Microsoft (MSFT) 주식 개요
Microsoft Corporation은 전 세계적으로 소프트웨어, 서비스, 디바이스 및 솔루션을 개발하고 지원합니다. 자세히 보기
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Microsoft Corporation 경쟁사
가격 이력 및 성과
| 과거 주가 | |
|---|---|
| 현재 주가 | US$412.67 |
| 52주 최고가 | US$555.45 |
| 52주 최저가 | US$356.28 |
| 베타 | 1.09 |
| 1개월 변동 | -2.86% |
| 3개월 변동 | 2.73% |
| 1년 변동 | -9.77% |
| 3년 변동 | 25.66% |
| 5년 변동 | 66.87% |
| IPO 이후 변동 | 424,361.54% |
최근 뉴스 및 업데이트
Seeking Alpha • May 26
Microsoft: The $190B AI Infrastructure Trap Implies 20% Downside
Summary Microsoft faces significant risks from rising CapEx, AI competition, and margin compression, making current share prices unattractive for new investment. A thorough analysis of these risks, including their likelihood and impact, helps determine the true value of MSFT. Record CapEx—projected at $190 billion by 2026—risks an 'infrastructure trap,' with rapid asset obsolescence, declining ROIC, and potential overbuilding reminiscent of the Cisco scenario. I maintain a 'Sell' rating on MSFT, targeting a 20% correction to the $300–$350 range before considering long-term positions. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
새로운 내러티브 • May 21
Microsoft no es una apuesta. Es una franquicia global de la que se puede ser socio durante décadas.
Copilot me ha creado un investment memo ampliado al estilo Warren Buffett , usando exclusivamente datos verificables de Investor Relations de Microsoft (earnings, 10‑Q, reports) y manteniendo un tono sobrio, basado en principios de inversión a largo plazo. Investment Memo – Microsoft (MSFT) (Estilo Buffett: negocio, moat, retorno sobre capital, disciplina de precio) 1.
내러티브 업데이트 • May 11
Microsoft's enterprise cash-flow durability stays unmatched despite near-term margin pressures
Microsoft’s long‑term economic value remains grounded in the same core reality: the company’s enterprise cash‑flow durability continues to be unmatched. High‑retention subscription economics, entrenched operating‑system and productivity moats, and the scale advantages of Azure still anchor Microsoft’s intrinsic worth far more than any short‑term growth narrative.Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • May 26
Microsoft: The $190B AI Infrastructure Trap Implies 20% Downside
Summary Microsoft faces significant risks from rising CapEx, AI competition, and margin compression, making current share prices unattractive for new investment. A thorough analysis of these risks, including their likelihood and impact, helps determine the true value of MSFT. Record CapEx—projected at $190 billion by 2026—risks an 'infrastructure trap,' with rapid asset obsolescence, declining ROIC, and potential overbuilding reminiscent of the Cisco scenario. I maintain a 'Sell' rating on MSFT, targeting a 20% correction to the $300–$350 range before considering long-term positions. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha새로운 내러티브 • May 21
Microsoft no es una apuesta. Es una franquicia global de la que se puede ser socio durante décadas.
Copilot me ha creado un investment memo ampliado al estilo Warren Buffett , usando exclusivamente datos verificables de Investor Relations de Microsoft (earnings, 10‑Q, reports) y manteniendo un tono sobrio, basado en principios de inversión a largo plazo. Investment Memo – Microsoft (MSFT) (Estilo Buffett: negocio, moat, retorno sobre capital, disciplina de precio) 1.내러티브 업데이트 • May 11
Microsoft's enterprise cash-flow durability stays unmatched despite near-term margin pressures
Microsoft’s long‑term economic value remains grounded in the same core reality: the company’s enterprise cash‑flow durability continues to be unmatched. High‑retention subscription economics, entrenched operating‑system and productivity moats, and the scale advantages of Azure still anchor Microsoft’s intrinsic worth far more than any short‑term growth narrative.새로운 내러티브 • May 10
Microsoft will achieve a future PE ratio of 24.626979x by leveraging strong growth
Valuation In 3–5 years, I think Microsoft becomes even more dominant in enterprise AI, cloud infrastructure, and productivity software. Azure and Copilot are probably the biggest growth drivers, while Windows, Office, LinkedIn, GitHub, and gaming remain huge cash generators.분석 기사 • May 02
Microsoft Corporation Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions
Last week, you might have seen that Microsoft Corporation ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) released its third-quarter result to the...
