Porch Group 향후 성장
Future 기준 점검 3/6
Porch Group은 연간 수입과 매출이 각각 98.1%와 12.2% 증가할 것으로 예상되고 EPS는 연간 99.6%만큼 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
핵심 정보
98.1%
이익 성장률
99.57%
EPS 성장률
| Insurance 이익 성장 | 1.5% |
| 매출 성장률 | 12.2% |
| 향후 자기자본이익률 | n/a |
| 애널리스트 커버리지 | Good |
| 마지막 업데이트 | 03 Aug 2026 |
최근 향후 성장 업데이트
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Aug 03
Porch Group: Q2 Delivered In Most Aspects, But Loss Ratio Is A Concern
Summary Porch Group (PRCH) demonstrates a durable edge in homeowners insurance via proprietary inspection data and selective funnel management, supporting a Buy rating and $20 price target. Q2 2026 results validate PRCH’s ability to convert data advantage into 38% policy growth and 126% Insurance Services Adjusted EBITDA growth, with strong 87% gross and 48% EBITDA margins. PRCH’s selective customer acquisition, unconstrained by rate filings, enables precise margin management, but rapid new policy growth raises questions about loss ratio durability as the book ages. Valuation at 15.7x 2026E EBITDA implies 30–45% upside; monitoring attritional loss ratio by policy vintage is critical for confirming scalable selection advantage. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
내러티브 업데이트 • Aug 01
PRCH: Excess Insurance Capital Will Support Future Underwriting And Coverage Upside
Analysts have lifted their average price target on Porch Group to about $19.42 from $16.25, citing updated views on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions based on recent research commentary. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Porch Group highlights a mix of optimism about the company’s long term potential and caution around what the current share price already reflects.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jul 06
PRCH: Elevated Execution Risks Will Pressure Confidence In Future Profitability
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Porch Group from $13.00 to $12.00, reflecting updated views on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E following recent research coverage and price target adjustments. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Porch Group has centered on updated price targets and the risk profile around execution, revenue growth and long term profitability.내러티브 업데이트 • Jun 22
PRCH: Capital Optimization And Coverage Resumption Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have modestly raised their average price target on Porch Group by $1, supported by recent resumed coverage and updated research that reiterates a constructive view on the stock's long term prospects. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage on Porch Group reflects a generally constructive stance, with analysts updating their work to support the revised price targets and long term view on the stock.내러티브 업데이트 • Jun 02
PRCH: Coverage Resumption And Insurance Footprint Expansion Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have raised their price targets on Porch Group by $1, citing renewed coverage with an Overweight rating and supportive views on the company from several recent research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage on Porch Group centers on renewed analyst attention and modestly higher price targets.내러티브 업데이트 • May 16
PRCH: Coverage Resumption And Higher P/E Assumptions Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have nudged the Porch Group fair value estimate slightly lower to $16.25, while price targets have been lifted by around $1 in recent research. This reflects updated assumptions around growth, margins and future P/E multiples.내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 28
PRCH: Recent Upgrade And 2026 Outlook Will Support Higher Earnings Multiple
Porch Group's analyst price target has shifted slightly, with a recalibrated fair value of about $16.29 per share, as analysts adjust their models following recent upgrades and a higher target from Keefe Bruyette. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Porch Group has centered on the upgraded rating and the revised price target, which now clusters around a fair value estimate of about $16.29 per share.내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 09
PRCH: Upgraded Risk Profile Will Support Confidence In 2026 Earnings Multiple
Analysts have raised their price target on Porch Group by $1.50, citing recent upgrades and updated views on key inputs such as the discount rate, long-term revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the recent upgrade as a sign that key assumptions on revenue growth and profit margins now better reflect the company’s current execution path, which supports a higher valuation range.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 26
PRCH: Refreshed Risk Assumptions Will Support Confidence In 2026 Margin Outlook
Analysts have raised their price target on Porch Group by $1.50, citing updated research that supports a refreshed view on the company’s valuation drivers and risk profile. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the higher price target as a reflection of updated work on Porch Group’s key valuation drivers, suggesting more confidence in how its core business model is being assessed.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 11
PRCH: Updated Risk Assumptions Will Support Confidence In Long Term Margin Potential
Analysts have raised their price target on Porch Group by $1.50, citing updated assumptions on the discount rate and long-term P/E. These revisions keep fair value unchanged at $16.38 while reflecting updated views on the company’s risk profile and earnings potential.내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 25
PRCH: Recent Upgrade Will Support Confidence In Future Margin Expansion Potential
Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for Porch Group from $17.63 to $16.38, citing updated assumptions on growth, margins, discount rate, and future P/E following recent price target increases and an upgrade highlighted in Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Porch Group has focused on valuation assumptions and the rationale behind the updated fair value estimate, using the latest price target move and upgrade as key reference points.내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 10
PRCH: Steady Forecast Assumptions Will Support Future Margin Expansion Potential
