Southwest Airlines Co.

NYSE:LUV 주식 리포트

시가총액: US$19.9b

Southwest Airlines 향후 성장

Future 기준 점검 4/6

Southwest Airlines (는) 각각 연간 22.6% 및 4.9% 수익과 수익이 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 26.1% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 23% 로 예상됩니다.

핵심 정보

22.6%

이익 성장률

26.14%

EPS 성장률

Airlines 이익 성장14.5%
매출 성장률4.9%
향후 자기자본이익률22.99%
애널리스트 커버리지

Good

마지막 업데이트19 May 2026

최근 향후 성장 업데이트

Recent updates

내러티브 업데이트 • May 03

LUV: 2026 Cabin Changes And Fuel Recovery Potential Will Support Earnings

Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for Southwest Airlines slightly higher to about $45.25 from $44.82 as they balance fuel cost pressures, softer revenue growth and margin expectations, and a modestly higher assumed future P/E multiple of around 10x. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Southwest Airlines reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with multiple firms adjusting price targets and ratings as they reassess fuel assumptions, demand trends, and the earnings impact of new initiatives.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 24

Southwest Airlines: Braced For Fuel Shocks, Not Priced For Them

Summary Southwest Airlines Co. faces headwinds from sustained high oil prices driven by geopolitical conflict, pressuring margins and necessitating fare hikes. LUV’s balance sheet remains robust, with over $3B in cash and manageable debt, offering resilience compared to weaker peers. Management aims to offset fuel costs with ticket price increases, but has not updated guidance, reflecting uncertainty about demand elasticity and war duration. I view LUV as fairly valued near $38 and would only consider buying below $29.09 per share, given cyclical risks and limited near-term upside. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 19

LUV: Rising Fuel Costs Will Likely Constrain Future Margin Recovery

Southwest Airlines' analyst price target is revised slightly lower to $24.00 as analysts factor in higher discount rates, more conservative revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a higher future P/E multiple following a series of recent target cuts that largely cite rising fuel costs and more cautious earnings estimates. Analyst Commentary Street research around Southwest has turned more cautious as analysts revisit their assumptions on fuel, revenue, and margins.
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 04

LUV: 2026 Cabin Upgrades And Seating Changes Will Support Earnings Power

Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for Southwest Airlines down from about $47.47 to $44.82. This reflects a blend of higher assumed fuel costs, slightly stronger revenue and margin expectations, a higher discount rate, and a lower future P/E multiple in response to a recent wave of reduced price targets across the Street.
내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 21

LUV: New Seating And Fees Will Support Future Margin Recovery

Southwest Airlines' analyst price targets have generally shifted lower by about $10 in recent revisions, as analysts factor in higher assumed fuel costs, even while acknowledging resilient demand and incremental revenue initiatives. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed but constructive picture for Southwest, with many firms recalibrating price targets around higher fuel assumptions while still pointing to healthy demand and revenue initiatives.
내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 07

LUV: Fuel Cost And Capacity Pressures Will Likely Undermine Fee Initiatives

The updated analyst price target for Southwest Airlines implies a slightly lower fair value of about $24.03, as analysts weigh stronger long term earnings initiatives and demand expectations against higher fuel cost risks and a modestly higher discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Southwest Airlines reflects a mix of optimism around long term earnings initiatives and growing caution around fuel costs, capacity trends, and execution on planned product changes.
내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 20

LUV: Future Fee Initiatives Will Likely Fail To Justify Current Pricing

Narrative Update The analyst price target for Southwest has moved higher to reflect a fair value estimate of $24.38, supported by updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and discount rate as analysts highlight potential earnings contributions from extra legroom, assigned seating, and checked bag initiatives. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Southwest has centered on how new revenue initiatives like extra legroom, assigned seating, and checked bag fees could affect earnings power and, in turn, perceived fair value for the stock.
분석 기사 • Feb 08

Southwest Airlines (NYSE:LUV) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.18

