture, with JPMorgan turning more cautious while other firms still see room for execution on growth plans and margin potential.내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 11
YMM: Order Quality Improvements Will Drive Future Margin Expansion Potential
Analysts have inched their price targets on Full Truck Alliance lower, broadly trimming expectations to a US$12 to US$14 range as they weigh Q3 results that were roughly in line with forecasts against signs of slowing order growth and near term revenue deceleration. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a more cautious stance on near term growth, but many bullish analysts are still highlighting areas where they see execution holding up and the long term story intact.분석 기사 • Jan 03
Full Truck Alliance (NYSE:YMM) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 26
YMM: Future Returns Will Depend On Order Quality And Earnings Durability
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Full Truck Alliance slightly, with the updated fair value estimate edging down to $11.06 from $11.08. This reflects expectations for slower near term revenue growth, partly offset by improving profit margins and a lower assumed future P/E multiple.내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 12
YMM: Long Term Margin Expansion Will Drive Earnings Power Ahead
The analyst price target for Full Truck Alliance has been trimmed modestly to approximately $18 from about $19.75 as analysts factor in decelerating near term revenue growth and higher discount rates, which are partly offset by improving long term profit margin expectations and a lower future earnings multiple. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts acknowledge a near term moderation in order growth but continue to highlight Full Truck Alliance's solid execution against expectations, particularly around revenue delivery and platform quality improvements.내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 28
YMM: Forward Revenue Guidance Will Support Robust Returns Into 2026
Full Truck Alliance's analyst price target has been revised downward, dropping from approximately $15.29 to $14.52 per share. Analysts cite recent quarterly results and cautious forward guidance for order volume and transaction revenue growth as reasons for this adjustment.내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 14
YMM: Future Net Profit Margins Will Sustain Strong Shareholder Returns
Analysts have slightly adjusted their price target for Full Truck Alliance, raising it marginally to $15.29 per share. They cited minor improvements in the company’s discount rate estimates as the reason for this adjustment.내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 31
YMM: Future AI Matching And Logistics Trends Will Drive Strong Upside
Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for Full Truck Alliance at $15.29 per share, citing minimal changes in key assumptions that support their outlook. What's in the News Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 16
China Online Logistics And AI Matching Will Unlock Future Value
Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Full Truck Alliance from $15.52 to $15.29 per share. They cite tempered growth and margin expectations but maintain optimism due to recent undervaluation concerns and anticipation of strong quarterly results.분석 기사 • Sep 18
Investors Appear Satisfied With Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.'s (NYSE:YMM) Prospects As Shares Rocket 26%
Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. ( NYSE:YMM ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great...내러티브 업데이트 • Sep 11
China Online Logistics And AI Matching Will Unlock Future Value
The consensus analyst price target for Full Truck Alliance has been modestly raised to $15.52, reflecting improved sentiment driven by attractive valuation post-selloff, easing regulatory concerns, and expectations for strong Q2 results. Analyst Commentary Valuation has become more attractive after the recent selloff.분석 기사 • Jul 24
Earnings Tell The Story For Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. (NYSE:YMM)
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 24.1x Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. ( NYSE:YMM ) may be sending bearish...Seeking Alpha • Mar 08
Full Truck Alliance: Maintain 'Buy' After Strong Q4 Results
Summary Full Truck Alliance's Q4 2024 results showed strong growth, with net revenues up 32% and non-GAAP net income up 43.5% year-over-year. The stock surged 13% post-earnings, validating my thesis of rapid growth driven by increasing order volume and monetization rate. Despite the rally, YMM remains undervalued; I maintain a "buy" rating with a target price of $17.5-18, implying a 32% upside. Key risks include potential reductions in VAT subsidies and scrutiny over high-interest rates in YMM's value-added services. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 22
Full Truck Alliance: Too Cheap For The Growth.
Summary Full Truck Alliance (YMM) is China's largest digital freight platform, offering freight matching and value-added services, with a dominant market share and significant growth potential. YMM's revenue and order volume are increasing, driven by rising online penetration rates and higher monetization rates, with a projected revenue growth of over 20% in 2025 and 2026. Despite regulatory and competitive risks, YMM's current valuation is low, trading at 16 times 2025 earnings, with a target price of $16.5-$17 per share. Initiating a "buy" rating for YMM due to its strong market position, growth drivers, and potential for a 50% upside from the current stock price. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
새로운 내러티브 • Nov 20
Transformative Digital Revolution Elevates Logistics Industry Efficiency And Growth
Strategic initiatives in user acquisition and branding among SMEs are rapidly expanding the shipper user base and future revenue potential.Seeking Alpha • Aug 23
Full Truck Alliance: Positive On Strong Q2 Growth And Favorable Volume Guidance
Summary Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.'s revenue and net income attributable to shareholders rose significantly by +34% YoY and +33% YoY, respectively in Q2 2024. The company sees its order volume increasing by +20% or more for the full year, which will be on par with its actual Q2 2024 order volume expansion of +22%. Full Truck Alliance's solid second quarter results and positive full-year prospects support a higher valuation multiple and a Buy rating. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • May 24
Full Truck Alliance: Turning Positive On Results Beat And Attractive Shareholder Yield (Rating Upgrade)
Summary Full Truck Alliance's Q1 2024 financial results were better than expected, with its top line and bottom line expanding by +33% and +50%, respectively on YoY terms. YMM's potential shareholder yield could be as high as 4.5% as per my estimates. I revise my rating for the stock from a Hold to a Buy, following an evaluation of the company's financial performance and shareholder capital return. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 11
Full Truck Alliance: Spotlight On Higher Costs
Summary Full Truck Alliance's actual Q4 2023 operating profit missed the market's expectations due to a significant increase in sales and marketing expenses. Moving forward, Full Truck Alliance sees its top line expanding by +25% YoY in Q1 2024, but it also anticipates making meaningful investments in sales and marketing this year. I maintain my Hold rating for YMM, after assessing its revenue growth and operating profitability outlook. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha주주 수익률
| YMM | US Transportation | US 시장 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| 1Y | -32.1% | 10.8% | 20.6% |
수익률 대 산업: YMM은 지난 1년 동안 10.8%의 수익을 기록한 US Transportation 산업보다 저조한 성과를 냈습니다.
