Carvana Co.

NYSE:CVNA 주식 리포트

시가총액: US$81.4b

Carvana 향후 성장

Future 기준 점검 4/6

Carvana (는) 각각 연간 17.5% 및 18.3% 수익과 수익이 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 10.9% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 33% 로 예상됩니다.

핵심 정보

17.5%

이익 성장률

10.92%

EPS 성장률

Specialty Retail 이익 성장9.7%
매출 성장률18.3%
향후 자기자본이익률33.02%
애널리스트 커버리지

Good

마지막 업데이트13 May 2026

최근 향후 성장 업데이트

Recent updates

내러티브 업데이트 • May 04

CVNA: Higher Multiple Expectations Will Confront Ongoing Margin And Execution Risks

Carvana's analyst price target has been updated from $307.90 to $351.40. Analysts generally point to recent broad based target increases and a willingness to assign a higher future P/E multiple, despite more cautious assumptions on revenue growth and profit margins.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 30

Carvana: In A Class Of Its Own With Furious Growth Rates

Summary Carvana is delivering rapid growth, outpacing the used car industry with ~40% unit sales growth and strong Q1 results. CVNA's reconditioning capacity and completed capex support scaling to 1.5 million units annually, with further real estate available for expansion to 3 million units (vs. ~750k run rate today). Despite a premium valuation—31.3x EV/FY26 EBITDA—the company's secular growth and margin expansion targets support a 'growth at a reasonable price' thesis. I reiterate a 'Buy' rating, citing the aggressive long-term targets: 3 million units sold annually at a 13.5% adjusted EBITDA margin by 2030-2035. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 20

CVNA: Retail Unit Expansion And Vertically Integrated Model Will Drive Future Upside

Carvana's updated analyst price target of $519, down from $600, reflects analysts factoring in recent Q4 profitability shortfalls and softer near term unit guidance, while still crediting the company's share gains, vertically integrated model, and defended position against AI disintermediation. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a cluster of price target trims after Carvana's Q4 report, but the tone across much of the Street still leans constructive.
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 06

CVNA: Retail Unit Expansion And AI Resilience Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts now place Carvana's price target at $519, reflecting a recalibration that weighs recent target cuts tied to Q4 margin pressure and softer near term guidance, while also considering views that AI disintermediation risks are limited and that unit growth and market share gains remain central to the long term story. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed but generally constructive picture around Carvana, with price targets reset to reflect Q4 margin pressure and softer near term guidance, while still leaning on the long term growth story.
내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 23

CVNA: TAM Expansion And Defensible E Commerce Model Will Drive Future Execution Risk

Carvana's updated analyst price target has moved from about $481 to roughly $429 as analysts factor in ongoing retail unit and EBITDA headwinds, while still highlighting the company's defensible e commerce model and share gains in a fragmented used vehicle market as key supports to the long term story. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Carvana clusters around a common theme, with analysts trimming price targets while still pointing to a resilient e commerce model, share gains in used vehicles and potential upside from newer growth areas like new car sales.
내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 08

CVNA: Expanding New Car Footprint And AI Resilience Will Drive Future Upside

Carvana's analyst fair value estimate has been reset from $600 to $519, as analysts balance recent Q4 margin and EBITDA pressures against still supportive views on unit growth, share gains in used cars, and reduced concerns around AI driven disintermediation. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research highlights a mix of valuation resets and continued confidence in Carvana's ability to grow units and defend its business model, even as Q4 EBITDA and margin pressures weigh on near term sentiment.
내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 22

CVNA: Margin Pressures And Short Report Risks Will Confront Index Inclusion Benefits

Analysts have reduced our Carvana fair value estimate by about $22 to $307.90. This reflects recent target cuts that account for near-term margin pressure after Q4 misses, alongside ongoing expectations for scale, share gains in used vehicles, and improved profitability over time.
새로운 내러티브 • Feb 16

The Vending Machine’s Paradox: Efficiency vs. Gravity

The February 18th Reckoning Carvana reports on Wednesday, February 18, 2026 , into a market that has treated it like a high-flying tech stock rather than a car dealer. The narrative for this quarter is "Peak Leverage." After a 2025 where CVNA was one of the top performers in the S&P 500, analysts are looking for more than just a "beat." They are looking for proof that Carvana can maintain its $7,000+ Gross Profit per Unit (GPU) while aggressively scaling volume.
분석 기사 • Feb 13