The board of Southwest Airlines Co. ( NYSE:LUV ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.18 per share on the...
내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 05

LUV: 2026 Capacity Expansion And Partnerships Will Test Rich Share Pricing

Analysts have raised their implied fair value estimate for Southwest Airlines from about $39.63 to $47.47. This change reflects a series of higher price targets across the Street as they factor in updated views on revenue growth, profit margins, discount rates and future P/E assumptions.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 22

LUV: Easing Fuel Costs And Resilient Demand Will Support Margin Recovery

The analyst price target for Southwest Airlines has been raised from US$54.95 to US$60.00, as analysts point to a more supportive industry setup into 2026, including resilient demand signals, easing fuel headwinds, and a wide range of higher Street targets across major firms. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a cluster of higher price targets and a key upgrade that together frame a more constructive setup for Southwest Airlines into 2026.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 08

LUV: Demand Recovery And 2026 Outlook Will Shape Fairly Valued Shares

Narrative Update: Southwest Airlines (LUV) Our analyst price target for Southwest Airlines has moved higher from US$35.00 to about US$40.00. This reflects updated assumptions for slightly stronger revenue growth, higher profit margins, and a modestly higher future P/E multiple in line with recent analyst price target increases across the sector and expectations for healthier demand and earnings outlooks into 2026.
내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 24

LUV: Technology-Driven Merchandising Will Support Higher Margins And Reduced Risk Profile

Analysts have lifted their price target for Southwest Airlines to approximately $55 per share from about $46, citing expectations for faster revenue growth, improved profit margins, and a lower perceived risk profile, in line with recent Street research that highlights the airline sector’s evolving merchandising and pricing power. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are pointing to Southwest’s improving fundamentals and revenue trajectory as justification for higher valuation expectations.
분석 기사 • Dec 12

Revenues Not Telling The Story For Southwest Airlines Co. (NYSE:LUV) After Shares Rise 27%

The Southwest Airlines Co. ( NYSE:LUV ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain...
내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 10

LUV: Industry Tailwinds And Partnerships Will Shape Future Earnings Profile

Southwest Airlines' analyst price target has ticked higher by about $1 to the mid $30s, as analysts cite a lower perceived risk profile, slightly refined long term growth and profitability assumptions, and supportive industry dynamics highlighted in recent airline sector previews. Analyst Commentary Analysts are broadly constructive on Southwest's risk reward profile, but remain divided on how quickly the carrier can translate industry tailwinds into outsized earnings growth relative to peers.
내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 26

LUV: Revenue Momentum And Industry Shifts Will Influence Market Standing

Southwest Airlines’ analyst price target has increased from approximately $34.07 to $34.23. Analysts cite incremental improvements in revenue growth and profit margin expectations as key drivers behind this modest upward revision.
내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 08

LUV: Evolving Industry Dynamics Will Shape Margins And Global Partnership Outcomes

Southwest Airlines' analyst price target has been raised from $33.76 to $34.07 as analysts cite evolving industry dynamics and projected improvements in technology-driven merchandising platforms, which support a cautiously optimistic outlook for the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary from analysts reflects both optimism and caution regarding Southwest Airlines' near-term prospects and long-term positioning in a changing U.S. airline landscape.
분석 기사 • Oct 31

We Like The Quality Of Southwest Airlines' (NYSE:LUV) Earnings

The stock was sluggish on the back of Southwest Airlines Co.'s ( NYSE:LUV ) recent earnings report. We have done some...
내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 25

Industry Shifts And Margin Recovery Will Support Performance Through 2026 And Beyond

Southwest Airlines’ analyst price target has been raised from approximately $33.06 to $33.76. Analysts cite improved profit margin expectations and accelerating industry revenue growth as driving factors behind the update.
내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 11

Expedia Channel And Premium Seating Will Boost Operational Efficiency

Southwest Airlines' analyst consensus price target has been revised upward by $0.55. Analysts highlight improvements in expected revenue growth and profit margins, supporting a cautiously optimistic outlook.
내러티브 업데이트 • Sep 27

