Eli Lilly 향후 성장
Future 기준 점검 3/6
Eli Lilly (는) 각각 연간 16.7% 및 12.4% 수익과 수익이 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 16.9% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 49.9% 로 예상됩니다.
핵심 정보
16.7%
이익 성장률
16.86%
EPS 성장률
| Pharmaceuticals 이익 성장 | 14.4% |
| 매출 성장률 | 12.4% |
| 향후 자기자본이익률 | 49.90% |
| 애널리스트 커버리지 | Good |
| 마지막 업데이트 | 14 May 2026 |
최근 향후 성장 업데이트
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • May 10
Eli Lilly: 'Strong Buy' Raised Revenue Guidance By $2 Billion For 2026 And Label Expansions
Summary Eli Lilly remains a 'strong buy' as I see robust revenue growth across obesity, diabetes, immunology, and oncology franchises. LLY’s MOUNJARO and ZEPBOUND delivered Q1 2026 revenues of $8.66B [+125%] and $4.16B [+80%] respectively, driving a 56% YoY total revenue increase. Pipeline momentum is strong: FOUNDAYO launched, Retatrutide and Eloralintide advanced, and EBGLYSS/JAYPIRCA show double-digit growth with label expansion catalysts ahead. I maintain my 'strong buy' rating, reinforced by a $2B increase of full-year 2026 revenue guidance and multiple near-term clinical/regulatory milestones expected. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
내러티브 업데이트 • May 07
LLY: Obesity Pricing Pressure And Safety Headlines Will Shape Future Franchise Economics
Analysts have raised Eli Lilly's implied fair value from $883.99 to $899.73 after several firms increased their price targets by $1 to $50, citing confidence in the obesity and diabetes pipeline, Foundayo's regulatory progress, and clarifications around recent safety concerns. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Eli Lilly reflects a mix of enthusiasm around obesity and diabetes assets and a clearer, more cautious minority that is focused on how much optimism is already reflected in the stock.
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 20
LLY: Obesity And Diabetes Platform Will Support Premium Positioning Beyond 2030
Analysts have slightly raised their average price targets on Eli Lilly in recent weeks, citing supportive trial updates in obesity and diabetes, favorable comparisons to competing GLP-1 therapies, and regulatory progress that they say supports high but unchanged fair value estimates of around $1,500. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Eli Lilly has been active, with a cluster of price target moves, rating changes, and product specific notes that give you a clearer sense of how professionals are framing the risk and reward.
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 06
LLY: Oral GLP-1 Launch And Capacity Expansion Will Drive Future Obesity Upside
Analysts have nudged Eli Lilly's price target slightly higher by $1, reflecting updated views on obesity and diabetes franchises following recent Foundayo approval commentary and comparative GLP-1 data. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Eli Lilly clusters around obesity and diabetes, pricing dynamics in GLP-1 therapies, and the implications of new product approvals and trial readouts for long term growth and valuation.
새로운 내러티브 • Mar 25
Eli Lilly: A Pipeline-Driven Growth Story Trading 30% Below What the Business Is Actually Worth
Eli Lilly already runs one of the fastest-growing drug businesses on earth, and its most powerful drug is not even approved yet. WHERE THE STOCK SITS TODAY The current price is around $907 (25/03/2026).내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 23
LLY: Obesity And Diabetes Franchise Strength Will Support Premium Positioning
Analysts have raised their price target for Eli Lilly to $1,500, citing updated models that reflect slightly stronger assumed revenue growth, a marginally higher profit margin profile, and continued confidence in the obesity and diabetes franchises following recent trial data and supportive sell side research. Analyst Commentary Recent research highlights a split view on Eli Lilly, with some bullish analysts leaning into the obesity and diabetes opportunity set, while at least one more cautious voice questions how much growth is already reflected in the share price.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 09
LLY: Obesity Drug Leadership And Pipeline Catalysts Will Sustain Premium Positioning
The updated analyst price target for Eli Lilly has increased to $1,490.52 from $1,429.89. Analysts highlight the obesity and GLP-1 franchise, premium valuations tied to weight loss leadership, and potential upside from pipeline and acquisition catalysts as key factors supporting this change.내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 23
LLY: GLP-1 Obesity Leadership Will Drive Future Cardiometabolic And M&A Upside
Eli Lilly's analyst price targets have shifted higher, with our fair value estimate moving from $1,093.22 to $1,211.21, as analysts point to sustained GLP-1 obesity leadership, premium valuation support, and an expanding cardiometabolic pipeline as key drivers of their updated views. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Eli Lilly clusters around a few clear themes, with bullish analysts focusing on obesity leadership, cardiometabolic breadth, and M&A, while more cautious voices watch valuation and execution risk around the pipeline.내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 08
LLY: Government Pricing Deals Will Compress Obesity Franchise Economics Going Forward