Carvana Co. (NYSE:CVNA) Shares Slammed 27% But Getting In Cheap Might Be Difficult Regardless

The Carvana Co. ( NYSE:CVNA ) share price has softened a substantial 27% over the previous 30 days, handing back much...
내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 08

CVNA: Expanding Market Reach Into New Car Sales Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts nudged their price target for Carvana higher to $600 from $550, citing a mix of refined growth and profitability assumptions, modestly lower discount rates, and a higher future P/E multiple supported by recent research that highlights both expanding total addressable market opportunities and pushback against short seller claims. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Carvana has been active, with a mix of higher and lower price targets, rating changes, and fresh views on how the business model and total addressable market could influence valuation.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 25

CVNA: TAM Expansion And S&P 500 Inclusion Will Shape Future Execution Risk

Analysts have lifted their implied fair value for Carvana by about $62 per share to roughly $481, citing a higher assumed future P/E multiple and an improved profit margin outlook, supported by recent price target increases and total addressable market expansion themes across several research notes. Analyst Commentary Bullish and cautious views on Carvana are both coming through in recent research, and they often tie back to how much value analysts see in the company’s expansion efforts and its ability to execute against that opportunity.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 11

CVNA: Expanding Market Reach And Credit Improvements Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts maintained their Carvana fair value estimate at $550.00 and made slight adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions in response to higher price targets, expanding TAM expectations, and continued Buy and Overweight ratings across major firms. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are broadly constructive on Carvana, with a cluster of Buy and Overweight ratings paired with price targets that sit well above the current fair value estimate.
내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 27

CVNA: Improving Credit Performance Will Drive Future Upside In Shares

Analysts have raised their Carvana fair value estimate to $550 from $532.59, citing stronger expected revenue growth, modestly higher long term profit margins, and a premium future earnings multiple. This change is driven by growing conviction in the company’s competitive position and potential upside to current unit forecasts.
분석 기사 • Dec 20

After Leaping 37% Carvana Co. (NYSE:CVNA) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar

Carvana Co. ( NYSE:CVNA ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 37% after a shaky period beforehand. The...
내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 13

CVNA: Unit Growth And Credit Performance Will Drive Shares Higher

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Carvana higher to about $533 from $500, citing a series of recent price target hikes and upgrades that emphasize sustained unit growth, an improving competitive position in used autos, and what they view as an attractive risk or reward profile despite macro and credit concerns. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts continue to frame the recent pullback in Carvana shares as a temporary pause in a longer growth trajectory, emphasizing that valuation still screens attractive relative to the company’s execution record and unit growth outlook.
내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 29

CVNA: Market Share Will Expand As Operational Execution Drives Consistent Outperformance

Carvana's analyst fair value target has been slightly reduced by less than $1 to $419.45, as analysts balance consistent growth and operational improvements with ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties and evolving industry dynamics. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research provides a diverse range of perspectives on Carvana, highlighting both optimism around the company's growth prospects and concerns linked to macroeconomic factors and credit exposure.
내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 15

CVNA: Operational Momentum And Credit Flexibility Will Support Market Share Gains

The analyst average price target for Carvana has been modestly reduced from $423.90 to $419.67. Analysts are weighing strong operational momentum and robust e-commerce platform performance against persistent macro and credit headwinds in the used vehicle market.
내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 31

CVNA: Operational Momentum And Market Share Gains Will Sustain Strong Outperformance

Carvana's analyst price target has been raised slightly to $423.90 from $423.60. Analysts cite sustained strong unit sales and resilience in consumer auto credit trends as supporting rationale.
내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 17

Online Vehicle Retail And AI Integration Will Redefine Future Markets

Analysts have modestly increased Carvana's fair value estimate from $421.95 to $423.60. They cite sustained fundamental strength, improved loss trends, and positive industry positioning in spite of ongoing macroeconomic headwinds.
내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 03

Online Vehicle Retail And AI Integration Will Redefine Future Markets

Carvana's analyst price target increased by $7.75 to $421.95, as analysts cite continued market share gains, stronger profitability, and resilient fundamentals despite evolving competitive dynamics in the digital auto retail sector. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst reports on Carvana highlight a mix of optimism regarding the company’s continued outperformance, as well as caution surrounding valuation and market challenges.
분석 기사 • Jul 22

Is Carvana (NYSE:CVNA) Using Too Much Debt?

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
분석 기사 • Jul 02

Is Carvana Co. (NYSE:CVNA) Worth US$338 Based On Its Intrinsic Value?

