Goosehead Insurance 향후 성장
Future 기준 점검 5/6
Goosehead Insurance (는) 각각 연간 21.7% 및 15% 수익과 수익이 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 27.7% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 1978.1% 로 예상됩니다.
핵심 정보
21.7%
이익 성장률
27.66%
EPS 성장률
| Insurance 이익 성장 | 2.0% |
| 매출 성장률 | 15.0% |
| 향후 자기자본이익률 | 1,978.11% |
| 애널리스트 커버리지 | Good |
| 마지막 업데이트 | 19 May 2026 |
최근 향후 성장 업데이트
Recent updates
내러티브 업데이트 • May 01
GSHD: Organic Expansion And Buybacks Will Support Returns As AI Fears Ease
Analysts have increased the fair value estimate for Goosehead Insurance by $1 to $67.58, reflecting a balance of lower projected revenue growth, slightly higher profit margins, and a reduced future P/E assumption in light of recent price target resets and ongoing debate around AI related risks and growth headwinds. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Goosehead Insurance reflects a mix of optimism on long term growth potential and caution around execution risks, valuation, and the impact of AI related disruption on the insurance distribution model.Seeking Alpha • Apr 24
Goosehead Insurance: Secular Pressures Merit Caution
Summary Goosehead Insurance delivered strong Q1 results, with revenue up 23% and adjusted EBITDA up 57%, yet faces secular headwinds. AI-driven disintermediation and persistently weak customer retention (85%) pose significant long-term risks to GSHD’s agency model. NPS deterioration from 87 to 72 and slow retention improvement highlight potential service and satisfaction issues amid ongoing automation. I recommend a 'sell' rating on GSHD, citing secular pressures, AI risk, and an unattractive 23x earnings multiple despite recent operational gains. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 15
GSHD: Organic Expansion And Buybacks Will Support Returns Despite AI Concerns
Analysts have trimmed their average price target for Goosehead Insurance, with the fair value estimate moving from about $73.00 to roughly $66.58. They are factoring in lower price targets across the Street and a reduced future P/E assumption tied to concerns about growth headwinds and potential AI-related risks.내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 01
GSHD: Organic Expansion And Buybacks Will Offset AI Disruption Concerns
Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for Goosehead Insurance by about $3.70 to $73.00 as they factor in softer projected growth, slightly lower margins and a modestly reduced future P/E multiple. They still see AI related disruption risks as more limited than some headlines suggest.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 17
GSHD: Organic Expansion And Buybacks Will Support Stronger Long-Term Earnings Power
Analysts have lowered the fair value estimate for Goosehead Insurance by about $14.82 to $76.73 as they factor in revised price targets, modestly higher discount rates, slightly softer margin expectations, and updated views on growth resilience and AI related risks. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research shows a mixed but engaged analyst view on Goosehead Insurance, with several firms trimming price targets while maintaining generally constructive ratings.
내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 03
GSHD: Organic Expansion And Buybacks Will Support Long Term Earnings Power
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Goosehead Insurance by about $21 to $118.94. This reflects refreshed assumptions around growth, profitability, and valuation multiples following recent research updates that highlight both AI-related competitive questions and ongoing expectations for solid organic expansion.내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 17
GSHD: Refined Assumptions And Franchise Expansion Will Support Long Term Earnings Power
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Goosehead Insurance by $14, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly higher discount rate. Analyst Commentary Even with the $14 reduction to the price target, bullish analysts see the revised figure as consistent with a constructive view on Goosehead Insurance, with the change described more as a recalibration of assumptions than a shift in overall stance.분석 기사 • Feb 11
The Price Is Right For Goosehead Insurance, Inc. (NASDAQ:GSHD) Even After Diving 33%
The Goosehead Insurance, Inc. ( NASDAQ:GSHD ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a...내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 03
GSHD: Reset Expectations And Consistent Execution Will Support Long Term Earnings Power
Analysts have lowered their price target on Goosehead Insurance by $14, reflecting updated views on the company’s growth, margins, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are treating the lower price target as a reset rather than a loss of confidence, with recent commentary focusing on how updated growth and margin assumptions feed into new P/E expectations.내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 20
GSHD: Higher Investment Spend And Buybacks Will Support Long Term Earnings Power
