Twilio Inc.

NYSE:TWLO 주식 리포트

시가총액: US$37.4b

Twilio 향후 성장

Future 기준 점검 0/6

Twilio 의 수익은 연간 27.5% 감소할 것으로 예상되는 반면, 연간 수익은 10% 로 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 30% 만큼 쇠퇴할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 12.3% 로 예상됩니다.

핵심 정보

-27.5%

이익 성장률

-30.01%

EPS 성장률

IT 이익 성장22.4%
매출 성장률10.0%
향후 자기자본이익률12.26%
애널리스트 커버리지

Good

마지막 업데이트14 Sep 2026

최근 향후 성장 업데이트

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Sep 14

Twilio: High AI Growth, But Valuation Leaves No Margin Of Safety

Summary Twilio is experiencing accelerated revenue growth and improved margins driven by strong demand for agentic AI services, especially from enterprise customers. TWLO posted 22% year-over-year revenue growth and 34% free cash flow growth in Q2, with a 24% free cash flow margin and improved net retention to 116%. Despite operational improvements, TWLO trades at a 33.5x forward P/E, 78% above its 3-year average, resulting in an unattractive risk/reward profile. I maintain a 'Sell' rating on TWLO, recommending purchase only on a significant pullback due to valuation concerns and competitive risks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
내러티브 업데이트 • Sep 10

TWLO: Elevated AI Hype And Rich P/E Will Pressure Future Returns

Twilio's analyst fair value estimate has been raised from $167.56 to $182.27 as analysts respond to a series of higher price targets following a strong Q2, accelerating organic growth across messaging and voice, and growing confidence in the company's AI driven product opportunity. Analyst Commentary Street research on Twilio has shifted more constructive after Q2, with a series of higher price targets and supportive comments around organic growth in messaging and voice, as well as the pipeline for AI driven products.
내러티브 업데이트 • Aug 27

TWLO: AI Demand And Premium P E Will Challenge Margin Resilience

Analysts lifted the Twilio fair value estimate from $130.47 to $167.56, supported by higher Street price targets that cite a strong Q2, accelerating organic growth across messaging and voice, and growing AI driven demand across higher value customer engagement products. Analyst Commentary Street research on Twilio after the Q2 report has been broadly constructive, with multiple firms lifting price targets and citing strength in messaging, voice, software and AI driven customer engagement products.
내러티브 업데이트 • Aug 13

TWLO: AI Customer Engagement Momentum Will Drive Future Earnings Upside

The Twilio analyst price target is updated to $330 from $280, as analysts point to a strong Q2 with accelerating organic growth across messaging, voice, software, and self-service, along with growing AI driven opportunities in higher value customer engagement solutions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Twilio shows a clear cluster of bullish analysts lifting price targets following the Q2 report and related updates.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jul 29

TWLO: Elevated AI Hype Will Test Gross Profit And Margin Durability

Twilio's updated analyst price target framework now reflects a slightly lower fair value of $130.47, with analysts pointing to stronger organic growth and gross profit trends, improving margin expectations, and a somewhat higher discount rate as they recalibrate assumptions around the company’s AI driven customer engagement opportunity. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Twilio points to a generally constructive view on the stock, with many firms lifting price targets and highlighting progress in organic growth, gross profit trends, and AI driven customer engagement.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jul 15

TWLO: AI Customer Engagement And Console Adoption Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts have raised Twilio’s fair value estimate from $255.00 to about $280.83, citing a series of higher price targets tied to views that the company is better positioned to benefit from the AI cycle, improve gross margins, and deepen its customer engagement platform. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts covering Twilio are leaning into a more constructive view on the stock, pointing to clearer execution on its customer engagement platform and a thicker pipeline of AI driven use cases.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jul 01

TWLO: Future Performance Will Reflect AI Engagement Tailwinds And Execution Risks

Analysts have lifted the Twilio fair value estimate from $143.14 to $200.92. This change reflects more optimistic assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E, supported by recent street research highlighting AI-powered customer engagement, higher margin products, and an expanding full-stack platform opportunity.
분석 기사 • Jun 21

Twilio (TWLO) Stock Could Be 11% Below Fair Value Despite Mixed Valuation Signals