Analysts have maintained their average price target for Porch Group at US$17.63, noting that only minor adjustments to assumptions such as discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E were made, which did not materially change their view of the stock's value. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate: Held steady at US$17.63 per share, with no change between the prior and updated assessment.분석 기사 • Feb 05
Porch Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:PRCH) Not Doing Enough For Some Investors As Its Shares Slump 28%
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Porch Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PRCH ) share price has dived 28% in the last thirty...내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 26
PRCH: Narrowed 2025 Revenue Guidance Will Support Future Margin Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Porch Group by about $0.50 to reflect slightly lower assumptions for fair value, revenue growth, and profit margins, along with a higher discount rate and P/E multiple. What's in the News Porch Group issued updated earnings guidance for Porch Shareholder Interest for full year 2025, giving investors a fresh reference point for its medium term outlook (Key Developments).내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 12
PRCH: Expanded Property Data Coverage Will Support Future Margin Upside
Narrative Update on Analyst Price Target for Porch Group Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for Porch Group steady at US$18.13 while making small adjustments to inputs such as the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions. These revisions reflect fine tuning of their models rather than a major shift in outlook.내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 25
PRCH: Property Data Expansion Will Support 30% Future EBITDA Margin Potential
Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target on Porch Group to 18.13 dollars, reflecting slightly higher discount rate assumptions and marginally lower long term margin expectations, while maintaining a robust future earnings multiple. What's in the News Raised full year 2025 Porch Shareholder Interest revenue guidance to a range of 410 million to 420 million dollars, narrowing and slightly lifting the low end from the prior 405 million to 425 million dollar outlook (Corporate guidance) Expanded the Home Factors property intelligence platform with new and enhanced attributes, including electrical panel and sub panel location, roof life stage segmentation, and updated plumbing material indicators (Company product announcement) Stated goal for Home Factors to offer over 100 property attributes covering about 90 percent of U.S. homes, deepening carriers' visibility into interior and exterior home conditions for underwriting and pricing (Company product announcement) Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate: Unchanged at 18.13 dollars per share, indicating no revision to the intrinsic value assessment despite minor model tweaks.내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 11
PRCH: Reciprocal Model Will Support 30% Future EBITDA Margin Expansion
Analysts have raised their price target on Porch Group from $17 to $25 per share, citing expectations for sustained 20% to 25% annual premium growth, improved protection from weather related losses, expanding reciprocal take rates, and a path toward significantly higher EBITDA margins. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts view the higher price target as a reflection of Porch Group's ability to sustain premium growth in the 20% to 25% range, arguing that this level of expansion supports a structurally higher revenue base and justifies multiple expansion.내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 27
PRCH: Reciprocal Insurance Margins Will Expand With Scalable Policy Volumes
Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for Porch Group slightly lower, from $18.75 to $18.13 per share. This change is based on updated growth assumptions and expanded profit margin projections following recent company discussions.분석 기사 • Nov 13
Porch Group's (NASDAQ:PRCH) Shareholders May Want To Dig Deeper Than Statutory Profit
Porch Group, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:PRCH ) stock didn't jump after it announced some healthy earnings. We think that investors...내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 06
PRCH: Reciprocal Insurance Model Will Drive Margin Upside Amid Capital-Light Shift
The analyst price target for Porch Group was revised down from $19.75 to $18.75. This reflects analyst expectations for slower revenue growth and profit margin compression, despite some positive developments highlighted in recent research updates.내러티브 업데이트 • Sep 23
Fee-Based Model Transition And Data Expansion Will Shape Our Future
Analysts have sharply raised Porch Group’s price target to $19.75, citing outperformance in insurance profitability, scalable premium growth, margin expansion potential, and a new capital-light structure that enhances valuations and financial flexibility. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts see significant room for scaling policies and believe premium growth can reach 20%-25% annually, above prior expectations.분석 기사 • Aug 29
Porch Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PRCH) Share Price Boosted 26% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too
Porch Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PRCH ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month alone...분석 기사 • Jul 01
Porch Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:PRCH) Shares Fly 29% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth
Porch Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PRCH ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 29% gain in the last month alone...분석 기사 • May 09
Porch Group, Inc. Just Reported A Surprise Profit And Analysts Updated Their Estimates
Shareholders will be ecstatic, with their stake up 77% over the past week following Porch Group, Inc. 's ( NASDAQ:PRCH...분석 기사 • Apr 25
Porch Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PRCH) 31% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Revenues
The Porch Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PRCH ) share price has softened a substantial 31% over the previous 30 days, handing...