내러티브 업데이트 • May 02
Microsoft Just Had a Quarter for the History Books. I Still Haven't Bought a Share.
In late March I told you the fundamentals were a fortress and the price had not caught up to the fear yet. The fear faded.
내러티브 업데이트 • May 02
MSFT: AI Infrastructure Self Sufficiency And Global Data Center Expansion Will Drive Leadership
Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on Microsoft, reflecting a lower assumed fair value of around $562 and a reduced future P/E of roughly 28x. This comes even as they continue to reference solid revenue growth assumptions and mixed reactions to recent OpenAI and AI infrastructure updates across the latest research reports.
새로운 내러티브 • Apr 30
AI Infrastructure And Enterprise Agents Will Reshape Long Term Earnings Power
Catalysts About Microsoft Microsoft is a global technology company that offers cloud services, productivity software, AI platforms, business applications, security products and consumer services. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 18
MSFT: AI Infrastructure Self Sufficiency And Heavy Data Center Commitments Will Sustain Leadership
Microsoft's analyst fair value estimate has been adjusted slightly lower to $579.57, as analysts factor in updated price targets that reflect a mix of reduced P/E assumptions, along with expectations for revenue growth and profit margins tied to AI and cloud spending. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Microsoft reflects a mix of optimism and caution as analysts recalibrate price targets and ratings around AI, cloud spending, and capital intensity.
새로운 내러티브 • Apr 16
AI Infrastructure Constraints Will Pressure Cloud Margins Yet Support Stable Long Term Earnings
Catalysts About Microsoft Microsoft is a global technology company that provides cloud services, productivity software, AI platforms and related hardware and services to enterprise, government and consumer customers. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?새로운 내러티브 • Apr 13
Microsoft Could Reach $600 Over the Next Five Years
Microsoft has a strong path to $600 over the next five years because it combines durable growth, elite profitability, and a leadership position in AI, cloud, and enterprise software. Its recurring revenue base makes earnings more predictable, while Azure, Microsoft 365, and its AI products give it multiple ways to compound value over time.내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 03
MSFT: AI Infrastructure Buildout And Self Sufficiency Will Support Long Duration Leadership
Microsoft's analyst price target has been modestly trimmed as the fair value estimate shifts from $594.62 to $587.31, reflecting a round of target reductions and mixed views on AI related risks and opportunities, even as several firms maintain positive long term opinions on the company's role in software and infrastructure. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary around Microsoft shows a split view, with many research houses trimming price targets while still seeing long term potential, and a smaller group turning more cautious on AI related execution risks, valuation, and competitive threats.새로운 내러티브 • Mar 29
Everyone's Terrified Microsoft Will Keep Spending. I'm Terrified They'll Stop.