Recent Performance Snapshot for Twilio Stock Twilio (TWLO) has drawn fresh attention after a mixed stretch in the stock, with shares down about 1% on the day, roughly 9% over the past week, and close to flat over the past month. Against that choppy backdrop, the stock is up about 46% over the past 3 months and roughly 60% over the past year, while longer term 3 year and 5 year total returns show a sharp rise followed by a sizable pullback. See our latest analysis for Twilio. For Twilio,...
내러티브 업데이트 • Jun 17

TWLO: AI Customer Engagement Platform And Console Adoption Will Shape Future Upside

Twilio's analyst price target in this framework is updated to $255 from $250, with analysts pointing to the role of AI powered customer engagement, strengthening gross profit trends, and early traction from the integrated Twilio Console as key supports for the new estimate. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Twilio centers on how the stock is being re-rated around AI powered customer engagement, gross profit trends, and the roll out of the integrated Twilio Console.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jun 03

TWLO: Lofty AI Expectations Will Test Sustained Console Execution Risk

The updated Twilio narrative lifts the fair value estimate from $104.90 to $134.44, reflecting a higher implied future P/E of 64.94 and a lower discount rate. Analysts point to accelerating gross profit dollar growth and growing confidence in the integrated Twilio Console as key supports for higher Street price targets that have moved toward $235.
내러티브 업데이트 • May 14

TWLO: AI Engagement And Enterprise Voice Adoption Will Shape Future Upside Narrative

Twilio's updated analyst fair value moves from $185.00 to $250.00. This reflects analysts' use of a slightly lower discount rate, higher projected revenue growth and profit margins, and a higher assumed future P/E multiple following a broad wave of recent price target increases and upgrades across the Street.
분석 기사 • May 08

The Strong Earnings Posted By Twilio (NYSE:TWLO) Are A Good Indication Of The Strength Of The Business

Twilio Inc. ( NYSE:TWLO ) recently posted some strong earnings, and the market responded positively. We have done some...
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 30

TWLO: AI Engagement Promise Will Face Ongoing Execution And Profitability Risks

The analyst price target for Twilio has moved higher to reflect a fair value shift from $100.00 to about $104.90, as analysts cite increased targets from several firms and a stronger long-term role for Twilio in AI-driven customer engagement across messaging, voice, and identity. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Twilio has been active on both sides, with several firms lifting price targets and issuing upgrades, while others have trimmed targets or taken a more cautious tone on execution and growth expectations.
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 15

TWLO: AI Engagement And Enterprise Voice Adoption Will Drive Future Upside

Twilio's updated analyst price target has edged up to about $185, with analysts pointing to slightly stronger long term growth and margin assumptions, supported by recent upgrades highlighting its role in AI driven customer engagement. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a more constructive tone around Twilio, with several bullish analysts highlighting the company’s role in AI driven customer engagement and its potential to move further up the technology stack.
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 01

TWLO: AI Agents And Enterprise Voice Are Expected To Drive Upside

Twilio's updated analyst price target is effectively unchanged at about $185, as analysts balance more cautious P/E and fair value inputs with optimism around AI agent adoption, enterprise voice traction, and the company's role in AI-driven customer engagement. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are highlighting Twilio's role in AI driven customer engagement, with several research notes pointing to the company as an important software provider for messaging and voice, and as a platform that can support AI orchestration and identity services.
내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 18

TWLO: AI Engagement And Orchestration Are Expected To Drive Future Upside

Analysts are maintaining a fair value estimate of $185.00 for Twilio, with only slight tweaks to growth, margin and discount rate assumptions. Recent price target changes on the Street reflect differing views on how quickly AI use cases and enterprise adoption could influence the story.
내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 04

TWLO: AI Engagement And Margin Progress Are Expected To Drive Future Upside

Our updated narrative trims Twilio's fair value estimate to $185 from $194.38, reflecting a mix of lower modeled future P/E and a slightly higher discount rate, even as analysts highlight AI related demand, stronger organic growth, and expanding margins as key supports for the story and recent price target revisions around the $155 to $160 range. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Twilio has leaned constructive, with several bullish analysts highlighting AI exposure, execution on organic growth, and margin progress as key supports for current valuations and updated price targets in the mid US$150 range.
내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 18

TWLO: Future Performance Will Reflect Strengthening Organic Growth And Execution Confidence

The updated analyst price target for Twilio is now about $5 higher than before, as analysts factor in recent research that highlights strong Q4 execution, improving organic growth expectations, and a more balanced view on long term profitability and valuation multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Twilio reflects a mix of optimism about execution and growth, alongside more conservative adjustments to valuation targets.
내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 04

