Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited

NYSE:TSM 주식 리포트

시가총액: US$1.6t

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing 향후 성장

Future 기준 점검 4/6

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (는) 각각 연간 17.5% 및 17.5% 수익과 수익이 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 17.8% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 31% 로 예상됩니다.

핵심 정보

17.5%

이익 성장률

17.78%

EPS 성장률

Semiconductor 이익 성장24.4%
매출 성장률17.5%
향후 자기자본이익률31.05%
애널리스트 커버리지

Good

마지막 업데이트17 Feb 2026

최근 향후 성장 업데이트

Recent updates

Is Taiwan Semiconductor Too Expensive Now?

Feb 19

TSMC will drive future growth with CoWoS packaging and N2 rollout

Catalysts Are there any products or services that could move sales or earnings meaningfully? The meat moving the needle right now is CoWoS packaging.

The "Geopolitical Discount" vs. The Monopolistic Floor: The Two Narratives of TSM

TSM is a tug-of-war between Monopoly Cash Flows and the Geopolitical Risk Premium. While the market fixates on "transistor density" and fab locations, a 5-year DCF analysis reveals a more grounded reality: TSM is currently the only global entity capable of generating massive Unlevered Free Cash Flow (UFCF) while simultaneously acting as the world’s most critical industrial bottleneck.

TSMC: Irrational Selloff Is A Gift (Technical Analysis)

Apr 25

TSMC Is A Complete Steal

Apr 18

TSMC Earnings Preview, AI Strength Faces Tariff Headwinds

Apr 12

Taiwan Semiconductor: Be Greedy When Others Are Fearful

Mar 31

TSMC: 2nm Is On Track For Mass Production

Mar 25

Taiwan Semiconductor: Set To Capture Majority Of AI Profits

Mar 16

TSMC Holds All The Cards And Why That Spells Opportunity

Mar 09

TSMC: The Backbone Of The AI Industry Continues To Be Undervalued

Feb 28

Taiwan Semiconductor: Another Buying Opportunity Materializes (Technical Analysis) (Rating Upgrade)

Feb 19

TSMC: AI Foundry Leader For GPUs And ASICs

Feb 11

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing: AI Growth Play At A Reasonable Valuation

Jan 31

Why Taiwan Semiconductor Is A Buy: Capitalizing On AI And HPC Trends

Jan 24

TSMC's Q4 2024 Earnings Outperformance: 3 Reasons To Buy Here

Jan 16

TSMC To Deliver A Robust Quarter

Jan 09

TSMC: Why I Took Profits (Rating Downgrade)

Dec 31

TSMC: Market Outperformance Expected, Driven By N2 Advancements And Strong ASIC Demand

Dec 23

TSMC: A Chinese Invasion Of Taiwan Would Devastate Global Markets And Itself

Dec 02

Taiwan Semiconductor: A Golden Buying Opportunity

Nov 22

Taiwan Semiconductor: Greater Certainty In Stormy AI Race

Nov 11

Taiwan Semiconductor: Don't Discount The Competition

Oct 26

Taiwan Semiconductor Q3 Earnings: 'Demand Right Now Is Insane'

Oct 18

Taiwan Semiconductor: One Of The Best (And Cheapest) AI Plays

Oct 12

TSMC: Still A Long-Term Buy Given Its Technological Leadership And AI Growth Story