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Eli Lilly from US$770 to about US$884 per share, reflecting updated assumptions on long term obesity opportunities, recent price target increases across several firms, and steady expectations around margins and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary The latest batch of research on Eli Lilly revolves around its weight loss and cardiometabolic franchises, expectations for new product launches, and the implications of recent policy developments on pricing and access.분석 기사 • Feb 07
Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE:LLY) Just Released Its Yearly Earnings: Here's What Analysts Think
Investors in Eli Lilly and Company ( NYSE:LLY ) had a good week, as its shares rose 2.0% to close at US$1,058 following...내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 25
LLY: Government GLP 1 Pricing Deals Will Pressure Obesity Margins
Analysts have nudged their price targets on Eli Lilly slightly higher, citing continued confidence in the obesity and GLP 1 franchise, supportive government pricing agreements, and potential upside from acquisitions and pipeline catalysts, even as some firms fine tune their models and individual targets by low single digit amounts such as Guggenheim's recent US$2 trim. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Eli Lilly has been dominated by optimism around obesity treatments and government pricing agreements, but there is also a pocket of caution that is worth paying attention to if you are thinking about valuation, execution and long term growth risk.내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 11
LLY: GLP-1 Pricing Deals Will Pressure Obesity Margins Going Forward
Analysts lifted their fair value estimate for Eli Lilly from US$650 to US$770, citing higher assumed profit margins, a slightly higher discount rate, updated expectations for revenue growth and future P/E, and continued Street support related to the obesity franchise, GLP-1 pricing agreements, and pipeline catalysts. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Eli Lilly has been dominated by views on obesity drugs, pricing agreements with the U.S. government, and the company’s expanding pipeline.내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 27
LLY: GLP-1 Pricing Deals And Policy Will Shape Future Obesity Leadership And Risks
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Eli Lilly to approximately $1,093 from about $1,024, reflecting expectations for stronger long term GLP 1 driven revenue growth, expanding profit margins and sustained leadership in the obesity market, supported by recent U.S. reimbursement and pricing deals. Analyst Commentary Street research remains broadly constructive on Eli Lilly, with a series of upward price target revisions and fresh coverage initiations underscoring confidence in the durability of its GLP 1 franchise and broader innovation pipeline.내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 13
LLY: Government Access Deals Will Drive Durable Obesity And Diabetes Leadership
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Eli Lilly shares from approximately $1,170 to about $1,430 per share, reflecting higher expected profitability and sustained leadership in the GLP 1 obesity and diabetes market, supported by recent U.S. government access deals and upcoming launches such as orforglipron. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts continue to frame Eli Lilly as a core beneficiary of the expanding obesity and diabetes treatment market, with valuation upside tied to both higher GLP 1 penetration and a broadening metabolic pipeline.내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 29
LLY: Upcoming Price Discounts And Policy Decisions Will Influence Drug Market Leadership And Risks
Eli Lilly's analyst price target has increased by approximately $21 to $1,024. Analysts cite earnings upside, expanding obesity drug opportunities, and recently announced government reimbursement agreements as key drivers of improved growth and profitability expectations.분석 기사 • Nov 25
Investors Appear Satisfied With Eli Lilly and Company's (NYSE:LLY) Prospects As Shares Rocket 30%
Despite an already strong run, Eli Lilly and Company ( NYSE:LLY ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 30% in...
내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 21
GLP-1 drugs part of medicare
Short update, this is more bullish news about the demand for GLP-1 drugs in general spurring growth in this type of weight loss drug. Also, earnings report have showed that increase in earnings have been driven by increase in volume of GLP-1 drugs.내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 15
LLY: Upcoming Drug Price Reductions and Policy Debates Will Shape Future Opportunities and Risks
The analyst price target for Eli Lilly has increased by over $80 to approximately $1,003 per share. Analysts point to accelerating revenue growth, higher profit margins, and ongoing strength in the company's obesity drug franchise as drivers of greater long-term value.분석 기사 • Nov 07
Eli Lilly (NYSE:LLY) Posted Healthy Earnings But There Are Some Other Factors To Be Aware Of
Eli Lilly and Company's ( NYSE:LLY ) stock was strong after they recently reported robust earnings. However, we think...내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 01
LLY: Upcoming Drug Launches And Global Expansion Will Shape Future Outlook
Eli Lilly’s fair value estimate has increased from $891.62 to $919.33. This reflects analysts' upward price target revisions following stronger than expected quarterly results and an improved earnings outlook.새로운 내러티브 • Sep 19
Eli Lilly's Future Growth Driven by Tirzepatide and Favorable Market Conditions
Catalysts Mounjaro/Zepbound: Lilly’s tirzepatide franchise is the engine of growth. Mounjaro (for type 2 diabetes) and Zepbound (obesity) each grew rapidly in 2024.이익 및 매출 성장 예측
