United Parcel Service, Inc.

NYSE:UPS 주식 리포트

시가총액: US$84.1b

United Parcel Service 향후 성장

Future 기준 점검 2/6

United Parcel Service (는) 각각 연간 8% 및 3.6% 수익과 수익이 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 9.3% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 42.2% 로 예상됩니다.

핵심 정보

8.0%

이익 성장률

9.30%

EPS 성장률

Logistics 이익 성장9.9%
매출 성장률3.6%
향후 자기자본이익률42.21%
애널리스트 커버리지

Good

마지막 업데이트11 May 2026

최근 향후 성장 업데이트

분석 기사 • Oct 31

United Parcel Service, Inc. Just Beat EPS By 21%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

United Parcel Service, Inc. ( NYSE:UPS ) just released its quarterly report and things are looking bullish. It was...
분석 기사 • Jul 31

United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS) Just Reported, And Analysts Assigned A US$106 Price Target

There's been a notable change in appetite for United Parcel Service, Inc. ( NYSE:UPS ) shares in the week since its...

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • May 05

UPS: Great Dividend Yield, But Concerns Are Mounting

Summary UPS faces significant headwinds as Amazon becomes a direct logistics competitor and volume from Amazon is intentionally reduced. Q1 results were weak, with domestic revenue down 2.3% and supply chain solutions down 6.5%, making full-year guidance appear unachievable. A robust 6.8% dividend yield is financially secure, but persistent capital erosion undermines the total return profile. At 13.5x earnings and lacking growth or a clear catalyst, UPS's valuation is fair but not compelling until enterprise growth accelerates. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
분석 기사 • May 05

There May Be Reason For Hope In United Parcel Service's (NYSE:UPS) Disappointing Earnings

The market for United Parcel Service, Inc.'s ( NYSE:UPS ) shares didn't move much after it posted weak earnings...
내러티브 업데이트 • May 03

UPS: Heavy Asset Network And 2026 Framework Balance Long Term Potential

Analysts made a modest upward adjustment to the UPS fair value estimate to about $113.15, reflecting a mix of recent price target increases and trims as they factor in updated revenue growth, margin expectations, and slightly lower assumed future P/E levels. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on United Parcel Service shows a mix of modest target cuts and small upward revisions, which largely offset each other and line up with the fair value estimate adjustment to about $113.15.
새로운 내러티브 • Apr 19

United Parcel Service (UPS): The Great Amazon Glide-Down and the Inflection to Industrial Logistics

United Parcel Service (UPS) , the world’s largest package delivery titan, enters Sunday, April 19, 2026 , in the final stages of its most aggressive structural reorganization in over a century. Trading at $105.06 USD following a 1.17% gain over the past month, the stock is currently attempting to stabilize as it approaches its Q1 2026 earnings release on Tuesday, April 28.
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 18

UPS: Physical Network Strength Will Support Earnings Recovery Beyond Near Term Pressure

Analysts have adjusted the fair value estimate for United Parcel Service to $135 from $122, reflecting updated views on the company as research commentary highlights both increased optimism around its physical network assets and ongoing caution about near term earnings pressure. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on United Parcel Service shows a mix of caution on near term earnings and growing interest in the company’s long term asset base and execution plans.
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 04

UPS: Heavy Asset Network And 2026 Inflection Will Drive Upside Potential

Analysts have made only modest tweaks to their UPS outlook, trimming the average price target by a few dollars to about $113. Near term earnings pressure, highlighted by more cautious firms, is balanced by others who see long term value in UPS's heavy asset network and multi year earnings potential.
내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 21

UPS: Union Pushback And Job Cuts Will Pressure Earnings Trajectory

Analysts have trimmed the UPS fair value estimate by about $0.50, while modestly adjusting assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E. This reflects mixed Street signals that include a recent $6 cut to a $112 price target at BofA, alongside a series of upward revisions from other firms citing the resilience of physical transport networks.
내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 07

UPS: Network Assets And 2026 Framework Will Shape Risk Reward Balance

Our updated UPS narrative reflects a slight trim in the fair value estimate to about $113 per share, as analysts weigh a mix of new price targets that range from BofA's cut to $112 on softer near term expectations to multiple upward revisions tied to UPS's physical network assets and its commentary on the 2026 outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent research on United Parcel Service shows a split tape, with some analysts trimming near term expectations while others are leaning into the long term value of the network and management's 2026 framework.
내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 20

UPS: Labor Disputes And Fleet Disruptions Will Pressure Margins And Sentiment

The analyst fair value estimate for United Parcel Service has been lifted from about $80.28 to roughly $85.08 as analysts factor in higher revenue growth assumptions, slightly stronger profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple supported by a wave of recent price target increases and upgrades across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on United Parcel Service shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings as they refine outlooks for earnings, margins, and sector conditions through 2026.
분석 기사 • Feb 09