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Goosehead Insurance to $140 from $150, citing lower price targets, trimmed long term growth and margin expectations, and higher assumed discount rates following recent research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Goosehead Insurance highlights a more cautious stance on near term earnings and investment spending, but there are still several points that more optimistic voices are watching closely.내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 05
GSHD: Increased Investment Spending Will Drive Stronger Long-Term Earnings Power
Analysts have modestly reduced their price targets on Goosehead Insurance, trimming expectations by roughly $10 to $15 per share as they factor in higher investment spending, softer renewal commission retention, and near term margin pressure, while maintaining unchanged long term growth and profitability assumptions. Analyst Commentary Street research reflects a more balanced stance on Goosehead Insurance, with modestly lower price targets but generally constructive long term views on growth and execution.내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 21
GSHD: Incremental Investment Spending Will Set Up Stronger Long-Term Earnings Power
Analysts have modestly raised their fair value estimate for Goosehead Insurance to approximately $91.55 from about $90.82. This reflects expectations for slightly faster top line growth, offset by near term margin pressure and elevated investment spending that has led to a series of reduced but still generally constructive price targets across the Street.내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 07
GSHD: Increased Investment And Buybacks Will Support Long-Term Earnings Power
Analysts have modestly reduced their price target on Goosehead Insurance, as slightly lower projected revenue growth and margins, along with increased investment spending and softer renewal commission retention, have led to a trimmed fair value estimate from about $93.70 to roughly $90.82 per share. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a mixed but generally constructive stance on Goosehead Insurance, with valuation adjustments driven more by updated assumptions on growth, retention, and spending than by a fundamental change in the long term narrative.내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 22
GSHD: New Investment Spend Will Support Long-Term Earnings Stability
Analysts have lowered price targets for Goosehead Insurance, citing incremental expenses from new investments and softer commission retention. Recent target cuts have ranged from a reduction of $10 to $23 per share.내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 06
GSHD: Market Share Expansion Will Support Resilient Performance Amid Sector Headwinds
Goosehead Insurance's fair value estimate has been revised downward to $93.70 from $98.10. Analysts cite lower renewal commission retention, increased investment-related expenses, and reduced revenue growth and profit margin projections following recent price target cuts.내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 22
Analysts Offer Mixed Outlook on Goosehead Insurance Amid Modest Growth and Valuation Adjustments
Analysts have modestly reduced their price targets for Goosehead Insurance, citing slightly softer expectations for growth and profitability. Targets have dropped by as much as $10 to $150 and $5 to $85, reflecting concerns about slower sales growth and a more competitive pricing environment in the sector.내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 08
AI And Digital Platforms Will Fuel Insurance Excellence
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Goosehead Insurance from $109.70 to $101.30. They cite softer forecasts for new sales growth and commission retention expectations, despite improvements in profit margin and future earnings projections.분석 기사 • Jul 08
Goosehead Insurance, Inc's (NASDAQ:GSHD) Price In Tune With Revenues
When you see that almost half of the companies in the Insurance industry in the United States have price-to-sales...Seeking Alpha • Apr 28
Goosehead Insurance: Balancing Franchise Reacceleration, Mixed Industry Outlook
Summary Goosehead Insurance's franchise health. The franchise size is nearing stabilization and reacceleration, and productivity has rapidly increased. The outlook for personal line insurers remains uncertain. Auto insurance profitability is expected to remain subdued for 2025, and home sales have remained pressured. I estimate GSHD to have a fair value of roughly $86.5. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha분석 기사 • Feb 02
Here's Why Goosehead Insurance (NASDAQ:GSHD) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors
Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...분석 기사 • Nov 12
Revenues Tell The Story For Goosehead Insurance, Inc (NASDAQ:GSHD) As Its Stock Soars 31%
Goosehead Insurance, Inc ( NASDAQ:GSHD ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 31% gain in the last month...분석 기사 • Oct 24
We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And Goosehead Insurance (NASDAQ:GSHD) Passed With Ease
For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...
