SPS Commerce, Inc.

NasdaqGS:SPSC 주식 리포트

시가총액: US$2.0b

SPS Commerce 향후 성장

Future 기준 점검 1/6

SPS Commerce (는) 각각 연간 16.5% 및 6.8% 수익과 수익이 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 16.2% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 18% 로 예상됩니다.

핵심 정보

16.5%

이익 성장률

16.19%

EPS 성장률

Software 이익 성장20.0%
매출 성장률6.8%
향후 자기자본이익률18.00%
애널리스트 커버리지

Good

마지막 업데이트14 May 2026

최근 향후 성장 업데이트

분석 기사 • Feb 15

SPS Commerce, Inc. Just Recorded A 5.8% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

One of the biggest stories of last week was how SPS Commerce, Inc. ( NASDAQ:SPSC ) shares plunged 22% in the week since...

Recent updates

내러티브 업데이트 • May 08

SPSC: Reset Expectations And Buybacks Will Reframe Sentiment Despite Softer Guidance

The analyst price target for SPS Commerce has been revised lower to $93.92 from $110.00, as analysts factor in softer revenue growth expectations, slightly reduced profit margin assumptions, and a lower future P/E multiple following recent target cuts across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on SPS Commerce has centered on recalibrating expectations after quarterly results and updated guidance, with several firms trimming price targets and, in some cases, ratings.
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 23

SPSC: Activist Sale Pressure Will Reframe Sentiment Despite Softer Guidance

Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on SPS Commerce, with several firms cutting estimates by $5 to $30 after Q4 revenue came in at the low end of guidance and the FY26 revenue outlook was set at 6% to 7% year over year, compared with a prior 7% to 8% range, reflecting ongoing headwinds in the business. Analyst Commentary Recent research on SPS Commerce has centered on the softer Q4 revenue outcome and the recalibrated FY26 revenue outlook of 6% to 7% year over year, which came in below the prior 7% to 8% range.
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 09

SPSC: Share Repurchases And Potential Sale Will Support Future Returns

Analysts have trimmed their blended price target on SPS Commerce by $0 overall, reflecting recent target cuts from several firms after Q4 revenue landed at the low end of guidance and the FY26 revenue growth outlook of 6% to 7% came in below the prior 7% to 8% range. Key model inputs such as fair value, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions remain essentially unchanged.
내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 25

SPSC: Activist Sale Pressure And AI Rollout Will Reframe Sentiment

Analysts have trimmed their blended price target on SPS Commerce by aligning with recent cuts to around $95, reflecting Q4 revenue at the low end of guidance and a FY26 revenue outlook of 6% to 7%, which sits below prior expectations as headwinds persist. Analyst Commentary Even with a reset in expectations around Q4 and the FY26 outlook, some bullish analysts still see room for SPS Commerce to execute on its long term model.
내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 11

SPSC: Activist Sale Push And AI Suite Will Reset Sentiment

We are lowering our fair value estimate for SPS Commerce to $110 from $125, reflecting analysts' reduced price targets after Q4 revenue landed at the low end of guidance and FY26 revenue growth guidance of 6% to 7% came in below prior expectations. Analyst Commentary Street research after the Q4 print has generally reset expectations lower for SPS Commerce, with several cuts to price targets and at least one downgrade to a more cautious rating.
내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 24

SPSC: Share Repurchases Will Support Returns As FY26 Headwinds Ease

Our updated narrative on SPS Commerce reflects a lower fair value estimate, moving from about $99.82 to $82.09. This is in line with recent analyst price target cuts that cite softer revenue trends, a more conservative 6% to 7% FY26 growth guide, and a reset to a lower future P/E assumption despite slightly higher projected profit margins.
분석 기사 • Feb 15

SPS Commerce, Inc. Just Recorded A 5.8% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

One of the biggest stories of last week was how SPS Commerce, Inc. ( NASDAQ:SPSC ) shares plunged 22% in the week since...
분석 기사 • Feb 12