Microsoft just burned $37.5 billion in 90 days. The stock has lost a third of its value.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 19
MSFT: AI Infrastructure Buildout And Self Sufficiency Will Support Long Duration Leadership
Analysts have made a small cut to the Microsoft analyst price target, trimming fair value by about $1 to $594.62 as they factor in a slightly higher discount rate, modest tweaks to long term revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a marginally lower future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Microsoft presents a mixed but detailed picture, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings as they recalibrate expectations around AI, capital spending, and long term growth assumptions.새로운 내러티브 • Mar 05
A Structured Counter‑Analysis of "The Leaking Dreadnought"
A Structured Counter‑Analysis of "The Leaking Dreadnought" Microsoft is not a leaking vessel drifting toward structural decline; it is a company in the middle of a capital‑intensive platform transition whose long‑term logic the article fundamentally misreads. The critique below addresses the article’s core claims and reframes them through the lens of Microsoft’s actual strategic architecture, economic model, and competitive position.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 05
MSFT: AI Infrastructure Self Sufficiency Will Support Long Duration Cloud Leadership
Narrative Update The analyst price target for Microsoft has been trimmed by a modest amount in dollar terms. Analysts are factoring in slightly lower revenue growth, a small step down in profit margin assumptions, a marginally higher discount rate, and a slightly richer future P/E multiple.새로운 내러티브 • Feb 22
Microsoft: Real‑Terms Economic Value Anchored in Durability, Not Growth Assumptions
Microsoft’s true economic value rests on its unmatched enterprise cash-flow durability, high-retention subscription model, and deep competitive moats in operating systems, productivity platforms, and cloud infrastructure. These produce stable, high-margin recurring cash flows capable of long-duration compounding under disciplined capital allocation.내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 18
MSFT: AI Self Sufficiency And Global Data Center Expansion Will Sustain Cloud Leadership
Our analyst price target for Microsoft has been nudged lower by a few dollars to reflect a slightly reduced fair value estimate of about $596, as analysts balance ongoing enthusiasm around AI driven capital spending with a wave of recent target trims. These largely stem from valuation discipline and concerns that prior long term assumptions, including P/E and margin expectations, may have been set too high.내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 04
MSFT: AI Infrastructure Partnerships And Data Center Expansion Will Sustain Cloud Leadership
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Microsoft by about $19 to $603, citing a blend of slightly higher discount rates, modestly stronger revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a lower future P/E multiple that reflects the recent wave of price target resets and still constructive, AI driven, long term views across recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research around Microsoft centers on how to value its AI opportunity, the required capital spending, and whether current expectations are too high or still leave room for upside.내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 21
MSFT: AI Infrastructure Buildout And OpenAI Partnership Will Sustain Cloud Leadership
Microsoft's updated analyst price target edges slightly lower, with fair value now at about $622.19, as analysts balance modest tweaks to the discount rate and P/E assumptions against ongoing AI related demand signals highlighted in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research around Microsoft clusters into two broad camps, with most commentary still constructive on AI driven growth and cloud execution, while a smaller group is more cautious on capital intensity and hyperscaler economics.내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 13
Microsoft (MSFT): When AI Becomes the Operating Layer of Work
Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) is no longer just a software company—it’s becoming the operating layer for modern work. Windows, Office, Azure, and now AI-powered copilots form an interconnected ecosystem that spans individual users, enterprises, and governments.내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 06
MSFT: AI Infrastructure Expansion And OpenAI Deal Will Support Durable Cloud Leadership