TWLO: Fair Outlook Balances Raised Expectations With Execution And Conviction Risks

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Twilio to US$100.00 from US$85.91, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly lower future P/E multiple, even as some firms adjust their conviction lists around the name. Analyst Commentary The latest research around Twilio reflects a mix of optimism on long term fundamentals and pockets of caution on execution and valuation.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 21

TWLO: Improved Execution And Partnerships Are Expected To Support Stronger Future Returns

Twilio's updated fair value estimate has inched up to US$194.38 from US$192.44 as analysts incorporate slightly higher long term growth and margin assumptions, reflected in recent price target increases and more constructive post earnings commentary. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are framing the recent fair value move in the context of a more constructive view on Twilio's execution and longer term growth path, citing recent price target changes and post earnings commentary.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 06

TWLO: Improved Execution And Communication Will Support Stronger Future Share Performance

Analysts have lifted their implied fair value estimate for Twilio from about US$175 to roughly US$192, reflecting updated assumptions on growth, margins and future P/E, and pointing to recent Street research that describes the company as "sounding better than expected" following its latest earnings report. Analyst Commentary JPMorgan lifted its price target on Twilio shares from US$140 to US$145 after the latest earnings update, while maintaining an Overweight stance and describing the company as "sounding better than expected." This move sits alongside broader bullish analyst commentary that is increasingly focused on how execution and profitability assumptions tie back to fair value.
분석 기사 • Jan 05

Twilio (NYSE:TWLO) Is Doing The Right Things To Multiply Its Share Price

If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...
내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 14

TWLO: Voice AI And RCS Momentum Will Drive Stronger Share Performance

Analysts modestly raised their Twilio fair value estimate to $175 from $170, citing improving post earnings sentiment, a supportive revenue outlook driven by growing voice AI and RCS infrastructure demand, and resilient profitability expectations despite a slightly higher discount rate. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlighted that the latest earnings update reinforced confidence in Twilio's execution, prompting upward revisions to price targets and reaffirmation of positive ratings.
내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 30

TWLO: Future Performance Will Reflect Rising Confidence in Voice AI Momentum

Analysts have raised their price target for Twilio by $5 to $145, citing improving company performance, positive AI infrastructure tailwinds, and growing confidence in Twilio's ability to sustain profitable growth. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates reflect predominantly constructive sentiment toward Twilio, emphasizing improvements in performance, valuation, and prospects for growth.
내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 16

TWLO: Improving Earnings Outlook and Voice AI Momentum Will Shape Future Performance

Twilio's analyst price target has been raised from $135.25 to $138.04, with analysts citing the company's improving earnings outlook, growing voice AI momentum, and a stronger outlook for profitable growth as key drivers of the upward revision. Analyst Commentary Recent updates from major research firms and analysts have underscored a shift in sentiment around Twilio's performance and prospects.
분석 기사 • Nov 04

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Twilio Inc. (NYSE:TWLO) With Shares Advancing 32%

Twilio Inc. ( NYSE:TWLO ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 32% after a shaky period beforehand...
내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 31

TWLO: Voice AI Momentum And Free Cash Flow Will Drive Measured Gains

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Twilio from $130.88 to $135.25. They cite an improved company outlook following strong earnings, growing voice AI momentum, and expectations for sustained free cash flow generation.
내러티브 업데이트 • Sep 04

AI Communications And Global Expansion Will Unlock Emerging Markets

Analysts have reiterated their confidence in Twilio’s long-term growth, AI-driven product enhancements, and upcoming pricing tailwinds, reinforcing its sector leadership and raising growth expectations, though the consensus price target decreased marginally from $131.31 to $130.88. Analyst Commentary Increased confidence in Twilio's ability to deliver durable, double-digit growth rates.
User avatar
새로운 내러티브 • May 26

Omnichannel Digital Communication And AI Integration Will Transform Global Markets

Strong adoption of AI-driven, omnichannel communications and API integration positions Twilio as essential infrastructure with expanding global reach and recurring revenue.
새로운 내러티브 • Apr 26

Overvalued

Lack of consistent profitability and predictable earnings.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 24