More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For SPS Commerce, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SPSC) Shares After Tumbling 26%

SPS Commerce, Inc. ( NASDAQ:SPSC ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough...
내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 10

SPSC: Activist Sale Pressure And New Capabilities Will Support Sentiment Reset

Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for SPS Commerce at $125.00. Modest adjustments to assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E help explain the updated price target narrative.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 27

SPSC: Share Repurchases And New Products Will Offset Forecasting Setbacks

Analysts now see fair value for SPS Commerce at about US$99.82 per share, up from roughly US$98, as they factor in a slightly lower discount rate, steady revenue growth and margins, and a modestly higher future P/E, despite recent price target cuts tied to softer near term growth expectations and the Q3 revenue miss. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around SPS Commerce points to a more cautious stance overall, with several firms cutting ratings and reducing price targets after the Q3 revenue miss and updated guidance.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 11

SPSC: Share Repurchases And Product Expansion Will Support Sentiment Reset

Analysts have reset expectations on SPS Commerce, with published price targets moving from a prior range of around $125 to a band of roughly $80 to $110. This shift reflects concerns about constrained near term growth, Q3 revenue shortfalls, and softer guidance.
내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 25

SPSC: Share Repurchases Will Support Confidence After Growth Expectations Reset

Analysts have reset their outlook on SPS Commerce, cutting the price target from $230 to $125 as they factor in slower expected revenue growth, a higher discount rate and lower peer multiples, even as profit margins are modeled to improve. Analyst Commentary Recent research has highlighted a more cautious overall stance on SPS Commerce, with multiple firms lowering ratings and price targets in response to softer growth expectations and a weaker retail spending backdrop.
Seeking Alpha • Dec 17

SPS Commerce: Finally About To See Some Fundamental Support

Summary SPS Commerce has long been combining organic growth with M&A, while it traded at dazzling premiums. Slower organic growth triggered a huge setback in prices and expectations. Though slowing, growth remains solid as fundamental support comes in sight here. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 11

SPSC: Share Repurchases And Durable Cash Flows Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have sharply reduced their price targets on SPS Commerce to a range of $80 to $110 from prior levels as high as $170, citing constrained near term growth, a weaker retail end market, and tempered long term growth expectations despite the company’s still solid fundamentals. Analyst Commentary Street research reflects a more balanced but cautious stance on SPS Commerce, with recent notes highlighting both the durability of the business model and the near term pressures on growth, execution, and valuation.
분석 기사 • Dec 09

Returns On Capital At SPS Commerce (NASDAQ:SPSC) Have Stalled

What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? In a...
내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 27

SPSC: Share Buybacks And Cash Flow Will Drive Further Upside

Analysts have lowered their average price target for SPS Commerce. Reductions from firms such as Morgan Stanley, Needham, DA Davidson, and Cantor Fitzgerald cite weaker near-term growth prospects and the impact of a disappointing Q3 revenue performance.
내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 12

SPSC: Share Buybacks And Cash Flow Will Support Investor Confidence

Analysts have significantly reduced their price targets for SPS Commerce, lowering the fair value estimate from $142.27 to $98.00. They cite constrained near-term growth and ongoing headwinds in the retail end market as reasons for the adjustment.
내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 29

Recurring Revenue And Market Position Will Drive Potential Upside Into Year End

Analysts have recently reduced their price targets for SPS Commerce. New estimates generally fall in the $125 to $145 range, citing lower peer multiples and expectations for more moderate medium-term growth.
내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 14

Cloud-based EDI And Omni-Channel Analytics Will Strengthen Retail Supply Chains

Analysts have lowered their average price target on SPS Commerce by approximately $5.55. This adjustment reflects reduced peer multiples and slightly moderated growth expectations following recent earnings and investor updates.
내러티브 업데이트 • Sep 25