Our Microsoft price target edges down slightly to US$622.51 from US$624.45, as analysts balance ongoing enthusiasm around the company’s broad AI and cloud positioning with more cautious views on capital intensity and earnings expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Microsoft reflects a mix of optimism around the company’s AI and cloud positioning and a more cautious read on capital intensity and earnings risk.내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 18
MSFT: Expanded AI Partnerships And Infrastructure Will Drive Durable Cloud Leadership
Analysts have nudged their Microsoft price target slightly higher to approximately $650, reflecting confidence that the company's broadened AI partnerships, resilient Azure growth, and durable margin profile justify modestly stronger long term revenue and earnings assumptions despite rising capex and hyperscaler caution. Analyst Commentary Street research remains broadly constructive on Microsoft, with a cluster of recent notes highlighting the company as a primary beneficiary of accelerating AI adoption, robust cloud demand, and deepened model partnerships, even as a minority of voices urge greater caution around hyperscaler capital intensity and returns.내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 07
The Leaking Dreadnought
On the surface, Microsoft appears to be an unsinkable vessel. Buoyed by a trillion-dollar market cap and the explosive valuation of the AI sector, the company seems to be steaming ahead.내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 03
MSFT: Expanding AI Data Center Buildout Will Drive Durable Cloud And Platform Leadership
Our Microsoft analyst price target has been raised slightly to about $625 from roughly $625. This reflects analysts' view that durable double digit cloud and AI driven revenue growth, reinforced by expanded OpenAI and Anthropic partnerships and recent Q1 beats, more than offsets concerns about elevated capex and hyperscaler returns.분석 기사 • Nov 28
Shareholders Will Probably Hold Off On Increasing Microsoft Corporation's (NASDAQ:MSFT) CEO Compensation For The Time Being
Key Insights Microsoft to hold its Annual General Meeting on 5th of December CEO Satya Nadella's total compensation...내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 19
MSFT: Expanding AI Data Center Investments Will Drive Leadership In Next-Generation Cloud Services
Microsoft's analyst price target saw a modest decrease of approximately $2 to $624.83. Some analysts cite rising capital requirements and more cautious expectations for hyperscale cloud providers, despite continued confidence in the company's long-term AI and cloud positioning.내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 05
MSFT: Future Cloud Demand Will Drive Expansion In AI Infrastructure And Partnerships
Analysts have increased their price target for Microsoft by $5.62 to $626.65. They cite continued momentum in cloud growth, strengthened profit margins, and improving revenue growth expectations driven by Azure’s performance and expanded partnerships in artificial intelligence.내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 22
Analyst Commentary Highlights Microsoft AI Momentum and Upward Valuation Amid Growth and Competitive Risks
Microsoft’s analyst price target has been revised upward to $625 from $582, a $43 increase. Analysts point to ongoing AI strength, Azure momentum, and durable software growth as key drivers for the valuation boost.내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 08
AI And Cloud Services Will Shape Enterprise Future
Microsoft’s analyst price target has been raised from approximately $614 to $621. This reflects increased confidence among analysts in Azure’s accelerating growth, the company's robust positioning in the AI ecosystem, and recent capacity and customer mix enhancements.새로운 내러티브 • Aug 07
After the AI Party: A Sobering Look at Microsoft's Future
The world has been captivated by the artificial intelligence boom, and no company has ridden the wave of investor enthusiasm quite like Microsoft. Buoyed by its strategic partnership with OpenAI and the integration of AI across its product ecosystem, the company's valuation has soared to unprecedented heights.
새로운 내러티브 • Jul 21
From Legacy to Cloud: A Valuation of Microsoft’s Evolving Business Model
United States: 50.87%1-Year Revenue Growth = 16.83%주주 수익률
| MSFT | US Software | US 시장 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -2.0% | -1.0% | 1.3% |
| 1Y | -9.8% | -9.4% | 27.7% |
수익률 대 산업: MSFT은 지난 1년 동안 -9.4%의 수익을 기록한 US Software 산업과 동일한 성과를 보였습니다.
수익률 대 시장: MSFT은 지난 1년 동안 27.7%를 기록한 US 시장보다 저조한 성과를 냈습니다.
주가 변동성
| MSFT volatility | |
|---|---|
| MSFT Average Weekly Movement | 3.7% |
| Software Industry Average Movement | 9.5% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.6% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.0% |
안정적인 주가: MSFT는 지난 3개월 동안 US 시장에 비해 주가 변동성이 크지 않았습니다.
시간에 따른 변동성: MSFT의 주간 변동성(4%)은 지난 1년 동안 안정적이었습니다.