United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $1.64

United Parcel Service, Inc. ( NYSE:UPS ) will pay a dividend of $1.64 on the 5th of March. This makes the dividend...
내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 06

UPS: MD-11 Grounding And Margin Execution Will Shape Medium-Term Outlook

Analysts have lifted their UPS fair value estimate from US$100.50 to about US$113.18. This reflects updated expectations for revenue growth, margin trends, and future P/E multiples, as seen in a wave of recent price target increases across the Street.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 23

UPS: Rising Cost And Safety Pressures Will Challenge Recent Margin Optimism

Narrative Update: United Parcel Service (UPS) The analyst price target for UPS has been revised slightly higher to reflect an updated fair value estimate of about $80 per share. Analysts point to recent price target increases across several firms, improving margin expectations and cost initiatives, while also factoring in more conservative revenue growth and a higher future P/E assumption.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 09

UPS: Rally Risks Ahead As Amazon Volume Decline And Cost Execution Concerns Build

Analysts have nudged our fair value estimate for United Parcel Service higher to align with recent Street price target increases in the US$105 to US$126 range, citing updated views on revenue growth, margins, and 2026 sector conditions. Analyst Commentary Recent research on United Parcel Service reflects a mixed tone, with several firms lifting price targets into a tighter US$105 to US$126 band while at least one is stepping back on rating and others highlighting execution and growth risks into 2026.
내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 26

UPS: Cost Efficiencies And Yield Improvements Will Support Earnings Recovery Ahead

Analysts nudged their average price target for United Parcel Service modestly higher to about $119, reflecting confidence that solid Q3 execution, ongoing cost takeouts, and improved domestic yield performance can support resilient margins and a cyclical earnings trough in 2025. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts framed the Q3 beat and reinstated guidance as an important inflection point, arguing that the combination of structural cost reductions and better pricing power is starting to flow more visibly into earnings.
내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 12

UPS: Margin And Cost Efficiencies Will Drive Earnings Recovery Ahead

The updated fair value estimate for United Parcel Service has been reduced by about $10 to $122 per share, as analysts temper revenue growth and valuation multiples, despite acknowledging improving margins, cost efficiencies, and a more credible transformation outlook following a solid Q3 earnings beat and higher Street price targets. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have responded positively to the latest Q3 results, citing a solid earnings beat, reinstated guidance, and meaningful progress on cost initiatives as support for higher valuation.
분석 기사 • Oct 31

United Parcel Service, Inc. Just Beat EPS By 21%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

United Parcel Service, Inc. ( NYSE:UPS ) just released its quarterly report and things are looking bullish. It was...
분석 기사 • Oct 21

Weekly Picks: 💻 A Hedge Against US Government Shutdown And 2 More Picks

This week’s picks cover: How UPS plans to cut costs and automate its way back to profitability, why Paradigm Biopharma could soar if its osteoarthritis drug wins FDA approval, and how Barrick Mining offers a hedge against U.S. fiscal chaos
내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 18

Amazon Shipments Will Decline And Automation Will Secure Future Efficiency

Analysts have lowered their price target for United Parcel Service, reducing it from approximately $101.43 to $100.50 per share. They cited persistent cost pressures and a cautious outlook for freight demand stabilization.
새로운 내러티브 • Oct 17

Finding The True Value Of A Logistics Powerhouse

Our initial price target for United Parcel Service is set at $95.21. We believe in a cautious approach in our analysis as UPS has been clouded with sustainability issues, higher costs, and internal headwinds.
내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 04

Amazon Shipments Will Decline And Automation Will Secure Future Efficiency

The analyst price target for United Parcel Service was reduced to approximately $101.43 from $103.30, as analysts cited sustained cost pressures, weaker volume trends, and ongoing macroeconomic and regulatory challenges. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates reflect a broad reassessment of United Parcel Service's outlook as analysts evaluate both the company's near-term challenges and longer-term positioning.
내러티브 업데이트 • Sep 19

Amazon Shipments Will Decline And Automation Will Secure Future Efficiency

Analysts have modestly reduced United Parcel Service’s price target to $103.30 due to immediate volume declines from new import restrictions, persistent cost headwinds, and weak small-business and Amazon volumes, partially offset by longer-term confidence in its core franchise. Analyst Commentary Recent executive orders suspending de minimis access for U.S. imports have caused an immediate fall in shipment volumes, leading to near-term volume and cost pressures.
분석 기사 • Jul 31

United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS) Just Reported, And Analysts Assigned A US$106 Price Target

There's been a notable change in appetite for United Parcel Service, Inc. ( NYSE:UPS ) shares in the week since its...
분석 기사 • Jun 24

United Parcel Service's (NYSE:UPS) Returns Have Hit A Wall

Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...
분석 기사 • May 27

Are Investors Undervaluing United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS) By 41%?

