Karuna Therapeutics, Inc.

NasdaqGM:KRTX 주식 리포트

시가총액: US$12.6b

This company has been acquired

The company may no longer be operating, as it has been acquired. Find out why through their latest events.

Karuna Therapeutics 향후 성장

Future 기준 점검 5/6

Karuna Therapeutics (는) 각각 연간 60.1% 및 52.1% 수익과 수익이 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 60.1% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 -28.9% 로 예상됩니다.

핵심 정보

60.1%

이익 성장률

60.08%

EPS 성장률

Biotechs 이익 성장25.3%
매출 성장률52.1%
향후 자기자본이익률-28.93%
애널리스트 커버리지

Good

마지막 업데이트16 Mar 2024

최근 향후 성장 업데이트

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha Feb 18

Karuna Therapeutics: Getting Sold Short

Summary Karuna Therapeutics is developing a novel product, KarXT, to treat psychoses related to Alzheimer's and schizophrenia. The product targets muscarinic receptors in an agonist/antagonist combination. Some shareholders are suing to prevent the acquisition of Karuna by Bristol-Myers Squibb. Also, the vote is outstanding. The 10% or so deal spread seems small. While the chance that the deal falls through would be bad for the short-term performance of Karuna, it may be a buying moment considering the imminent release and size of markets. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Sep 09

Karuna Therapeutics: This Ship Has Sailed

Summary Karuna produced excellent data from its phase 3 trial. They have a boatload of cash. Speaking of boats, however, this ship has already sailed. Since my last coverage of Karuna Therapeutics, Inc. (KRTX) just over a year back, the stock has nearly tripled after posting strong results from its schizophrenia trial, meeting the primary endpoint of that trial. That was a month back, and even though the company took the opportunity to carry out a massive $600mn secondary, the dilution hasn’t put a dent in public enthusiasm. The stock is still going strong, although it is back down a few notches. From my previous coverage of the company, they were running a 246-patient phase 3 trial called EMERGENT-2, and 3 more phase 3 trials in the EMERGENT series, in their lead candidate KarXT in acutely psychotic patients with a DSM-5 diagnosis of schizophrenia. KarXT is a differentiated antipsychotic molecule that combines muscarinic-agonist xanomeline and muscarinic-antagonist trospium chloride together. While xanomeline works in the CNS, trospium helps avoid undesirable, cholinergic side effects that arise due to the stimulation of muscarinic receptors in peripheral tissues. The FDA has guided that “data from EMERGENT-1 [a phase 2 study], one successful Phase 3 efficacy and safety trial, and additional safety data to meet regulatory requirements would be acceptable to support NDA filing in schizophrenia.” The first two phase 3 studies were supposed to have toplined in early 2022. In August, the company announced positive data from the EMERGENT-2 trial. This was a double blind, placebo controlled trial done entirely in the United States. It enrolled 252 adult patients with a confirmed diagnosis of schizophrenia who were experiencing symptoms of psychosis. The primary endpoint was change from baseline in Positive and Negative Syndrome Scale ((PANSS)) total score, a scale for measuring schizophrenia symptom severity, of KarXT compared to placebo at Week 5. The trial resoundingly met its primary endpoint, with KarXT demonstrating a statistically significant 9.6-point reduction in PANSS Total Score compared to placebo at Week 5 (p<0.0001). The trial also met key secondary endpoints. Data include: 2.9-point reduction in the PANSS positive subscale with KarXT compared to placebo (-6.8 KarXT vs. -3.9 placebo, p<0.0001). 1.8-point reduction in the PANSS negative subscale with KarXT compared to placebo (-3.4 KarXT vs. -1.6 placebo, p=0.0055). 2.2-point reduction in the PANSS negative Marder factor subscale with KarXT compared to placebo (-4.2 KarXT vs. -2.0 placebo, p=0.0022). The PANSS scores are used to measure positive symptoms (e.g., hallucinations or delusions) and negative symptoms (e.g., difficulty enjoying life or withdrawal from others) of schizophrenia. Benefit in the negative symptoms has historically been difficult to achieve. The trial’s Cohen’s d effect size of 0.61 compares well “to that of widely used and multibillion-dollar blockbusters Risperdal and Zyprexa (about a 0.5 effect size),” according to William Blair analysts. The drug was generally well-tolerated with little differentiation from placebo. There was transient increase in heart rate, which subsided as the trial ended. Importantly, KarXT was not associated with known side effects of current treatments. As FierceBiotech noted: The clinical trial studied KarXT, a xanomeline formulation designed to address the problems that led Lilly to give up on the molecule despite generating evidence of efficacy. Lilly found the M1 agonist improved cognition in Alzheimer’s disease patients in the 1990s, only for tolerability to stop the program. Karuna sought to address the tolerability problems by giving xanomeline with a peripherally restricted molecule that blocks receptors at the root of the issues without crossing the blood-brain barrier to limit efficacy.
Seeking Alpha Aug 08