Twilio Remains Interesting, But Not Attractive Enough To Buy

Summary Twilio's shares have surged 39% since September, but despite impressive growth, the company's valuation and worsening net cash position warrant maintaining a 'hold' rating. Revenue growth is driven by the Communications segment, with a 12% increase to $1.12 billion in the latest quarter, despite a slight decline in Segment operations. Profitability metrics have improved significantly, yet the company's EV to EBITDA multiple of 73.1 and heavy stock-based compensation make it less attractive. The company's net cash position has declined due to significant stock buybacks, and I believe that capital could be better utilized for growth initiatives. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

이익 및 매출 성장 예측

NYSE:TWLO - 애널리스트 향후 추정치 및 과거 재무 데이터 (USD Millions)
날짜매출이익자유현금흐름영업현금흐름평균 애널리스트 수
12/31/20287,4047821,4551,56616
12/31/20276,6885391,2831,33428
12/31/20266,0001,3541,1311,21926
6/30/20265,5721,1499891,061N/A
3/31/20265,302104899965N/A
12/31/20255,067349451,003N/A
9/30/20254,89667783840N/A
6/30/20254,72920724781N/A
3/31/20254,583-34658717N/A
12/31/20244,458-109657716N/A
9/30/20244,339-462775830N/A
6/30/20244,239-594781832N/A
3/31/20244,194-729655703N/A
12/31/20234,154-1,015364415N/A
9/30/20234,103-87979134N/A
6/30/20234,052-1,220-264-188N/A
3/31/20233,958-1,377-414-335N/A
12/31/20223,826-1,256-335-254N/A
9/30/20223,644-1,318-319-234N/A
6/30/20223,402-1,060-254-165N/A
3/31/20223,127-965-172-80N/A
12/31/20212,842-950-148-58N/A
9/30/20212,547-838-88-5N/A
6/30/20212,255-731-1845N/A
3/31/20211,987-603-3822N/A
12/31/20201,762-491-2633N/A
9/30/20201,545-402-4730N/A
6/30/20201,392-373-3842N/A
3/31/20201,266-365N/A39N/A
12/31/20191,134-307N/A14N/A
9/30/20191,008-264N/A-3N/A
6/30/2019881-203N/A-25N/A
3/31/2019754-135N/A-18N/A
12/31/2018650-122N/A8N/A
9/30/2018561-94N/A17N/A
6/30/2018493-90N/A20N/A
3/31/2018441-73N/A11N/A
12/31/2017399-64N/A-3N/A
9/30/2017366-57N/A-1N/A
6/30/2017337-45N/A1N/A
3/31/2017305-49N/A7N/A
12/31/2016277-41N/A10N/A
9/30/2016247-37N/A0N/A
6/30/2016219-38N/A-2N/A
3/31/2016193-37N/A-9N/A
12/31/2015167-39N/A-19N/A
9/30/2015143-39N/A-20N/A

애널리스트 향후 성장 전망

수입 대 저축률: TWLO 의 수익은 향후 3년간 감소할 것으로 예상됩니다(연간 -27.5%).

수익 vs 시장: TWLO 의 수익은 향후 3년간 감소할 것으로 예상됩니다(연간 -27.5%).

고성장 수익: TWLO 의 수익은 향후 3년간 감소할 것으로 예상됩니다.

수익 대 시장: TWLO 의 수익(연간 10%)이 US 시장(연간 13.6%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.

고성장 매출: TWLO 의 수익(연간 10%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.

주당순이익 성장 예측

향후 자기자본이익률

미래 ROE: TWLO의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 12.3%로 낮을 것으로 예상됩니다.

성장 기업 찾아보기

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태

데이터최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간)
기업 분석2026/09/20 17:49
종가2026/09/18 00:00
수익2026/06/30
연간 수익2025/12/31

데이터 소스

당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.

패키지데이터기간미국 소스 예시 *
기업 재무제표10년
  • 손익계산서
  • 현금흐름표
  • 대차대조표
분석가 컨센서스 추정치+3년
  • 재무 예측
  • 분석가 목표주가
시장 가격30년
  • 주가
  • 배당, 분할 및 기타 조치
지분 구조10년
  • 주요 주주
  • 내부자 거래
경영진10년
  • 리더십 팀
  • 이사회
주요 개발10년
  • 회사 공시

* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.

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분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크

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산업 및 섹터 지표

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분석가 소스

Twilio Inc.는 43명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 28명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.

분석가기관
James KelleherArgus Research Company
William PowerBaird
Mark ShmulikBernstein