Cloud-based EDI And Omni-Channel Analytics Will Strengthen Retail Supply Chains

Analysts have trimmed their price targets for SPS Commerce to $147.82, citing the company’s transition to a more mature growth phase with tempered expectations and reduced upside catalysts, despite ongoing business model strength. Analyst Commentary SPS Commerce is perceived to have entered a more mature growth phase, prompting lower growth expectations.
분석 기사 • Jul 21

Calculating The Fair Value Of SPS Commerce, Inc. (NASDAQ:SPSC)

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, SPS Commerce fair value estimate is US$150 SPS Commerce's...
분석 기사 • Jul 03

SPS Commerce's (NASDAQ:SPSC) Returns Have Hit A Wall

Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...
분석 기사 • Jun 15

Earnings Tell The Story For SPS Commerce, Inc. (NASDAQ:SPSC)

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 63x SPS Commerce, Inc. ( NASDAQ:SPSC ) may be sending very bearish signals...
분석 기사 • Apr 28

Results: SPS Commerce, Inc. Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts

It's been a good week for SPS Commerce, Inc. ( NASDAQ:SPSC ) shareholders, because the company has just released its...
분석 기사 • Apr 25

If EPS Growth Is Important To You, SPS Commerce (NASDAQ:SPSC) Presents An Opportunity

For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...
분석 기사 • Apr 10

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of SPS Commerce, Inc. (NASDAQ:SPSC)

Key Insights The projected fair value for SPS Commerce is US$153 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With US$136...
Seeking Alpha • Mar 25

SPS Commerce: Interesting TAM Expansion And Appears Undervalued

Summary SPS Commerce offers cloud-based SCM software and has delivered strong returns since its IPO, despite recent share price corrections. SPSC's fundamentals are solid, with steady revenue growth, profitability, and expanding operating cash flow, making it a decent growth stock. Future growth catalysts include recurring revenue from acquisitions and tapping into Amazon's FBA seller ecosystem, presenting significant TAM opportunities. My conservative price target of $149.6 per share projects a 15% upside YoY, justifying a buy rating for SPSC. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
분석 기사 • Mar 25

Returns On Capital At SPS Commerce (NASDAQ:SPSC) Have Stalled

What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...
분석 기사 • Mar 07

Why We're Not Concerned Yet About SPS Commerce, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SPSC) 27% Share Price Plunge

The SPS Commerce, Inc. ( NASDAQ:SPSC ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial...
분석 기사 • Mar 04

Is SPS Commerce, Inc. (NASDAQ:SPSC) Potentially Undervalued?

SPS Commerce, Inc. ( NASDAQ:SPSC ), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention from a...
분석 기사 • Feb 17

SPS Commerce's (NASDAQ:SPSC) Earnings Seem To Be Promising

Despite posting healthy earnings, SPS Commerce, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:SPSC ) stock has been quite weak. Our analysis suggests...
분석 기사 • Jan 16

SPS Commerce, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SPSC) Price Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 11.5x SPS Commerce, Inc. ( NASDAQ:SPSC ) may be sending very bearish signals...
Seeking Alpha • Jan 04

SPS Commerce: Continued Dealmaking Adds To The Growth Path

Summary SPS Commerce continues strong growth with organic and M&A efforts, but high valuations and elevated multiples make it unattractive for investment despite solid track record. Recent acquisitions, including SupplyPike and Carbon6 Technologies, boost revenues but come with lower margins. Despite improved earnings projections, realistic earnings remain around $2 per share, making current valuation of 90 times earnings too high. Continued M&A activity and net cash balances support growth, but cautious stance remains due to demanding valuations and modest earnings improvements. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
분석 기사 • Jan 02

Estimating The Fair Value Of SPS Commerce, Inc. (NASDAQ:SPSC)

Key Insights The projected fair value for SPS Commerce is US$170 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity SPS...
분석 기사 • Dec 05

Is Now The Time To Put SPS Commerce (NASDAQ:SPSC) On Your Watchlist?