회사 소개
| 설립 | 직원 수 | CEO | 웹사이트 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 228,000 | Satya Nadella | www.microsoft.com |
Microsoft Corporation은 전 세계적으로 소프트웨어, 서비스, 디바이스 및 솔루션을 개발하고 지원합니다. 생산성 및 비즈니스 프로세스 부문에서는 Microsoft 365 상업용, 엔터프라이즈 모빌리티 + 보안, Windows 상업용, Power BI, Exchange, SharePoint, Microsoft 팀, 보안 및 규정 준수, 코파일럿, Windows 상업용 온-프레미스 및 Office 라이선스 서비스와 같은 Microsoft 365 상업용 제품, Microsoft 365 소비자 구독, 온-프레미스 Office 라이선스 및 기타 소비자 서비스, LinkedIn, Dynamics 365, 클라우드 기반 애플리케이션, 온-프레미스 ERP 및 CRM 애플리케이션 같은 Dynamics 제품 및 클라우드 서비스 등을 제공합니다. 인텔리전트 클라우드 부문에서는 Azure 및 기타 클라우드 서비스, GitHub, 뉘앙스 헬스케어, 가상 데스크톱 제품 및 기타 클라우드 서비스로 구성된 서버 제품 및 클라우드 서비스, SQL 및 윈도우 서버, 비주얼 스튜디오 및 시스템 센터 관련 클라이언트 액세스 라이선스, 기타 온프레미스 제품을 포함한 서버 제품, 기업 지원 및 뉘앙스 전문 서비스, 산업 솔루션, Microsoft 파트너 네트워크 및 학습 경험 등의 기업 및 파트너 서비스 등을 제공합니다.
Microsoft Corporation 기초 지표 요약
| MSFT 기초 통계 | |
|---|---|
| 시가총액 | US$3.09t |
| 순이익 (TTM) | US$125.22b |
| 매출 (TTM) | US$318.27b |
24.5x
주가수익비율(P/E)9.6x
주가매출비율(P/S)MSFT는 고평가되어 있습니까?
공정 가치 및 평가 분석 보기순이익 및 매출
| MSFT 손익계산서 (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| 매출 | US$318.27b |
| 매출원가 | US$100.86b |
| 총이익 | US$217.41b |
| 기타 비용 | US$92.19b |
| 순이익 | US$125.22b |
최근 보고된 실적
Mar 31, 2026
다음 실적 발표일
해당 없음
| 주당순이익(EPS) | 16.86 |
| 총이익률 | 68.31% |
| 순이익률 | 39.34% |
| 부채/자본 비율 | 9.7% |
MSFT의 장기 실적은 어땠습니까?
과거 실적 및 비교 보기| Microsoft 배당 일정 | |
|---|---|
| 배당락일 | May 21 2026 |
| 배당 지급일 | Jun 11 2026 |
| 배당락일까지 남은 일수 | 8 days |
| 배당 지급일까지 남은 일수 | 13 days |
MSFT는 안정적으로 배당을 지급합니까?
MSFT 배당 기록 및 벤치마크 보기기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태
| 데이터 | 최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간) |
|---|---|
| 기업 분석 | 2026/05/27 11:09 |
| 종가 | 2026/05/27 00:00 |
| 수익 | 2026/03/31 |
| 연간 수익 | 2025/06/30 |
데이터 소스
당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.
| 패키지 | 데이터 | 기간 | 미국 소스 예시 * |
|---|---|---|---|
| 기업 재무제표 | 10년 |
| |
| 분석가 컨센서스 추정치 | +3년 |
|
|
| 시장 가격 | 30년 |
| |
| 지분 구조 | 10년 |
| |
| 경영진 | 10년 |
| |
| 주요 개발 | 10년 |
|
* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.
별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.
분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크
이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.
Simply Wall St 분석 모델을 설계하고 구축한 세계적 수준의 팀에 대해 알아보세요.
산업 및 섹터 지표
산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.
분석가 소스
Microsoft Corporation는 97명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 53명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.
| 분석가 | 기관 |
|---|---|
| Kadambari Daptardar | Accountability Research Corporation |
| Harshit Gupta | Accountability Research Corporation |
| Adam Shepherd | Arete Research Services LLP |