Expedia Channel And Premium Seating Will Boost Operational Efficiency

The consensus analyst price target for Southwest Airlines saw a slight upward revision to $32.51 as bullish analysts highlight stronger long-term profit expectations and industry consolidation benefits, while persistent near-term skepticism among others tempers enthusiasm. Analyst Commentary JPMorgan is bullish, citing above-consensus earnings estimates through 2026-2027 and expectations of outsized industry profit consolidation among stronger carriers like Southwest.
내러티브 업데이트 • Sep 12

Expedia Channel And Premium Seating Will Boost Operational Efficiency

Both the consensus analyst price target and key financial metrics for Southwest Airlines have seen negligible changes, indicating continued stability in fundamentals, with the fair value price target edged slightly higher to $32.16. What's in the News Southwest is expanding routes aggressively for 2026, launching new destinations including Santa Rosa, CA; Knoxville, TN; St. Thomas (USVI); and St. Maarten, with additional routes and increased connections through Denver, Burbank, San Diego, and Baltimore.
분석 기사 • Aug 28

Southwest Airlines (NYSE:LUV) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.18

The board of Southwest Airlines Co. ( NYSE:LUV ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 24th of September...
분석 기사 • Aug 14

Southwest Airlines' (NYSE:LUV) Dividend Will Be $0.18

Southwest Airlines Co. ( NYSE:LUV ) will pay a dividend of $0.18 on the 24th of September. This payment means that the...
분석 기사 • Jul 11

Southwest Airlines' (NYSE:LUV) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business

When we're researching a company, it's sometimes hard to find the warning signs, but there are some financial metrics...
분석 기사 • Jun 11

Southwest Airlines' (NYSE:LUV) Dividend Will Be $0.18

The board of Southwest Airlines Co. ( NYSE:LUV ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.18 per share on the...
Seeking Alpha • Mar 25

Southwest Airlines Is Delivering For Investors Again

Summary Southwest Airlines is undergoing significant changes, including product reconfiguration, charging for more checked bags, and adding red-eye flights to boost revenue and schedule competitiveness. Operational reliability is strong, and the company expects $1.5 billion in EBIT improvements by 2025, despite employee and customer adaptation challenges. Southwest's strong balance sheet and Boeing 737 MAX order book are key assets, with potential cost savings from ending fuel hedging and fleet modernization. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 28

The Southwest Turnaround: An Attractive Capacity Growth Plan Clouded By Capex Uncertainty

Summary Elliott Investment Management called for a significant overhaul at Southwest in 2024, including leadership changes and a comprehensive business review, prompting a transformation plan. Southwest's turnaround plan focuses on boosting revenues, improving fleet utilization, and optimizing capital allocation, targeting $4bn in additional EBIT and $1bn in FCF by FY27. The feasibility of Southwest's capacity growth plans is supported by tangible initiatives, but cost management, particularly capex, remains a critical and uncertain factor. While Southwest's potential for value creation is evident, the heavy reliance on uncertain capex reductions makes it challenging to adopt a bullish stance without further clarity. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 19

Southwest Airlines Could Fly High On Demand Growth, But Needs To Improve Margins

Summary Southwest Airlines gets its prior hold rating from 2023 reaffirmed. Key positive factors are expected air travel growth in 2025, new global airline partnerships, an investment-grade credit rating, and low debt. Its gross and net income margins could use improvement compared to peers, as well as its dividend growth trend. Although it is trading near its moving average and undervalued vs its sector, it remains overvalued on fwd P/E vs key airline peers. Over-reliance on a Boeing fleet lacks fleet diversification and can have business impact in the event of further Boeing aircraft issues. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