수익률 대 시장: YMM은 지난 1년 동안 20.6%를 기록한 US 시장보다 저조한 성과를 냈습니다.
주가 변동성
| YMM volatility | |
|---|---|
| YMM Average Weekly Movement | 5.8% |
| Transportation Industry Average Movement | 6.1% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.3% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.6% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
안정적인 주가: YMM는 지난 3개월 동안 US 시장에 비해 주가 변동성이 크지 않았습니다.
시간에 따른 변동성: YMM의 주간 변동성(6%)은 지난 1년 동안 안정적이었습니다.
회사 소개
| 설립 | 직원 수 | CEO | 웹사이트 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 8,251 | Peter Zhang | www.fulltruckalliance.com |
풀 트럭 얼라이언스 는 자회사와 함께 화주와 트럭 운전사를 연결하여 중화인민공화국과 홍콩에서 거리 범위, 화물 중량 및 유형에 관계없이 배송을 용이하게 하는 디지털 화물 플랫폼을 운영하고 있습니다. 화물 리스팅 및 중개 서비스, 거래 서비스 등 화물 매칭 서비스와 신용 솔루션, 보험 중개, 소프트웨어 솔루션, 전자 통행료 징수, 지능형 운전 관련 서비스, 에너지 서비스 등 다양한 부가가치 서비스를 제공합니다. 또한 기술 개발 및 기타 서비스도 제공합니다.
Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. 기초 지표 요약
| YMM 기초 통계 | |
|---|---|
| 시가총액 | US$8.90b |
| 순이익 (TTM) | US$609.52m |
| 매출 (TTM) | US$1.86b |
14.6x
주가수익비율(P/E)4.8x
주가매출비율(P/S)YMM는 고평가되어 있습니까?
공정 가치 및 평가 분석 보기순이익 및 매출
| YMM 손익계산서 (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| 매출 | CN¥12.64b |
| 매출원가 | CN¥1.89b |
| 총이익 | CN¥10.74b |
| 기타 비용 | CN¥6.61b |
| 순이익 | CN¥4.13b |
최근 보고된 실적
Mar 31, 2026
다음 실적 발표일
해당 없음
| 주당순이익(EPS) | 3.98 |
| 총이익률 | 85.01% |
| 순이익률 | 32.68% |
| 부채/자본 비율 | 0% |
YMM의 장기 실적은 어땠습니까?
과거 실적 및 비교 보기| Full Truck Alliance 배당 일정 | |
|---|---|
| 배당락일 | Jul 07 2026 |
| 배당 지급일 | Jul 21 2026 |
| 배당락일까지 남은 일수 | 5 days |
| 배당 지급일까지 남은 일수 | 9 days |
YMM는 안정적으로 배당을 지급합니까?
YMM 배당 기록 및 벤치마크 보기기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태
| 데이터 | 최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간) |
|---|---|
| 기업 분석 | 2026/07/10 00:07 |
| 종가 | 2026/07/10 00:00 |
| 수익 | 2026/03/31 |
| 연간 수익 | 2025/12/31 |
데이터 소스
당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.
| 패키지 | 데이터 | 기간 | 미국 소스 예시 * |
|---|---|---|---|
| 기업 재무제표 | 10년 |
| |
| 분석가 컨센서스 추정치 | +3년 |
|
|
| 시장 가격 | 30년 |
| |
| 지분 구조 | 10년 |
| |
| 경영진 | 10년 |
| |
| 주요 개발 | 10년 |
|
* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.
별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.
분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크
이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 세부 정보는 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있으며, 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공하고 있습니다.
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산업 및 섹터 지표
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분석가 소스
Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.는 19명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 15명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.
| 분석가 | 기관 |
|---|---|
| Jiong Shao | Barclays |
| Cherry Leung | Bernstein |
| Fan Tso | BofA Global Research |