Karuna Therapeutics GAAP EPS of -$2.17 misses by $0.10, revenue of $5.28M

Karuna Therapeutics press release (NASDAQ:KRTX): Q2 GAAP EPS of -$2.17 misses by $0.10. Revenue of $5.28M. The Company ended the quarter with $407.4 million in cash, cash equivalents and available-for-sale investment securities compared to $494.0 million as of December 31, 2021. The Company expects that current cash, cash equivalents and available-for-sale investment securities as of June 30, 2022 will enable the Company to fund its operating expenses and capital expenditure requirements for at least 12 months following the potential NDA submission of KarXT for the treatment of psychosis in adults with schizophrenia. Shares +8.29% PM.
Seeking Alpha Jun 26

Karuna Therapeutics: Front-Running KarXT Phase 3

Treatments for schizophrenia – a truly complex disease--are plagued with a high late-stage trial failure rate. Phase 3 KarXT results will be released this quarter. It will be a binary event. Despite cash balance issues and new clinical stage competitors, market  indicators suggest that investors are re-engaged.

이익 및 매출 성장 예측

NasdaqGM:KRTX - 애널리스트 향후 추정치 및 과거 재무 데이터 (USD Millions)
날짜매출이익자유현금흐름영업현금흐름평균 애널리스트 수
12/31/20266903830634411
12/31/2025257-331-155-23315
12/31/202461-445-426-44116
12/31/20231-434-389-386N/A
9/30/20236-396-356-354N/A
6/30/20236-354-305-303N/A
3/31/202311-316-280-279N/A
12/31/202211-276-229-228N/A
9/30/202242-228-158-156N/A
6/30/202242-202-143-140N/A
3/31/202237-172-133-130N/A
12/31/202137-144-104-101N/A
9/30/2021N/A-140-119-117N/A
6/30/2021N/A-108-97-96N/A
3/31/2021N/A-90-83-83N/A
12/31/2020N/A-69-70-70N/A
9/30/2020N/A-52-54-54N/A
6/30/2020N/A-43-40-39N/A
3/31/2020N/A-41-33-33N/A
12/31/2019N/A-44-31-31N/A
9/30/2019N/A-45-31-31N/A
6/30/2019N/A-42-25-25N/A
3/31/2019N/A-27-21-21N/A
12/31/2018N/A-18-16-15N/A

애널리스트 향후 성장 전망

수입 대 저축률: KRTX 은 향후 3년 동안 수익을 낼 것으로 예상되며, 이는 절약률(2.3%)보다 빠른 성장으로 간주됩니다.

수익 vs 시장: KRTX (는) 향후 3년 동안 평균 시장 성장보다 높은 수익을 올릴 것으로 예상됩니다.

고성장 수익: KRTX 향후 3년 내에 수익을 낼 것으로 예상됩니다.

수익 대 시장: KRTX 의 수익(연간 52.1%)이 US 시장(연간 11.7%)보다 빠르게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.

고성장 매출: KRTX 의 수익(연간 52.1%)은 연간 20%보다 빠르게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.


주당순이익 성장 예측


향후 자기자본이익률

미래 ROE: KRTX는 3년 뒤에도 수익성이 없을 것으로 전망됩니다.


성장 기업 찾아보기

기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태

데이터최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간)
기업 분석2024/03/18 20:05
종가2024/03/15 00:00
수익2023/12/31
연간 수익2023/12/31

데이터 소스

당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.

패키지데이터기간미국 소스 예시 *
기업 재무제표10년
  • 손익계산서
  • 현금흐름표
  • 대차대조표
분석가 컨센서스 추정치+3년
  • 재무 예측
  • 분석가 목표주가
시장 가격30년
  • 주가
  • 배당, 분할 및 기타 조치
지분 구조10년
  • 주요 주주
  • 내부자 거래
경영진10년
  • 리더십 팀
  • 이사회
주요 개발10년
  • 회사 공시

* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.

별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.

분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크

이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.

Simply Wall St 분석 모델을 설계하고 구축한 세계적 수준의 팀에 대해 알아보세요.

산업 및 섹터 지표

산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.

분석가 소스

Karuna Therapeutics, Inc.는 17명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 16명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.

분석가기관
Caroline PalomequeBerenberg
Esther Lannie HongBerenberg
Jason Matthew GerberryBofA Global Research