For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...
분석 기사 • Nov 08

Is SPS Commerce, Inc. (NASDAQ:SPSC) Potentially Undervalued?

SPS Commerce, Inc. ( NASDAQ:SPSC ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of...
분석 기사 • Oct 16

SPS Commerce (NASDAQ:SPSC) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital

There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Firstly, we'd want to identify a...
분석 기사 • Sep 28

SPS Commerce, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SPSC) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up

You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 12.4x SPS Commerce, Inc. ( NASDAQ:SPSC ) is a stock to...
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새로운 내러티브 • Aug 27

Critical Expansion And Advanced Technologies Propel Retail Supply Chain Leader To New Heights

Strategic acquisitions and expansion into supply chain optimization position SPS Commerce for revenue growth through upselling and leveraging retailer relationships.
분석 기사 • Aug 23

SPS Commerce (NASDAQ:SPSC) Ticks All The Boxes When It Comes To Earnings Growth

For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...

이익 및 매출 성장 예측

NasdaqGS:SPSC - 애널리스트 향후 추정치 및 과거 재무 데이터 (USD Millions)
날짜매출이익자유현금흐름영업현금흐름평균 애널리스트 수
12/31/20289211442212515
12/31/202785411919923812
12/31/20267989918321912
3/31/202676291167194N/A
12/31/202575293152179N/A
9/30/202573085148173N/A
6/30/202570483142166N/A
3/31/202567081141163N/A
12/31/202463877137157N/A
9/30/202461279131150N/A
6/30/202458472122140N/A
3/31/202456169127145N/A
12/31/202353766113132N/A
9/30/202351463102123N/A
6/30/20234936297119N/A
3/31/20234725897117N/A
12/31/20224515580100N/A
9/30/20224325290108N/A
6/30/2022415487695N/A
3/31/2022400477596N/A
12/31/20213854593113N/A
9/30/20213664584105N/A
6/30/20213474590106N/A
3/31/2021329468096N/A
12/31/2020313467289N/A
9/30/2020302417086N/A
6/30/2020293396279N/A
3/31/2020286366276N/A
12/31/201927934N/A72N/A
9/30/201927232N/A68N/A
6/30/201926431N/A62N/A
3/31/201925627N/A56N/A
12/31/201824824N/A55N/A
9/30/201824110N/A47N/A
6/30/20182344N/A35N/A
3/31/20182271N/A30N/A
12/31/20172200N/A31N/A
9/30/20172139N/A30N/A
6/30/20172069N/A28N/A
3/31/20172008N/A22N/A
12/31/20161935N/A19N/A
9/30/20161856N/A18N/A
6/30/20161765N/A21N/A
3/31/20161675N/A18N/A
12/31/20151595N/A14N/A
9/30/20151523N/A12N/A
6/30/20151443N/A12N/A

애널리스트 향후 성장 전망

수입 대 저축률: SPSC 의 연간 예상 수익 증가율(16.5%)이 saving rate(3.5%)보다 높습니다.

수익 vs 시장: SPSC 의 연간 수익(16.5%)이 US 시장(17%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.

고성장 수익: SPSC 의 수입은 증가할 것으로 예상되지만 상당히 증가하지는 않을 것입니다.

수익 대 시장: SPSC 의 수익(연간 6.8%)이 US 시장(연간 11.8%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.

고성장 매출: SPSC 의 수익(연간 6.8%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.

주당순이익 성장 예측

향후 자기자본이익률

미래 ROE: SPSC의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 18%로 낮을 것으로 예상됩니다.

성장 기업 찾아보기

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태

데이터최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간)
기업 분석2026/05/29 05:22
종가2026/05/29 00:00
수익2026/03/31
연간 수익2025/12/31

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분석가 소스

SPS Commerce, Inc.는 19명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 12명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.

분석가기관
Joseph VruwinkBaird
Jeffrey HoustonBarrington Research Associates, Inc.
Mark SchappelBenchmark Company