Key Insights United Parcel Service's estimated fair value is US$163 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current...
Seeking Alpha • Apr 22

UPS: Recession Risk Might Already Be Reflected In The Stock Price

Summary UPS is currently undervalued, trading below its intrinsic value, making it a "Buy" despite potential short-term declines due to recession risks. Fourth-quarter results showed growth, but full-year 2024 results were disappointing, with a slight revenue increase and declines in operating profit and EPS. UPS's dividend yield is attractive at nearly 7%, but the high payout ratio raises concerns about its sustainability in the long term. Long-term growth potential exists through international expansion and healthcare logistics, but near-term economic uncertainties may impact performance. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
새로운 내러티브 • Apr 08

Network Reconfiguration And Healthcare Expansion Will Drive Efficiency

UPS's efficiency initiatives and network reconfiguration are expected to drive significant cost savings, expanding margins and improving earnings.
Seeking Alpha • Mar 11

UPS: The Company Is Being Hit From Multiple Angles

Summary Distinguishing between short-term trends and long-term patterns is challenging, especially post-Covid-19 as industries return to pre-pandemic growth cycles. The mail delivery industry, including UPS, saw significant revenue increases due to the e-commerce boom during the Covid-19 lockdowns. UPS plans to invest $3.5 billion this year in AI and technology to drive long-term margins down, despite higher labor costs. UPS has implemented a 5.9% price increase, raising questions about whether competitors will follow suit. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 13

UPS Cuts Amazon Deal: Short-Term Pain For Long-Term Gain

Summary UPS's decision to cut Amazon's volume by 50% by mid-2026 is a strategic move to enhance profitability and focus on higher-margin business. Though short-term revenue will dip, UPS expects significant margin expansion, targeting a 12% U.S. operating margin by Q4 2026. Strategic cost reductions, including facility closures and network resizing, will align UPS's operations with its new business mix. UPS aims to grow in high-margin areas like SMBs and healthcare logistics, projecting substantial market share gains and revenue growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 06

UPS: One Of The Easiest Shorts In 2025

Summary I believe the stock is in a tailspin and its downward momentum will not slow down in 2025, despite the aggressive pivot toward higher margin logistics customers (SMB, B2B, healthcare). I anticipate that cost-cutting measures, including the $1 billion in savings, the layoffs, and facility consolidations will improve margins in the long-term but won’t reverse investor sentiment within 12 months. I caution that any hype from potential humanoid deployments could lift sentiment, but I don’t expect such announcements before EoY, considering the company's cost-cutting plans and its Union. I maintain a strong sell rating for UPS, expecting the share price to test the $85 level before the end of the year. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 30

Wall Street Lunch: GDP Falls Short Of Consensus

Summary U.S. GDP growth slowed to 2.1% in Q4, with consumer and government spending offset by a decline in investment and rising inflation. UPS reached a deal with Amazon to reduce volume by over 50% by 2026, potentially benefiting UPS's margins. Comcast saw declines in broadband and video subscribers, overshadowing its dividend increase and new $15 billion stock buyback program. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 24

UPS Looks To Be Nearing Turnaround Territory

Summary United Parcel Service, Inc. has struggled with revenue and profit declines, underperforming the S&P 500, but UPS stock is nearing a potential “buy” range. Despite recent challenges, UPS' U.S. Domestic Package segment shows signs of improvement, driven by increased e-commerce activity and higher business-to-consumer volumes. The International Package segment and Supply Chain Solutions have mixed results, with the latter showing growth due to the MNX Global Logistics acquisition. While UPS may see a turnaround, FedEx currently presents a more compelling investment opportunity, with better valuation and growth prospects. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 24

UPS: The Whole Package For Value Investors

Summary UPS, a global leader in small-parcel delivery, leverages scale and network advantages for higher margins and efficiency, presenting a unique value investment opportunity. Recent automation and consolidation initiatives have boosted productivity, with Q3 results showing revenue and profit growth, despite negative investor sentiment due to inflation and tariff concerns. UPS's acquisition of Estafeta and investments in healthcare logistics strengthen its competitive moat, with significant future revenue and profit growth potential. With a strong balance sheet, undervalued stock, and a dividend yield over 5%, UPS has many characteristics value investors appreciate, while analysts expect ~$10 in EPS by 2026. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 15

UPS Is An Excellent Company

Summary UPS has shown strong earnings and revenue growth, with a P/E ratio under 20 and double-digit YoY EPS growth, indicating a low valuation. The company is enhancing its logistics, particularly in healthcare, leveraging its scale to provide premium services and boost shareholder returns. UPS generates robust cash flow, supporting a nearly 5% dividend yield, though its payout ratio is around 100% based on a 5% FCF yield, limiting share repurchases. The main risk is limited growth opportunities in an established industry, with potential threats from companies like Amazon building their own logistics networks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 15