새로운 내러티브 • Sep 24
Leveraging Technology And Expansion To Surge In The Personal Insurance Market
Goosehead Insurance's focus on technology-enhanced productivity and strategic workforce expansion signals strong potential for accelerated revenue growth.분석 기사 • Jul 26
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Goosehead Insurance, Inc's (NASDAQ:GSHD) 53% Share Price Surge
The Goosehead Insurance, Inc ( NASDAQ:GSHD ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent...분석 기사 • Jul 24
If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Goosehead Insurance (NASDAQ:GSHD) Presents An Opportunity
The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...분석 기사 • Apr 28
Getting In Cheap On Goosehead Insurance, Inc (NASDAQ:GSHD) Might Be Difficult
Goosehead Insurance, Inc's ( NASDAQ:GSHD ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5.3x may look like a poor investment...이익 및 매출 성장 예측
| 날짜 | 매출 | 이익 | 자유현금흐름 | 영업현금흐름 | 평균 애널리스트 수 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 594 | 53 | 86 | 134 | 3 |
| 12/31/2027 | 491 | 48 | 80 | 121 | 11 |
| 12/31/2026 | 420 | 37 | 62 | 100 | 11 |
| 3/31/2026 | 382 | 30 | 71 | 99 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 365 | 28 | 68 | 92 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 353 | 30 | 63 | 81 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 341 | 30 | 70 | 85 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 325 | 31 | 62 | 75 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 314 | 30 | 59 | 72 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 283 | 19 | 59 | 73 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 275 | 19 | 52 | 66 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 266 | 16 | 44 | 64 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 260 | 14 | 32 | 51 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 254 | 11 | 30 | 40 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 241 | 6 | 25 | 42 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 225 | 3 | 27 | 40 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 208 | 1 | 23 | 36 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 191 | 0 | 20 | 42 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 175 | 2 | 13 | 26 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 160 | 4 | 7 | 22 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 150 | 5 | 20 | 35 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 145 | 8 | 21 | 36 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 135 | 7 | 23 | 38 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 127 | 9 | 23 | 34 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 116 | 9 | 14 | 25 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 95 | 6 | 14 | 20 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 85 | 3 | 11 | 17 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 74 | 1 | 14 | 18 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 77 | 4 | N/A | 21 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 78 | 4 | N/A | 19 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 73 | 4 | N/A | 14 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 68 | -6 | N/A | 10 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 60 | -9 | N/A | 10 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 56 | -9 | N/A | 9 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 51 | -9 | N/A | 13 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 47 | N/A | N/A | 15 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 42 | N/A | N/A | 14 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 31 | 5 | N/A | 4 | N/A |
애널리스트 향후 성장 전망
수입 대 저축률: GSHD 의 연간 예상 수익 증가율(21.7%)이 saving rate(3.5%)보다 높습니다.
수익 vs 시장: GSHD 의 연간 수익(21.7%)이 US 시장(16.7%)보다 빠르게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 수익: GSHD 의 수입은 향후 3년 동안 상당히 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
수익 대 시장: GSHD 의 수익(연간 15%)이 US 시장(연간 11.7%)보다 빠르게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 매출: GSHD 의 수익(연간 15%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
주당순이익 성장 예측
향후 자기자본이익률
미래 ROE: GSHD의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 1978.1%로 매우 높을 것으로 예상됩니다.
성장 기업 찾아보기
기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태
| 데이터 | 최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간) |
|---|---|
| 기업 분석 | 2026/05/21 15:17 |
| 종가 | 2026/05/21 00:00 |
| 수익 | 2026/03/31 |
| 연간 수익 | 2025/12/31 |
데이터 소스
당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.
| 패키지 | 데이터 | 기간 | 미국 소스 예시 * |
|---|---|---|---|
| 기업 재무제표 | 10년 |
| |
| 분석가 컨센서스 추정치 | +3년 |
|
|
| 시장 가격 | 30년 |
| |
| 지분 구조 | 10년 |
| |
| 경영진 | 10년 |
| |
| 주요 개발 | 10년 |
|
* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.
별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.
분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크
이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.
Simply Wall St 분석 모델을 설계하고 구축한 세계적 수준의 팀에 대해 알아보세요.
산업 및 섹터 지표
산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.
분석가 소스
Goosehead Insurance, Inc.는 15명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 11명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.
| 분석가 | 기관 |
|---|---|
| Michael Zaremski | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |
| Joshua Shanker | BofA Global Research |
| Ryan Tunis | Cantor Fitzgerald & Co. |