Oct 06

TSMC: 2nm Wafers Can Outperform The Already Strong Ramp In 3nm Wafers

Sep 25

Taiwan Semiconductor: Valuation Dips Go Great With Chips

Sep 12

Taiwan Semiconductor: Chip Giant Is Still A Buy Despite Short-Term Risks

Sep 05

Taiwan Semiconductor: Still Buy On AI

Aug 29

TSMC: A Huge Opportunity To Buy The Crown Jewel Of Semiconductors

Aug 07

TSMC: Focus On Fundamentals, Ignore The Noise

Jul 31

TSMC: Buy Status Vs. Rising Geopolitical Risks

Jul 25

3 Key Takeaways From TSMC's Q2 2024 Beat And Raise

Jul 18

TSMC: Taiwan Discount

Jul 11

TSMC: Strategic Alliances Lift Stock To New All-Time Highs

Jul 01

Taiwan Semiconductor: A Sure Bet On AI

Jun 25

TSMC: By Far The Strongest Chip Company

Jun 18

TSMC: One Of The Cheapest Big Tech/AI Stocks

Jun 10

Taiwan Semiconductor Stock: April Sales Soar From Advanced Nodes

Jun 04

TSMC: Derisking China Invasion Threats

May 17

TSMC: Charting A Path To $185

May 08

Third Point - Taiwan Semiconductor: The 'Toll Road' For AI Compute

May 02
User avatar

Narrative update from Goran Damchevski

TSMC reported a Q1 revenue of $18.87B, representing a growth of 12.9% YoY, and a 3.8% decrease in QoQ. The performance was driven by demand for high performance compute (HPC), which was negatively off

Taiwan Semiconductor Stock Is Breaking Out (Technical Analysis)

Apr 17

TSMC: Don't Be Ruined By Over-Optimism (Downgrade)

Apr 09

TSMC: Robust Growth To Continue

Apr 03

Semiconductor Demand will likely persist from the likes of AI, IoT, and 5G

AI Chip Boom: TSMC’s quarterly revenue surged at its fastest pace in over a year, thanks to the global boom in AI development. The demand for high-end chips and servers, particularly those used in AI

Best Chip Stock To Ride The AI Frenzy: Taiwan Semiconductor (SA Quant)

Mar 26

Taiwan Semiconductor: A Long-Term Winner Amidst Short-Term Hype

Mar 15

Taiwan Semiconductor Raising Prices 8.7% In 2024 As Revenue Growth Underperforms Customers

Mar 05
User avatar

Narrative update from Stjepan Kalinic

The company reported strong Q4 earnings in January, beating the upper end of guidance on revenue and operating margin.

Investing In Innovation: Why Taiwan Semiconductor Is A Smart Choice For Long-Term Growth

Feb 21
User avatar

High Growth Opportunities And Categorical Risk Factors Increase The Range Of TSMC’s Valuation

TSMC is the current leader in chip manufacturing, boasting the most advanced technology and a strong customer base

Taiwan Semiconductor: Highly Wanted Advanced Technology

Feb 05

Taiwan Semiconductor: Beijing Is A Threat

Jan 29

Taiwan Semiconductor Is Becoming A Dividend Growth Machine

Jan 23

TSMC: DPP Taiwan Election Win Could Mean Greater Risks For The Stock

Jan 17

TSMC Is Probably The Most Important Company In The World Right Now

Jan 11

TSMC: Major Apple Risk Persists But Stock Still Investible (Rating Upgrade)

Jan 01

TSMC Vs. Intel: Only 1 Can Win

Dec 24

Taiwan Semiconductor: The 800-Pound Chip Gorilla That's An Underappreciated Play On AI

Nov 25

Taiwan Semiconductor: Taking The Temperature Of AI

Nov 14

Taiwan Semiconductor: Bottoming Semiconductor Cycle With Increasingly Diversified Footprint