Key Insights Carvana's estimated fair value is US$254 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Carvana's US$338 share...
Seeking Alpha • Mar 25

Carvana: A Comeback Possible With Tariff Easing

Summary Carvana's stock price has declined ~6% YTD after a strong gain earlier in the year, mainly due to market concerns over tariffs and high valuations. Despite a negative market reaction, Carvana's 4Q24 earnings showed strong retail sales growth, improved efficiency, and a significant rise in adjusted EBITDA margin. Current 1Q25 trends indicate continued robust retail unit sales growth and increased inventory rising to meet more demand. Carvana's strong market position and operational infrastructure, coupled with potential easing of tariff concerns, present a compelling rebound opportunity at current valuation levels. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

이익 및 매출 성장 예측

NYSE:CVNA - 애널리스트 향후 추정치 및 과거 재무 데이터 (USD Millions)
날짜매출이익자유현금흐름영업현금흐름평균 애널리스트 수
12/31/202842,4992,9191,6512,39310
12/31/202734,6032,2921,6171,84122
12/31/202627,7571,7527111,49521
3/31/202622,5221,441740911N/A
12/31/202520,3221,4078891,036N/A
9/30/202518,266629546666N/A
6/30/202516,274563615724N/A
3/31/202514,8443989491,049N/A
12/31/202413,673210827918N/A
9/30/202412,55017534619N/A
6/30/202411,668714738815N/A
3/31/202411,226638897970N/A
12/31/202310,771450716803N/A
9/30/202311,184-242173303N/A
6/30/202311,797-1,307-595-394N/A
3/31/202312,713-1,487-1,121-797N/A
12/31/202213,604-1,587-1,836-1,324N/A
9/30/202214,520-870-2,375-1,757N/A
6/30/202214,614-619-2,666-1,942N/A
3/31/202214,066-359-3,350-2,655N/A
12/31/202112,814-135-3,151-2,594N/A
9/30/202110,888-109-2,063-1,583N/A
6/30/20218,952-84-1,955-1,572N/A
3/31/20216,734-147-1,324-972N/A
12/31/20205,587-171-968-608N/A
9/30/20204,864-149-1,119-769N/A
6/30/20204,414-172-951-637N/A
3/31/20204,283-152-988-711N/A
12/31/20193,940-115N/A-757N/A
9/30/20193,421-96N/A-585N/A
6/30/20192,861-83N/A-530N/A
3/31/20192,350-74N/A-497N/A
12/31/20181,955-61N/A-414N/A
9/30/20181,636-90N/A-348N/A
6/30/20181,326-77N/A-318N/A
3/31/20181,060-70N/A-278N/A
12/31/2017859-64N/A-200N/A
9/30/2017701-100N/A-211N/A
6/30/2017574-98N/A-201N/A
3/31/2017451-95N/A-235N/A
12/31/2016365-93N/A-240N/A
9/30/2016301-23N/A-175N/A
12/31/2015130-37N/A-54N/A

애널리스트 향후 성장 전망

수입 대 저축률: CVNA 의 연간 예상 수익 증가율(17.5%)이 saving rate(3.5%)보다 높습니다.

수익 vs 시장: CVNA 의 연간 수익(17.5%)이 US 시장(16.7%)보다 빠르게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.

고성장 수익: CVNA 의 수입은 증가할 것으로 예상되지만 상당히 증가하지는 않을 것입니다.

수익 대 시장: CVNA 의 수익(연간 18.3%)이 US 시장(연간 11.6%)보다 빠르게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.

고성장 매출: CVNA 의 수익(연간 18.3%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.

주당순이익 성장 예측

향후 자기자본이익률

미래 ROE: CVNA의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 33%로 높을 것으로 예상됩니다.

성장 기업 찾아보기

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태

데이터최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간)
기업 분석2026/05/13 13:55
종가2026/05/13 00:00
수익2026/03/31
연간 수익2025/12/31

데이터 소스

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패키지데이터기간미국 소스 예시 *
기업 재무제표10년
  • 손익계산서
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  • 대차대조표
분석가 컨센서스 추정치+3년
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시장 가격30년
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지분 구조10년
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경영진10년
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주요 개발10년
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산업 및 섹터 지표

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분석가 소스

Carvana Co.는 47명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 22명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.

분석가기관
Craig KennisonBaird
John BabcockBarclays
Gary PrestopinoBarrington Research Associates, Inc.