UPS: How I'm Grabbing More Yield

Summary UPS is in my dividend stock portfolio, and carries a nearly 5% yield. This article details my investment process, as UPS is a typical case of how to get the yield and total return I aim for, tactical management is helpful. I discuss how I navigate this and the other stocks I follow, using a combination of charting and known events (ex-date and earnings date), as well as proprietary factors. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 21

UPS Q3 Earnings Preview: Volume Mix And Recent Acquisitions Should Be In Focus

Summary United Parcel Service, Inc. is expected to release Q3 earnings on October 24, with a key focus on volume mix and impact from recent port strikes. Q2 results were disappointing with revenue and EPS misses; Q3 revenue and EPS are expected to show modest y/y growth. UPS stock has a history of post-earnings declines; caution is advised, especially given its track record of missing revenue estimates. Despite recent acquisitions, UPS remains overvalued; I recommend trimming existing stakes and maintaining a SELL rating ahead of the earnings release. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

이익 및 매출 성장 예측

NYSE:UPS - 애널리스트 향후 추정치 및 과거 재무 데이터 (USD Millions)
날짜매출이익자유현금흐름영업현금흐름평균 애널리스트 수
12/31/202896,6106,6086,02511,23712
12/31/202793,6196,6447,09510,57723
12/31/202690,0086,0335,7318,58523
3/31/202688,3175,2494,5168,356N/A
12/31/202588,6615,5724,7658,450N/A
9/30/202589,4835,5024,3968,463N/A
6/30/202590,3135,7303,5397,479N/A
3/31/202590,9105,8565,3749,124N/A
12/31/202491,0705,7826,21310,122N/A
9/30/202490,6865,6664,3589,218N/A
6/30/202489,5025,2544,6479,953N/A
3/31/202489,7395,9265,61311,197N/A
12/31/202390,9586,7085,08010,238N/A
9/30/202393,0748,5565,55911,159N/A
6/30/202396,17410,0136,20411,405N/A
3/31/202398,88510,7817,15111,981N/A
12/31/2022100,33811,5489,33514,104N/A
9/30/2022101,07611,18810,11614,018N/A
6/30/2022100,09910,93310,93414,846N/A
3/31/202298,75710,76011,04814,956N/A
12/31/202197,28712,89010,81315,007N/A
9/30/202194,4126,4508,17412,937N/A
6/30/202192,4666,0787,94912,966N/A
3/31/202189,5015,1707,12712,440N/A
12/31/202084,6281,3435,04710,459N/A
9/30/202080,3004,5846,96612,229N/A
6/30/202077,3804,3774,79510,379N/A
3/31/202074,9694,2943,1138,912N/A
12/31/201974,0944,440N/A8,639N/A
9/30/201973,3744,999N/A8,982N/A
6/30/201972,5004,757N/A9,718N/A
3/31/201971,9084,557N/A10,921N/A
12/31/201871,8614,791N/A12,711N/A
9/30/201870,9885,434N/A6,483N/A
6/30/201869,7175,185N/A6,058N/A
3/31/201868,1885,084N/A5,307N/A
12/31/201766,5854,905N/A1,479N/A
9/30/201764,5413,570N/A5,528N/A
6/30/201763,2963,581N/A4,401N/A
3/31/201761,9983,466N/A4,042N/A
12/31/201661,6103,422N/A6,473N/A
9/30/201660,0295,001N/A6,378N/A
6/30/201659,3384,988N/A7,884N/A
3/31/201658,8044,949N/A7,349N/A
12/31/201558,3634,844N/A7,430N/A
9/30/201558,2043,966N/A7,950N/A
6/30/201558,2573,923N/A8,133N/A

애널리스트 향후 성장 전망

수입 대 저축률: UPS 의 연간 예상 수익 증가율(8%)이 saving rate(3.5%)보다 높습니다.

수익 vs 시장: UPS 의 연간 수익(8%)이 US 시장(16.8%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.

고성장 수익: UPS 의 수입은 증가할 것으로 예상되지만 상당히 증가하지는 않을 것입니다.

수익 대 시장: UPS 의 수익(연간 3.6%)이 US 시장(연간 11.7%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.

고성장 매출: UPS 의 수익(연간 3.6%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.

주당순이익 성장 예측

향후 자기자본이익률

미래 ROE: UPS의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 42.2%로 매우 높을 것으로 예상됩니다.

성장 기업 찾아보기

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태

데이터최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간)
기업 분석2026/05/18 17:14
종가2026/05/15 00:00
수익2026/03/31
연간 수익2025/12/31

데이터 소스

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패키지데이터기간미국 소스 예시 *
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분석가 소스

United Parcel Service, Inc.는 45명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 23명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.

분석가기관
Will ChienAccountability Research Corporation
John EadeArgus Research Company
Brandon OglenskiBarclays