Oct 27
User avatar

Political Status Quo Will Result in Stable Growth

A geopolitical status quo means TSMC can remain the market leader

이익 및 매출 성장 예측

NYSE:TSM - 애널리스트 향후 추정치 및 과거 재무 데이터 (TWD Millions)
날짜매출이익자유현금흐름영업현금흐름평균 애널리스트 수
12/31/20287,442,6003,349,9172,132,5074,683,45311
12/31/20276,161,8032,850,0351,830,1803,709,47833
12/31/20264,978,1562,329,3031,382,8763,056,80737
12/31/20253,809,0541,717,8831,002,5652,274,976N/A
9/30/20253,631,4251,571,931883,5842,169,672N/A
6/30/20253,401,1991,444,887929,3342,134,836N/A
3/31/20253,140,9171,294,459900,8492,015,440N/A
12/31/20242,894,3081,158,380861,3521,826,177N/A
9/30/20242,651,3751,050,542828,6741,600,801N/A
6/30/20242,438,416936,285711,3821,503,454N/A
3/31/20242,245,747870,238457,1381,293,034N/A
12/31/20232,161,736851,740286,6351,241,967N/A
9/30/20232,161,739872,083212,6631,334,020N/A
6/30/20232,228,149941,949290,8701,452,073N/A
3/31/20232,281,448997,177493,9951,623,674N/A
12/31/20222,263,891992,923520,9851,610,599N/A
9/30/20222,076,549882,678511,6991,501,917N/A
6/30/20221,878,076758,070495,1491,407,925N/A
3/31/20221,716,081655,402394,1701,256,515N/A
12/31/20211,587,415592,359263,9241,112,161N/A
9/30/20211,510,759565,933294,262993,092N/A
6/30/20211,452,515546,985256,398864,557N/A
3/31/20211,391,068533,448275,468847,452N/A
12/31/20201,339,255510,744305,885822,666N/A
9/30/20201,294,959499,838164,307766,490N/A
6/30/20201,231,578463,598115,551718,072N/A
3/31/20201,161,878409,54180,383665,498N/A
12/31/20191,069,985353,948145,387615,139N/A
9/30/20191,042,519341,134N/A601,557N/A
6/30/20191,009,821329,136N/A553,886N/A
3/31/20191,002,099334,662N/A565,899N/A
12/31/20181,031,474363,053N/A573,954N/A
9/30/20181,019,274352,320N/A588,708N/A
6/30/20181,011,033353,174N/A611,409N/A
3/31/2018991,611347,154N/A585,036N/A
12/31/2017977,447344,998N/A585,318N/A
9/30/2017962,104341,492N/A566,412N/A
6/30/2017970,403348,326N/A576,038N/A
3/31/2017978,357354,561N/A579,314N/A
12/31/2016947,938331,714N/A539,835N/A
9/30/2016889,230303,161N/A499,287N/A
6/30/2016841,329281,731N/A491,017N/A
3/31/2016824,959288,642N/A495,408N/A
12/31/2015843,497302,851N/A529,879N/A
9/30/2015862,500304,142N/A538,876N/A
6/30/2015859,045305,144N/A511,982N/A
3/31/2015836,625285,425N/A482,663N/A

애널리스트 향후 성장 전망

수입 대 저축률: TSM 의 연간 예상 수익 증가율(17.5%)이 saving rate(3.4%)보다 높습니다.

수익 vs 시장: TSM 의 연간 수익(17.5%)이 US 시장(15.7%)보다 빠르게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.

고성장 수익: TSM 의 수입은 증가할 것으로 예상되지만 상당히 증가하지는 않을 것입니다.

수익 대 시장: TSM 의 수익(연간 17.5%)이 US 시장(연간 10.3%)보다 빠르게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.

고성장 매출: TSM 의 수익(연간 17.5%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.

주당순이익 성장 예측

향후 자기자본이익률

미래 ROE: TSM의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 31%로 높을 것으로 예상됩니다.

성장 기업 찾아보기

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태

데이터최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간)
기업 분석2026/02/22 23:42
종가2026/02/20 00:00
수익2025/12/31
연간 수익2025/12/31

데이터 소스

당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.

패키지데이터기간미국 소스 예시 *
기업 재무제표10년
  • 손익계산서
  • 현금흐름표
  • 대차대조표
분석가 컨센서스 추정치+3년
  • 재무 예측
  • 분석가 목표주가
시장 가격30년
  • 주가
  • 배당, 분할 및 기타 조치
지분 구조10년
  • 주요 주주
  • 내부자 거래
경영진10년
  • 리더십 팀
  • 이사회
주요 개발10년
  • 회사 공시

* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.

별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.

분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크

이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델의 세부 정보는 우리의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있으며, 보고서를 활용하는 방법에 대한 가이드와 유튜브 튜토리얼도 제공하고 있습니다.

Simply Wall St 분석 모델을 설계하고 구축한 세계적 수준의 팀에 대해 알아보세요.

산업 및 섹터 지표

산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.

분석가 소스

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited는 65명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 37명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.

분석가기관
Ge BaiABCI Securities Company Limited
Stefan ChangAletheia Analyst Network Limited
Brett SimpsonArete Research Services LLP