새로운 내러티브 • Mar 28
Fee-Based Model Transition And Data Expansion Will Shape Our Future
Porch Group's shift to a fee-based insurance model and formation of PIRE create a higher-margin, more predictable earnings structure.분석 기사 • Mar 11
Porch Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:PRCH) Shares Fly 31% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth
Porch Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PRCH ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 31% after a shaky period...Seeking Alpha • Mar 05
From Skeptic To Buyer: Why I'm Upgrading Porch Group
Summary Porch Group's shift to a high-margin, fee-based model has significantly improved profitability, with 2024 EBITDA hitting record levels and ambitious targets set for 2025 and 2026. Despite impressive revenue growth and operational improvements, concerns remain about the company's high debt levels and revenue visibility, particularly in a sluggish housing market. The Porch Insurance Reciprocal Exchange (PIRE) has boosted margins but introduced revenue predictability challenges, relying heavily on agent adoption and customer onboarding. Upgrading to a "Buy" rating due to strong earnings momentum and improved financials, though maintaining caution due to valuation and execution risks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha분석 기사 • Nov 12
The Porch Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:PRCH) Analysts Have Been Trimming Their Sales Forecasts
Today is shaping up negative for Porch Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PRCH ) shareholders, with the analysts delivering a...이익 및 매출 성장 예측
| 날짜 | 매출 | 이익 | 자유현금흐름 | 영업현금흐름 | 평균 애널리스트 수 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 703 | 51 | N/A | N/A | 1 |
| 12/31/2027 | 607 | 24 | 143 | N/A | 6 |
| 12/31/2026 | 521 | 10 | 102 | N/A | 6 |
| 6/30/2026 | 514 | -13 | 80 | 96 | N/A |
| 3/31/2026 | 499 | -16 | 76 | 91 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 482 | -3 | 52 | 66 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 449 | 31 | 24 | 39 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 442 | 56 | -4 | 10 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 427 | -11 | -65 | -51 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 438 | -33 | -44 | -32 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 452 | -66 | -57 | -46 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 470 | -86 | 15 | 25 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 458 | -109 | 55 | 64 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 430 | -134 | 24 | 34 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 380 | -167 | 57 | 68 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 328 | -246 | -33 | -22 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 300 | -186 | -35 | -24 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 276 | -157 | -28 | -18 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 263 | -141 | -13 | -3 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 249 | -62 | -16 | -8 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 229 | -51 | -34 | -27 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 192 | -107 | -39 | -35 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 159 | -124 | -77 | -73 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 118 | -128 | -73 | -70 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 84 | -118 | -65 | -62 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 72 | -71 | -52 | -49 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 72 | -54 | -23 | -19 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 72 | -60 | -24 | -21 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 74 | -88 | N/A | -30 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 78 | -103 | N/A | -29 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 54 | -50 | N/A | -31 | N/A |
애널리스트 향후 성장 전망
수입 대 저축률: PRCH 은 향후 3년 동안 수익을 낼 것으로 예상되며, 이는 절약률(3.5%)보다 빠른 성장으로 간주됩니다.
수익 vs 시장: PRCH (는) 향후 3년 동안 평균 시장 성장보다 높은 수익을 올릴 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 수익: PRCH 향후 3년 내에 수익을 낼 것으로 예상됩니다.
수익 대 시장: PRCH 의 수익(연간 12.2%)이 US 시장(연간 12.7%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 매출: PRCH 의 수익(연간 12.2%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
주당순이익 성장 예측
향후 자기자본이익률
미래 ROE: PRCH의 자본 수익률이 3년 후 높을 것으로 예상되는지 판단하기에 데이터가 부족합니다.
성장 기업 찾아보기
기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태
| 데이터 | 최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간) |
|---|---|
| 기업 분석 | 2026/08/04 14:17 |
| 종가 | 2026/08/03 00:00 |
| 수익 | 2026/06/30 |
| 연간 수익 | 2025/12/31 |
데이터 소스
당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.
| 패키지 | 데이터 | 기간 | 미국 소스 예시 * |
|---|---|---|---|
| 기업 재무제표 | 10년 |
| |
| 분석가 컨센서스 추정치 | +3년 |
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| 시장 가격 | 30년 |
| |
| 지분 구조 | 10년 |
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| 경영진 | 10년 |
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| 주요 개발 | 10년 |
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* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.
별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.
분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크
이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델의 세부 정보는 당사의 GitHub 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 사용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공하고 있습니다.
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산업 및 섹터 지표
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분석가 소스
Porch Group, Inc.는 15명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 6명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.
| 분석가 | 기관 |
|---|---|
| Daniel Kurnos | Benchmark Company |
| Justin Ages | Berenberg |
| Timothy D'Agostino | B. Riley Securities, Inc. |