이익 및 매출 성장 예측

NYSE:LUV - 애널리스트 향후 추정치 및 과거 재무 데이터 (USD Millions)
날짜매출이익자유현금흐름영업현금흐름평균 애널리스트 수
12/31/202834,6672,3131,0294,56614
12/31/202733,6732,1071,3754,32621
12/31/202632,7031,303243,25621
3/31/202628,884817-3762,400N/A
12/31/202528,063441-8311,842N/A
9/30/202527,551379-2502,024N/A
6/30/202527,472392-2721,851N/A
3/31/202527,582547-5631,426N/A
12/31/202427,483465-1,592462N/A
9/30/202427,376-48-1,927411N/A
6/30/202427,03178-1,748913N/A
3/31/202426,714393-7392,354N/A
12/31/202326,091465-3563,164N/A
9/30/202325,440497-8813,318N/A
6/30/202325,135581-1,4922,936N/A
3/31/202324,826658-1,0593,425N/A
12/31/202223,814539-1563,790N/A
9/30/202222,6938276933,458N/A
6/30/202221,1529968252,649N/A
3/31/202218,4325831,8182,748N/A
12/31/202115,7909771,8112,322N/A
9/30/202112,75211,0611,479N/A
6/30/20219,866-1,6026341,003N/A
3/31/20216,866-2,864-491-105N/A
12/31/20209,048-3,074-1,642-1,127N/A
9/30/202012,765-1,653-393293N/A
6/30/202016,6111631,4632,436N/A
3/31/202021,5131,8191,4142,505N/A
12/31/201922,4282,300N/A3,987N/A
9/30/201922,4022,441N/A4,152N/A
6/30/201922,3382,398N/A4,332N/A
3/31/201922,1702,389N/A4,996N/A
12/31/201821,9652,465N/A4,893N/A
9/30/201821,5193,558N/A4,467N/A
6/30/201821,2473,470N/A4,191N/A
3/31/201821,2363,481N/A3,306N/A
12/31/201721,1463,357N/A3,929N/A
9/30/201720,9632,132N/A4,075N/A
6/30/201720,8001,993N/A3,935N/A
3/31/201720,4532,070N/A4,302N/A
12/31/201620,2892,183N/A4,293N/A
9/30/201620,3272,258N/A3,908N/A
6/30/201620,3332,453N/A3,887N/A
3/31/201620,0602,241N/A3,402N/A
12/31/201519,6482,181N/A3,238N/A
9/30/201519,2991,835N/A3,118N/A
6/30/201518,9521,580N/A2,523N/A

애널리스트 향후 성장 전망

수입 대 저축률: LUV 의 연간 예상 수익 증가율(22.6%)이 saving rate(3.5%)보다 높습니다.

수익 vs 시장: LUV 의 연간 수익(22.6%)이 US 시장(16.8%)보다 빠르게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.

고성장 수익: LUV 의 수입은 향후 3년 동안 상당히 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.

수익 대 시장: LUV 의 수익(연간 4.9%)이 US 시장(연간 11.7%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.

고성장 매출: LUV 의 수익(연간 4.9%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.

주당순이익 성장 예측

향후 자기자본이익률

미래 ROE: LUV의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 23%로 높을 것으로 예상됩니다.

성장 기업 찾아보기

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태

데이터최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간)
기업 분석2026/05/22 20:19
종가2026/05/22 00:00
수익2026/03/31
연간 수익2025/12/31

데이터 소스

당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.

패키지데이터기간미국 소스 예시 *
기업 재무제표10년
  • 손익계산서
  • 현금흐름표
  • 대차대조표
분석가 컨센서스 추정치+3년
  • 재무 예측
  • 분석가 목표주가
시장 가격30년
  • 주가
  • 배당, 분할 및 기타 조치
지분 구조10년
  • 주요 주주
  • 내부자 거래
경영진10년
  • 리더십 팀
  • 이사회
주요 개발10년
  • 회사 공시

* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.

별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.

분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크

이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.

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산업 및 섹터 지표

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분석가 소스

Southwest Airlines Co.는 38명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 21명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.

분석가기관
John StaszakArgus Research Company
Brandon OglenskiBarclays
Brandon OglenskiBarclays