| 날짜 | 매출 | 이익 | 자유현금흐름 | 영업현금흐름 | 평균 애널리스트 수 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 110,484 | 44,966 | 34,942 | 45,556 | 23 |
| 12/31/2027 | 98,047 | 37,835 | 28,665 | 39,750 | 28 |
| 12/31/2026 | 85,401 | 30,987 | 20,789 | 32,208 | 24 |
| 3/31/2026 | 72,249 | 25,277 | 10,586 | 20,480 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 65,179 | 20,640 | 6,182 | 16,813 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 59,421 | 18,412 | 7,037 | 16,063 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 53,259 | 13,800 | 550 | 10,939 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 49,004 | 11,106 | -669 | 9,318 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 45,043 | 10,590 | 1,015 | 8,818 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 40,863 | 8,370 | -2,275 | 6,032 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 38,923 | 7,342 | -2,024 | 4,510 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 35,932 | 6,138 | -2,292 | 3,676 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 34,124 | 5,240 | -1,548 | 4,240 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 32,073 | 4,988 | 1,469 | 6,215 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 29,516 | 6,498 | 3,307 | 6,242 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 27,691 | 5,687 | 3,881 | 6,793 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 28,541 | 6,245 | 4,696 | 7,586 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 29,240 | 6,033 | 5,404 | 8,080 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 29,071 | 5,692 | 4,950 | 7,494 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 29,323 | 6,129 | 5,824 | 8,086 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 28,318 | 5,582 | 5,604 | 7,366 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 27,759 | 5,972 | 4,621 | 6,919 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 26,726 | 6,071 | 4,837 | 7,095 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 25,486 | 6,093 | 5,565 | 7,815 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 24,540 | 6,194 | 4,471 | 6,500 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 23,214 | 5,573 | 5,112 | 6,648 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 22,950 | 5,618 | 4,890 | 6,352 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 23,087 | 5,533 | 3,684 | 4,908 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 22,320 | 4,638 | N/A | 4,837 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 21,843 | 4,264 | N/A | 4,322 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 21,673 | 4,103 | N/A | 4,933 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 21,622 | 2,545 | N/A | 5,399 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 21,493 | 3,151 | N/A | 5,525 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 22,016 | 372 | N/A | 5,819 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 22,368 | -166 | N/A | 5,579 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 22,607 | 1,074 | N/A | 5,712 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 19,974 | -86 | N/A | 5,616 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 22,471 | 2,225 | N/A | 5,879 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 22,005 | 2,447 | N/A | 5,659 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 21,585 | 2,187 | N/A | 5,410 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 21,222 | 2,738 | N/A | 4,851 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 20,837 | 2,444 | N/A | 3,841 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 20,605 | 2,466 | N/A | 3,284 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 20,179 | 2,319 | N/A | 2,830 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 19,959 | 2,408 | N/A | 2,965 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 19,704 | 2,359 | N/A | 3,318 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 19,620 | 2,059 | N/A | 3,905 | N/A |
애널리스트 향후 성장 전망
수입 대 저축률: LLY 의 연간 예상 수익 증가율(16.7%)이 saving rate(3.5%)보다 높습니다.
수익 vs 시장: LLY 의 연간 수익(16.7%)이 US 시장(16.7%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 수익: LLY 의 수입은 증가할 것으로 예상되지만 상당히 증가하지는 않을 것입니다.
수익 대 시장: LLY 의 수익(연간 12.4%)이 US 시장(연간 11.6%)보다 빠르게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 매출: LLY 의 수익(연간 12.4%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
주당순이익 성장 예측
향후 자기자본이익률
미래 ROE: LLY의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 49.9%로 매우 높을 것으로 예상됩니다.
성장 기업 찾아보기
기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태
| 데이터 | 최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간) |
|---|---|
| 기업 분석 | 2026/05/14 22:12 |
| 종가 | 2026/05/14 00:00 |
| 수익 | 2026/03/31 |
| 연간 수익 | 2025/12/31 |
데이터 소스
당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.
| 패키지 | 데이터 | 기간 | 미국 소스 예시 * |
|---|---|---|---|
| 기업 재무제표 | 10년 |
| |
| 분석가 컨센서스 추정치 | +3년 |
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| 시장 가격 | 30년 |
| |
| 지분 구조 | 10년 |
| |
| 경영진 | 10년 |
| |
| 주요 개발 | 10년 |
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* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.
별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.
분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크
이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.
Simply Wall St 분석 모델을 설계하고 구축한 세계적 수준의 팀에 대해 알아보세요.
산업 및 섹터 지표
산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.
분석가 소스
Eli Lilly and Company는 53명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 28명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.
| 분석가 | 기관 |
|---|---|
| David Toung | Argus Research Company |
| Emily Field | Barclays |
| Kerry Holford | Berenberg |